App State at Arkansas State - 2021 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Arkansas State Red Wolves  Arkansas State logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -21.5 (67.5)
App State 48 - Arkansas State: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ APP -28)
Projected Score: APP: 25 - ARST: 31 (56)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 502 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Wolves (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 App State vs East Carolina-9.055.5W 33 - 19UY
Sat 9/11 App State at Miami+7.555.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/18 App State vs Elon-35.552.5W 44 - 10ON
Thu 9/23 App State vs Marshall-7.059.0W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 App State at Georgia State-10.554.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12 App State at Louisiana-4.557.5L 13 - 41UN
Wed 10/20 App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.561.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/30 App State vs UL Monroe-26.557.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/6 App State at Arkansas State-21.567.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 App State vs South Alabama-21.551.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/20 App State at Troy-10.051.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/27 App State vs Georgia Southern-24.555.0W 27 - 3UN
Sat 12/4 App State at Louisiana-2.552.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 12/18 App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-13.564.0W 40 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Arkansas State vs Memphis+5.565.0L 50 - 55OY
Sat 9/18 Arkansas State at Washington+17.558.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/25 Arkansas State at Tulsa+14.565.0L 34 - 41OY
Sat 10/2 Arkansas State at Georgia Southern+1.566.5L 33 - 59ON
Thu 10/7 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+20.574.5L 20 - 52UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+17.070.0L 27 - 28UY
Sat 10/30 Arkansas State at South Alabama+9.567.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Arkansas State vs App State+21.567.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/13 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.066.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/20 Arkansas State at Georgia State+15.566.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/27 Arkansas State vs Texas State-2.062.0L 22 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
ARST.2543%25.239%2.8212546%3643.99.2242%27.437%47%3.8857.41.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1224.221.646.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24
ARST Defense1127.427.242.2%3.881.1 - - - - - 50%50%37%47%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1229.837.436.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
ARST Offense1125.22942.8%3.991.5244901253643.642%57%39%46%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Arkansas State1128:3824.540%50%6.457.41.51.16.91.8125.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03
ARST Defense1150%37% - - - - .022.4464%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
ARST Offense1142%39%34.9125.23.67.012.8264%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1
ARST Defense1150%47% - - - - - - 6.421.731%34%.45%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
ARST Offense1157%46%25.142.2364.48.614.5399.431.834%36%.47%2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Arkansas State: -6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3   Arkansas State: -17.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.45 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #120
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #109
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 31
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 56
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29App State29Arkansas State30App State -1.0Arkansas State54.5Over
202111/06Arkansas State14App State48Appalachian State -21.5App State67.5Under
202010/22App State45Arkansas State17Appalachian State -14App State69.5Under
201810/09Arkansas State9App State35Appalachian State -10.5App State59.5Under
201511/05App State27Arkansas State40Appalachian State -12.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201411/15Arkansas State32App State37Arkansas State -15App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State222 Overs
App State443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 51 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams5 - 15 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#) APP at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #120
Perf GradeGrade #23 #123
OffenseOff #22 #112
DefenseDef #54 #129
Spec TeamsST #6 #41
TalentTal #90 #82
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffARST Def
Run GameRun #34 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffARST Def
Pass GamePass #52 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #70 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #110 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #76 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
App State 21.5 (67.5)
App State won at Arkansas State this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat App State last year (30-29)

  
APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD