Arkansas State at Kennesaw State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Kennesaw State OwlsKennesaw State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -6 (56.5) (-225)  Open: -6.5
Fifth Third Bank Stadium - Kennesaw, GA

 
Red Wolves (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
KENN 2nd straight Home Game
KENN is playing their 4th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -1   (SP+ ARST -6.5)

Projected Score: ARST: 27 - KENN: 26 (53)
ARST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARST Travel: 368 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (27 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-15.559.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23.562.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+21.055.5L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-6.056.5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-2.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+11.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+12.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern-5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+11
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss+8
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+3
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State+8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kennesaw State at Wake Forest+17.551.5L 9 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Kennesaw State at Indiana+35.551.5L 9 - 56ON
Sat 9/13 Kennesaw State vs Merrimack-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/20 Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State+6.056.5
Sat 9/27 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee-5.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech+9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+13.5
Tue 10/28 Kennesaw State vs UTEP+9
Sat 11/8 Kennesaw State at New Mexico State+7.5
Sat 11/15 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Kennesaw State vs Missouri State-1.5
Sat 11/29 Kennesaw State at Liberty+19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#108 (.09)41% (87)2445% (60)2.62 (101)15338% (103)2333.65 (88)#130 (.42)52% (132)34.752% (125)52% (128)4.61 (110)721.31.3
KENN#110 (.08)30% (133)1531% (130)2.34 (121)14029% (131)1762.71 (122)#114 (.25)49% (123)26.344% (95)55% (131)4.21 (95)6810
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense3242441.5%3.651.3233861532333.947%53%45%38%18%.09
KENN Defense326.31348.7%4.210 - - - - - 57%43%44%55%11%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense334.734.752%4.611.3 - - - - - 51%48%52%52%14%.42
KENN Offense3152730.2%2.711163161401763.953%47%31%29%21%.08

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State334:1022.748%33%7.7721.31.341.7130.9
Kennesaw State326:0516.336%50%868108.73024.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense347% (91)45% (60)39.3153.33.94 (79).04 (98)2.62 (101)60% (103)12% (112)0.96 (67)
KENN Defense357% (116)44% (95) - - - - .26 (121)3.04 (96)75% (80)7% (110)1.22 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense351% (87)52% (125) - - - - .31 (128)3.23 (113)100% (127)7% (115)1.06 (92)
KENN Offense353% (57)31% (130)35.71403.93 (95).02 (103)2.34 (121)50% (124)15% (131)1.22 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense353% (45)38% (103)22.333.72336.910.44 (72)3 (92).14 (105)1.6 (42)28% (47)30% (80).4 (53)6% (96)2.3 (20)
KENN Defense343% (23)55% (131) - - - - - - 0.24 (76)1.2 (8)22% (134)19% (23)-.15 (6)4% (113)1.9 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense348% (50)52% (128) - - - - - - 3 (28).58 (129)1.7 (105)27% (122)36% (117).58 (120)7% (48)2.2 (103)
KENN Offense347% (78)29% (131)15.328.3175.76.211.51 (123)2 (60).15 (101)2 (8)49% (136)33% (54).49 (42)6% (79)2.1 (56)

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -20.80   Kennesaw State: -16.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -10.2   Kennesaw State: -16.5




Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -16.45 #134
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 27
Kennesaw State 26


Total Points: 53

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kennesaw State000 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#131) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -20.80 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arkansas State has lost 2 straight
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back

Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKENNARST
OverallOver#108#84
OffenseOff#109#81
DefenseDef#92#94
Special TeamsST#95#70
PassingPass#105#63
RushingRush#79#81
Run BlockRBLK#115#92
Pass BlockPBLK#110#38
Route RunningWR Rt#93#78
TacklingTkl#96#47
Run DefenseR Def#77#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#83#110
Coverage DefCov#102#95

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARST | KENN
Depth Chart: ARST | KENN
Rosters: ARST | KENN
(#134) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -16.45 #134
Offense Rating: -0.78 #136
Defense Rating: 21.37 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #135
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #85
Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kennesaw State has won 1 straight
Kennesaw State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Kennesaw State Notes
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
(4/7) WR Benyard best on team. Rest are JAG-
(4/7) RB Bennett (Rice) looks good, big FCS RB '23
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals, meh
(3/24) OL 2/5 back, awful LY. 2 exp'd portals.
(3/24) Def awful, return a lot. 6 portal adds, 4 DBs
(3/24) HC Mack was Tenn RB coach, NFL exp
(3/24) Year 2 in FBS will be rough, upset Liberty LY.

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State is Undefeated at Home

Kennesaw State offense is explosive (#5)
Kennesaw State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kennesaw State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)


  
Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor669867%692437.1
Josh Flowers1333%7002.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Raynor3513813.921
Kenyon Clay (Tr)4012013.013
Devin Spencer1810415.843
Kameron Thomas83804.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chauncy Cobb16216013.545
Corey Rucker6105117.550
Hunter Summers696016.039
Jaylen Bonelli (Tr)895111.934

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nigel Nelson210001
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)181100
Brandon Barnes161000
AG McGhee (Tr)161002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hassler72230
Cody Sigler (Tr)52201
Drew Collins21100
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)181100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trenton Alan Yowe90012
AG McGhee (Tr)161002
Nigel Nelson210001

Kennesaw State's OC Mitch Militello
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dexter Williams II (Tr)225242%236014.5
Amari Odom223073%284119.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)3213914.326
Alexander Diggs2711804.425
Dexter Williams II (Tr)208614.316
Amari Odom172711.612
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gabriel Benyard12208117.347
Christian Moss11122011.125
Lyndon Ravare (Tr)7106015.138
Tykeem Wallace333011.019

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Marc Mattioli
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Baron Hopson223000
Caleb Offord (Tr)162003
Milon Jones162010
Garland Benyard141010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill42210
Roderick Daniels (Tr)51101
JeRico Washington Jr.92101
Kody Jones (Tr)61101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Offord (Tr)162003
Roderick Daniels (Tr)51101
JeRico Washington Jr.92101