Arkansas State at Kennesaw State Game Matchup
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Kennesaw State OwlsKennesaw State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Fifth Third Bank Stadium - Kennesaw, GA

 
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
KENN 2nd straight Home Game
KENN is playing their 4th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -7   (SP+ ARST -9)
Projected Score: ARST: 31 - KENN: 24 (53)
ARST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 368 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#119)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-12.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+19.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-7
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+4
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+11
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+9
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss-0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+2
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Kennesaw State at Wake Forest+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Kennesaw State at Indiana+36
Sat 9/13 Kennesaw State vs Merrimack-2.5
Sat 9/20 Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State+7
Sat 9/27 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee+0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech+2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+8.5
Tue 10/28 Kennesaw State vs UTEP+4.5
Sat 11/8 Kennesaw State at New Mexico State+4.5
Sat 11/15 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State+4
Sat 11/22 Kennesaw State vs Missouri State-0
Sat 11/29 Kennesaw State at Liberty+23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)25.843% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)32.251% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)16.531% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)31.245% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.820.741%3.961.3203571482104.348%52%43%39%16%.17
KENN Defense1231.232.346.2%4.151 - - - - - 52%48%45%48%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1332.237.348%4.621.4 - - - - - 52%48%51%44%15%.31
KENN Offense1216.519.731.4%3.51.5142521161363.158%41%31%32%17%-.04

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:5620.340%75%5.147.81.31.44.51.4127.6
Kennesaw State1229:2013.735%39%5.646.31.514.81.8328.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1348% (83)43% (84)34.8147.84.316 (90).12 (72)3.01 (77)73% (71)9% (48)0.9 (99)
KENN Defense1252% (85)45% (91) - - - - .16 (86)3.04 (75)73% (65)9% (93)1 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1352% (84)51% (131) - - - - .28 (131)3.45 (127)73% (65)9% (82)1.02 (85)
KENN Offense1258% (17)31% (134)37.4115.53.113 (105)-.05 (130)2.16 (134)74% (62)12% (115)1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1352% (49)39% (96)19.631.6209.66.610.717 (79)9 (48).21 (90)1.5 (88)31% (67)32% (55).39 (42)8% (115)2 (97)
KENN Defense1248% (50)48% (122) - - - - - - 4 (125).27 (86)1.3 (8)26% (131)30% (51).31 (71)5% (119)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1348% (52)44% (110) - - - - - - 14 (23).35 (115)1.7 (103)29% (106)32% (89).51 (125)6% (74)2.3 (122)
KENN Offense1241% (117)32% (129)1324.8136.35.510.56 (133)14 (115)- (133)1.6 (52)38% (131)23% (130).16 (124)5% (24)2.1 (60)

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -12.25   Kennesaw State: -18.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9   Kennesaw State: -18.9




Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -18.3 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 0.67 #133
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 23.37 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 31
Kennesaw State 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kennesaw State000 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#99) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY
Arkansas State     Ratings Matchup     Kennesaw State
Power #99
#131
Off #62
#133
Def #130
#113
Talent #75
#130
SP+ #100
#131
SP+ Off #68
#136
SP+ Def #122
#93

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARST | KENN
Depth Chart: ARST | KENN
Rosters: ARST | KENN
(#131) Kennesaw State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.3 #131
Offense Rating: 0.67 #133
Defense Rating: 23.37 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #93
Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Kennesaw State Notes
(4/7) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
(4/7) WR Benyard best on team. Rest are JAG-
(4/7) RB Bennett (Rice) looks good, big FCS RB '23
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals, meh
(3/24) OL 2/5 back, awful LY. 2 exp'd portals.
(3/24) Def awful, return a lot. 6 portal adds, 4 DBs
(3/24) HC Mack was Tenn RB coach, NFL exp
(3/24) Year 2 in FBS will be rough, upset Liberty LY.


  
Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Ethan Crawford (Tr)5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Kenyon Clay (Tr)8438774.670
Ethan Crawford (Tr)9720932.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Kenyon Clay (Tr)21225110.737
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AG McGhee (Tr)541000
Christopher Boti361111
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Christopher Boti361111
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avante Dickerson (Tr)192003
James Reed III71002
Marcus Bradley71011

Kennesaw State's OC Mitch Militello
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Dexter Williams II (Tr)124513.820
Gabriel Benyard444011.044
Alexander Diggs92903.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Moss15220214.760
Tykeem Wallace2318107.924
Gabriel Benyard1916208.527
Navelle Dean567013.437

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Marc Mattioli
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Tyler Hallum5610010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Garland Benyard489450
Jordan Miles458360
Tylon Dunlap225322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Que Billingsley340003