Stony Brook at Arkansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Stony Brook logo Stony Brook Seawolves at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -24 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 31 - Stony Brook: 7

 
Seawolves (0 - 1) (0 - 0 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 31 (7 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5   (SP+ ARST -8)
ARST Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stony Brook's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Stony Brook at Arkansas State+24.047.5L 7 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas State at Oklahoma+36.057.5L 0 - 73ON
Sat 9/9 Arkansas State vs Memphis+21.057.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas State vs Stony Brook-24.047.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss+7.046.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas State at Massachusetts+2.555.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Arkansas State at Troy+15.552.0L 3 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+8.559.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/28 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+1.055.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+9.060.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas State at South Alabama+14.554.5L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 Arkansas State vs Texas State+3.559.5W 77 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Arkansas State at Marshall+2.054.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/23 Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%70%000%000%310%0%0000
ARST#81 (.17)42% (73)27.143% (71)3.12 (65)14841% (80)2253.21 (114)#110 (.25)42% (72)30.444% (80)41% (59)4.05 (92)60.911.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1330.42642.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Defense131310%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARST Offense1327.134.841.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stony Brook10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (124)10% (71)1.01 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (104)9% (58)1.05 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: #NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: #NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Stony Brook's 2023 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Arkansas State: -4.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Arkansas State: -7.5




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Stony Brook's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 31
Stony Brook 18

Total Points: 49

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Arkansas State31Stony Brook7Arkansas StateArkansas State -24Push47.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State100 Overs
Stony Brook001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) Stony Brook Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )

Stony Brook Highlights

Stony Brook Deficiencies
Stony Brook has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARSTSTON
OverallOver#47—
OffenseOff#50—
DefenseDef#51—
Special TeamsST#91—
PassingPass#78—
RushingRush#50—
Run BlockRBLK#22—
Pass BlockPBLK#80—
Route RunningWR Rt#44—
TacklingTkl#29—
Run DefenseR Def#64—
Pass Rush DefPRush#87—
Coverage DefCov#14—

Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas State -24.0 (47.5)
Arkansas State won vs Stony Brook this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Stony Brook in 2023 (31-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STON | ARST
Depth Chart: STON | ARST
Rosters: STON | ARST
(#100) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Arkansas State has lost 2 straight
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#82)

Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#88)


  
Stony Brook's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stony Brook's Full Roster
Stony Brook's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Ferrelli140010
Chayce Chalmers101000
Clarens Legagneur70000
Andy Nwaoko61110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andy Nwaoko61110
Anthony Ferrelli140010
Chayce Chalmers101000
Clarens Legagneur70000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Hoyle40001
Anthony Ferrelli140010
Chayce Chalmers101000

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker (Tr)36705219.668
Courtney Jackson (Tr)39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevian Thomas913004
Charles Willekes919211
Melique Straker857000
Javante Mackey847221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford4411671
Nate Martey369640
Javante Mackey847221
Thurman Geathers48132120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samy Johnson5730015
Leon Jones260006
Justin Hodges252005