Florida International at Arkansas State

Florida International at Arkansas State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, December 21st 2019 (5:30 PM EST)
Florida International -1.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 34 - Florida International: 26 (CAMELLIA BOWL)

Golden Panthers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2 (SP+ ARST -4)
Projected Score: FIU: 26 - ARST: 29 (55)
FIU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
FIU Travel: 581 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
FIU Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Florida International at Tulane	+3.0	60.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/7	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	-9.0	57.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	Florida International vs New Hampshire	-13.5	43.5	W 30 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/20	Florida International at Louisiana Tech	+7.0	51.5	L 31 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Florida International vs Massachusetts	-28.0	70.5	W 44 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Florida International vs Charlotte	-5.5	57.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida International vs UTEP	-25.0	51.0	W 32 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/26	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	-1.0	58.5	L 17 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/2	Florida International vs Old Dominion	-17.5	47.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/9	Florida International at Florida Atlantic	+11.5	59.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Florida International vs Miami	+21.0	50.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Florida International at Marshall	+10.0	50.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Florida International vs Arkansas State	-1.5	60.0	L 26 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arkansas State vs SMU	-1.5	58.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arkansas State at UNLV	-1.0	63.5	W 43 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas State at Georgia	+32.5	58.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas State vs Southern Illinois	-23.0	62.0	W 41 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/28	Arkansas State at Troy	+7.0	59.5	W 50 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-6.5	69.0	L 38 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+6.0	69.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-11.5	60.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-1.0	69.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	-14.0	60.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	-1.0	52.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-10.5	53.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	.26	43%	28.5	38%	2.8	175	46%	246	4.02	.2	46%	30	48%	42%	3.56	40	1	1.7
ARST	.22	46%	25.2	46%	3.35	186	45%	281	3.4	.13	39%	27.4	41%	35%	3.39	68.1	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	13	28.5	22.4	42.7%	4.02	1	20	421	175	246	4.7	52%	46%	38%	46%	14%	.26
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	38.8%	3.39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	41%	35%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	13	30	29.8	45.6%	3.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	48%	42%	15%	.2
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	45.8%	3.4	1.2	23	467	186	281	4.8	48%	50%	46%	45%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	13	28:10	20	46%	70%	4.5	40	1	1.7	4.8	1.6	3	29.1
Arkansas State	13	30:07	23.1	40%	53%	7.6	68.1	1.2	1.5	6.8	2.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	13	52%	38%	37.1	175.2	4.7	27	.12	2.8	73%	8%	1.17
ARST Defense	13	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.45	67%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	13	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.24	78%	8%	0.9
ARST Offense	13	48%	46%	39.1	185.7	4.8	18	.17	3.35	70%	8%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	13	46%	46%	19.3	29.5	245.7	8.3	12.7	27	8	.44	1.7	33%	36%	.37	6%	1.9
ARST Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.9	38%	31%	.28	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	13	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.22	1.5	30%	33%	.28	7%	1.8
ARST Offense	13	50%	45%	23.3	36.3	281.5	7.8	12.1	28	10	.29	1.6	31%	34%	.4	6%	1.8

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida International's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.0 #97
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #102
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #73

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: Arkansas State: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.0 Arkansas State: -2.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #49
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 29
Florida International 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	12/21	Arkansas State	34	Florida International	26	Florida International -1.5	Arkansas State	60.0	Push
2012	10/04	Florida International	20	Arkansas State	34
2011	10/18	Arkansas State	34	Florida International	16
2010	11/27	Florida International	31	Arkansas State	24
2009	10/24	Arkansas State	27	Florida International	10
2008	11/08	Florida International	22	Arkansas State	21
2007	11/03	Arkansas State	27	Florida International	24
2006	09/30	Florida International	6	Arkansas State	31
2005	09/24	Arkansas State	66	Florida International	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	7	1	0 Overs
Florida International	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 7	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Florida International Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Camellia Bowl	Florida International vs Arkansas State	-1.5	60.0	L 26 - 34
2018	Bahamas Bowl	Florida International vs Toledo	+7.0	57.5	W 35 - 32
2017	Gasparilla Bowl	Florida International vs Temple	+7.0	57.5	L 3 - 28

Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Camellia Bowl	Arkansas State vs Florida International	+1.5	60.0	W 34 - 26
2018	N/A	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16
2017	Camellia Bowl	Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.5	61.0	L 30 - 35
2016	Cure Bowl	Arkansas State vs UCF	-6.5	51.0	W 31 - 13
2015	Orleans Bowl	Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech	-1.0		L 28 - 47
2014	Godaddy Bowl	Arkansas State vs Toledo	+3.5	70.5	L 44 - 63
2013	Godaddy Bowl	Arkansas State vs Ball State	+6.5	65.0	W 23 - 20

(#) FIU at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#74	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida International Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cramton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida International 1.5 (60.0)
Arkansas State won vs Florida International this year (34-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD