Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Coastal Carolina -8.5 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Coastal Carolina 27 - Arkansas State: 17 (Sun Belt)

Chanticleers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (24 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#50)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CCU 3rd straight Road Game
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: Coastal Carolina -2.5 (SP+ CCU -4.5)
Projected Score: CCU: 30 - ARST: 27 (57)
CCU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
CCU Travel: 676 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CCU Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Coastal Carolina at UCLA	+15.5	66.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Coastal Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-13.5	61.0	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Coastal Carolina vs Duquesne	-35.0	55.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-4.5	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/30	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.5	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	Coastal Carolina at App State	+4.5	59.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	-8.5	59.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Coastal Carolina vs Marshall	+3.5	47.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion	-1.0	51.0	W 28 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	+2.5	55.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Coastal Carolina at Army	-1.5	40.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/25	Coastal Carolina vs James Madison	+9.5	50.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/23	Coastal Carolina vs San José State	+7.5	48.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas State at Oklahoma	+36.0	57.5	L 0 - 73	O	N
Sat 9/9	Arkansas State vs Memphis	+21.0	57.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas State vs Stony Brook	-24.0	47.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas State vs Southern Miss	+7.0	46.5	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas State at Massachusetts	+2.5	55.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Arkansas State at Troy	+15.5	52.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	+8.5	59.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/28	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	+1.0	55.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+9.0	60.0	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas State at South Alabama	+14.5	54.5	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arkansas State vs Texas State	+3.5	59.5	W 77 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arkansas State at Marshall	+2.0	54.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 12/23	Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois	-2.5	54.0	L 19 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	#53 (.22)	42% (75)	27.7	40% (100)	2.91 (106)	155	43% (52)	262	3.45 (99)	#53 (.16)	44% (94)	23.8	47% (114)	41% (56)	3.77 (67)	57.6	1.3	1.8
ARST	#81 (.17)	42% (73)	27.1	43% (71)	3.12 (65)	148	41% (80)	225	3.21 (114)	#110 (.25)	42% (72)	30.4	44% (80)	41% (59)	4.05 (92)	60.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	#73 (.18)	40% (98)		43% (81)	3.05 (63)	173	37% (112)	202	4.24 (36)	#94 (.21)	43% (90)		46% (98)	41% (72)	4.12 (101)	63.8	1.3	1.7
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Offense	13	27.7	24	41.5%	3.45	1.3	21	416	155	262	4.3	49%	50%	40%	43%	14%	.22
ARST Defense	13	30.4	26	42.3%	4.05	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	41%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Defense	13	23.8	26.3	43.8%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	47%	41%	15%	.16
ARST Offense	13	27.1	34.8	41.6%	3.21	1	20	374	148	225	4.2	50%	49%	43%	41%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina	13	31:44	21.2	44%	38%	5.6	57.6	1.3	1.8	4.2	1.5	2	27.4
Arkansas State	13	26:17	19.8	36%	35%	6.2	60.9	1	1.2	6.2	1.8	4	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Offense	13	49% (75)	40% (100)	35.7	154.8	4.3	17 (81)	.09 (100)	2.91 (106)	67% (109)	10% (70)	1.01 (60)
ARST Defense	13	50% (65)	44% (80)	-	-	-	-	.17 (88)	3.09 (66)	85% (124)	10% (71)	1.01 (78)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Defense	13	52% (91)	47% (114)	-	-	-	-	.21 (105)	3.4 (118)	83% (118)	8% (120)	0.97 (47)
ARST Offense	13	50% (72)	43% (71)	35.3	148.2	4.2	20 (61)	.16 (66)	3.12 (65)	69% (104)	9% (58)	1.05 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Offense	13	50% (57)	43% (52)	21	31.5	261.6	8.3	12.5	24 (41)	9 (40)	.37 (32)	1.7 (37)	32% (66)	34% (31)	.55 (12)	4% (10)	2.3 (10)
ARST Defense	13	49% (73)	41% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.34 (105)	1.6 (59)	31% (83)	24% (11)	.3 (66)	5% (111)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Defense	13	48% (44)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.13 (12)	1.5 (38)	32% (72)	33% (109)	.23 (27)	7% (52)	1.9 (18)
ARST Offense	13	49% (65)	41% (80)	16	28.5	225.5	7.9	14.1	17 (85)	9 (40)	.24 (83)	1.7 (40)	31% (59)	31% (68)	.28 (88)	6% (87)	2.1 (53)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -2.18 #78
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.94 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 9.43 #65
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 7.50 - 5.50
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -2.18 Arkansas State: -4.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -2.9 Arkansas State: -7.5

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 30
Arkansas State 27

Total Points: 57

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Arkansas State	17	Coastal Carolina	27	Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina -8.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Under
2021	10/07	Arkansas State	20	Coastal Carolina	52	Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina -20.5	Coastal Carolina	74.5	Under
2020	10/03	Coastal Carolina	52	Arkansas State	23	Coastal Carolina	Arkansas State -3.5	Coastal Carolina	64.5	Over
2019	11/16	Arkansas State	28	Coastal Carolina	27	Arkansas State	Arkansas State -14	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Under
2018	11/10	Coastal Carolina	16	Arkansas State	44	Arkansas State	Arkansas State -6.5	Arkansas State	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Arkansas State	51	Coastal Carolina	17	Arkansas State	Arkansas State -16.5	Arkansas State	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	3	2	2 Overs
Coastal Carolina	3	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1

(#78) Coastal Carolina Info
Power Rating: -2.18 #78
Offense Rating: 16.94 #62
Defense Rating: 9.43 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.50 - 5.50

Coastal Carolina has won 1 straight
Coastal Carolina has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Coastal Carolina Highlights
Coastal Carolina offense is explosive (#110)
Coastal Carolina defense does not give up big plays (#64)
Coastal Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Coastal Carolina Deficiencies
Coastal Carolina Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
Coastal Carolina run game is really bad (#65)
Coastal Carolina does not Sack the QB (#122)
Coastal Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#116)
Coastal Carolina has a bad defensive line (#78)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	ARST	CCU
OverallOver	#47	#57
OffenseOff	#50	#51
DefenseDef	#51	#64
Special TeamsST	#91	#70
PassingPass	#78	#21
RushingRush	#50	#53
Run BlockRBLK	#22	#88
Pass BlockPBLK	#80	#48
Route RunningWR Rt	#44	#29
TacklingTkl	#29	#27
Run DefenseR Def	#64	#90
Pass Rush DefPRush	#87	#44
Coverage DefCov	#14	#54

Rematch from Week 8
Coastal Carolina 8.5 (59.0)
Coastal Carolina won at Arkansas State this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Arkansas State in 2023 (27-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CCU | ARST
Depth Chart: CCU | ARST
Rosters: CCU | ARST

(#100) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -4.865 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#82)

Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#88)

Coastal Carolina's OC Travis Trickett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson McCall	151	224	67%	1919	10	6	8.6
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	76	122	62%	779	7	1	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braydon Bennett	91	407	5	4.5	21
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	63	368	2	5.8	75
CJ Beasley	68	262	2	3.9	21
Reese White	77	252	2	3.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Pinckney	72	1027	8	14.3	52
Jared Brown	58	740	4	12.8	59
Jameson Tucker	20	423	3	21.2	51
Kyre Duplessis	16	242	1	15.1	64

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

Coastal Carolina's DC Craig Naivar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clayton Isbell	89	5	1	0	5
JT Killen	68	3	0	2	2
Micheal Mason	65	9	6	4	1
Juan Powell (Tr)	55	5	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Micheal Mason	65	9	6	4	1
Will Whitson	42	5	3	5	0
Clinton Anokwuru	23	5	3	0	0
Allen Henry	39	3	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Matthew McDoom	27	0	0	10
Keonte Lusk	37	1	1	6
Juan Powell (Tr)	55	5	1	6

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor	166	285	58%	2543	17	7	8.9
JT Shrout	24	51	47%	227	0	2	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quez Cross	128	716	7	5.6	66
Zak Wallace	126	575	6	4.6	41
Jaylen Raynor	123	380	5	3.1	62
Cedric Hawkins	31	156	2	5.0	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Rucker (Tr)	36	705	2	19.6	68
Courtney Jackson (Tr)	39	689	7	17.7	60
Jeff Foreman	28	540	4	19.3	46
Reagan Ealy	19	198	1	10.4	33

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trevian Thomas	91	3	0	0	4
Charles Willekes	91	9	2	1	1
Melique Straker	85	7	0	0	0
Javante Mackey	84	7	2	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyron Crawford	44	11	6	7	1
Nate Martey	36	9	6	4	0
Javante Mackey	84	7	2	2	1
Thurman Geathers	48	13	2	12	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Samy Johnson	57	3	15
Leon Jones	26	0	6
Justin Hodges	25	2	5