Central Arkansas at Arkansas State Game Matchup
 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 34 (31 - 34 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5   (SP+ ARST -10)
UCA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Central Arkansas at Arkansas State-2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-18.5
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State vs Tulsa-9.565.5W 28 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Arkansas State at Michigan+22.047.5L 18 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State at Iowa State+20.552.0L 7 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arkansas State vs South Alabama+2.562.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 10/12 Arkansas State at Texas State+13.566.0L 9 - 41UN
Sat 10/19 Arkansas State at Southern Miss-7.057.0W 44 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Arkansas State vs Troy-8.550.0W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Arkansas State at Louisiana+14.060.0L 19 - 55ON
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State at Georgia State+2.560.0W 27 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-3.051.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Arkansas State vs Old Dominion+5.558.5L 32 - 40ON
Thu 12/26 Arkansas State vs Bowling Green+10.554.5W 38 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%310%000%000%340%0%0000
ARST#81 (.17)42% (73)25.843% (71)3.12 (65)14841% (80)2253.21 (114)#110 (.25)42% (72)32.244% (80)41% (59)4.05 (92)60.911.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Offense131310%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1332.227.242.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Defense134340%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARST Offense1325.82941.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Arkansas10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (124)10% (71)1.01 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (104)9% (58)1.05 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: #NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: #NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Central Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -6.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -9.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Central Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Central Arkansas 31
Arkansas State 31

Projected Total Points: 62
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Arkansas State34Central Arkansas31Arkansas State
202109/04Arkansas State40Central Arkansas21Arkansas StateArkansas State -13.5Arkansas State64.0Under
202010/10Arkansas State50Central Arkansas27Arkansas StateArkansas State -15.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201609/24Arkansas State23Central Arkansas28Central ArkansasArkansas State -15.5Central Arkansas0
201109/24Arkansas State53Central Arkansas24Arkansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State421 Overs
Central Arkansas111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#NR) Central Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






,
,







Central Arkansas     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #NR
#91
Off #NR
#62
Def #NR
#124
Talent #
#65
SP+ #N/A
#104
SP+ Off #N/A
#87
SP+ Def #N/A
#119

Rematch from Week 1
()
Arkansas State won vs Central Arkansas this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Central Arkansas last year (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86°

Team Information
Injuries: UCA | ARST
Depth Chart: UCA | ARST
Rosters: UCA | ARST
(#91) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good


  
Central Arkansas's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster
Central Arkansas's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Timmy McClain (Tr)142167%163307.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Devin Spencer4020605.223
Malik Hornsby (Tr)586117.273
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Hunter Summers (Tr)9116212.932
Miller McCrumby117907.213

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvin Ham II (Tr)9810211
Websley Etienne562005
Dontay Joyner501017
Tim Hardiman312150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Jayden Jones257440
Ian Jeffries215450
Noah Collins (Tr)265220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner501017
Websley Etienne562005
Jordan Mahoney (Tr)191004