Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -9.5 (65.5) (-300) Open: -7.0 | 65.5
Arkansas State 28 - Tulsa: 24
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arkansas State -17 (SP+ ARST -11)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - ARST: 40 (63)
ARST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TLSA Travel: 296 miles
Our Line: Arkansas State -17 (SP+ ARST -11)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - ARST: 40 (63)
ARST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TLSA Travel: 296 miles
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Tulsa's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Tulsa vs Northwestern State | -37.5 | 55.5 | W 62 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Tulsa at Arkansas State | +9.5 | 65.5 | L 24 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Tulsa vs Oklahoma State | +17.5 | 62.5 | L 10 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Tulsa at Louisiana Tech | +3.0 | 56.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Tulsa at North Texas | +7.0 | 65.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Tulsa vs Army | +13.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Tulsa at Temple | +3.5 | 51.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Tulsa vs UTSA | +9.5 | 52.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Tulsa at UAB | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/14 | Tulsa vs East Carolina | +16.0 | 63.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Tulsa at South Florida | +17.5 | 60.0 | L 30 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 16 - 63 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | #124 (.06) | 34% (131) | 25 | 35% (128) | 2.88 (97) | 151 | 33% (126) | 239 | 3.54 (100) | #127 (.31) | 42% (75) | 42.5 | 38% (23) | 46% (115) | 4.7 (130) | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 25.8 | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 32.2 | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | #124 (.06) | 34% (131) | 35% (128) | 2.88 (97) | 151 | 33% (126) | 239 | 3.54 (100) | #127 (.31) | 42% (75) | 38% (23) | 46% (115) | 4.7 (130) | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 25 | 21.3 | 34.1% | 3.54 | 1.9 | 20 | 390 | 151 | 239 | 4 | 47% | 53% | 35% | 33% | 18% | .06 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 27.2 | 48% | 4.62 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 51% | 44% | 15% | .31 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 42.5 | 40.3 | 42.2% | 4.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 38% | 46% | 15% | .31 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 29 | 41% | 3.96 | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 39% | 16% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 12 | 29:44 | 20.4 | 37% | 32% | 5.9 | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 28.9 |
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 27.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 47% (93) | 35% (128) | 37.5 | 151.4 | 4 | 11 (116) | -.03 (125) | 2.88 (97) | 74% (65) | 12% (110) | 0.9 (102) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 48% (40) | 38% (23) | - | - | - | - | .11 (65) | 2.82 (40) | 69% (42) | 11% (42) | 1.2 (130) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 53% (43) | 33% (126) | 20.7 | 36.4 | 238.6 | 6.6 | 11.5 | 23 (41) | 12 (85) | .16 (104) | 1.8 (21) | 34% (116) | 22% (131) | .17 (118) | 6% (77) | 2.2 (16) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 46% (115) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .51 (131) | 1.9 (133) | 32% (64) | 33% (100) | .45 (118) | 4% (130) | 2.3 (132) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Tulsa's Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -26.23 Arkansas State: -6.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -20.6 Arkansas State: -9.9
Tulsa: -26.23 Arkansas State: -6.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -20.6 Arkansas State: -9.9
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3
Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3
Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 40
Tulsa 23
Total Points: 63
Arkansas State 40
Tulsa 23
Total Points: 63
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/07 | Arkansas State | 28 | Tulsa | 24 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -9.5 | Tulsa | 65.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Tulsa | 41 | Arkansas State | 34 | Tulsa | Tulsa -14.5 | Arkansas State | 65.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/15 | Tulsa | 20 | Arkansas State | 29 | Arkansas State | Tulsa -2 | Arkansas State | 71.0 | Under |
| 2003 | 09/20 | Tulsa | 54 | Arkansas State | 7 | Tulsa | ||||
| 2002 | 09/07 | Arkansas State | 21 | Tulsa | 19 | Arkansas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 3 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Tulsa | 2 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 1 | 0 - 3 | 0 - 3 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 4 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 3 - 0 |
(#132) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa offense is explosive (#97)
Tulsa has a good run defense (#90)
Tulsa Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#64)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Tulsa offense is really bad (#88)
Tulsa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#79)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa pass game is really bad (#49)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa does not Sack the QB (#31)
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)
Tulsa has a bad red zone defense (#83)
Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa offense is explosive (#97)
Tulsa has a good run defense (#90)
Tulsa Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#64)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Tulsa offense is really bad (#88)
Tulsa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#79)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa pass game is really bad (#49)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa does not Sack the QB (#31)
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)
Tulsa has a bad red zone defense (#83)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | TLSA |
| OverallOver | #73 | #98 |
| OffenseOff | #67 | #95 |
| DefenseDef | #100 | #112 |
| Special TeamsST | #64 | #96 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #89 |
| RushingRush | #71 | #75 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #23 | #95 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #97 | #105 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #74 | #62 |
| TacklingTkl | #112 | #114 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #99 | #85 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #67 | #39 |
| Coverage DefCov | #98 | #113 |
Rematch from Week 2
Arkansas State -9.5 (65.5)
Arkansas State won vs Tulsa this year (28-24)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Tulsa last year (28-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | ARST
Depth Chart: TLSA | ARST
Rosters: TLSA | ARST
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has won 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has won 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Francis | 149 | 253 | 59% | 1585 | 9 | 6 | 6.3 |
| Cooper Legas (Tr) | 87 | 162 | 54% | 1144 | 12 | 6 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Watkins | 87 | 402 | 4 | 4.6 | 77 |
| Viron Ellison Jr. | 62 | 353 | 1 | 5.7 | 32 |
| Bill Jackson | 67 | 319 | 0 | 4.8 | 37 |
| Lloyd Avant | 76 | 259 | 1 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Benjamin | 70 | 822 | 6 | 11.7 | 74 |
| Joseph Williams | 30 | 588 | 5 | 19.6 | 72 |
| Luke Mcgary | 17 | 231 | 1 | 13.6 | 32 |
| Zion Steptoe (Tr) | 15 | 203 | 0 | 13.5 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Potter (Tr) | 75 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Dayne Hodge | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Malachi Jones | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Zach Marcheselli (Tr) | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Jackson | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Owen Ostroski | 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Vontroy Malone | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Myles Jackson (Tr) | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keuan Parker | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Buddha Garrett | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Dayne Hodge | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Wallace | 154 | 721 | 11 | 4.7 | 57 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Courtney Jackson | 42 | 494 | 2 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Reagan Ealy | 23 | 262 | 0 | 11.4 | 22 |
| Adam Jones | 21 | 255 | 3 | 12.1 | 46 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Justin Parks | 96 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Charles Willekes | 92 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Trevian Thomas | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |