Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Panthers
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (5:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -2.5 (60.0) (-135) Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 27 - Georgia State: 20 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
GAST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -9 (SP+ ARST -8)
Projected Score: ARST: 34 - GAST: 25 (59)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 385 miles, 1 hrs behind
GAST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas State -9 (SP+ ARST -8)
Projected Score: ARST: 34 - GAST: 25 (59)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 385 miles, 1 hrs behind
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Georgia State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Georgia State at Georgia Tech | +20.5 | 57.0 | L 12 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Georgia State vs Chattanooga | -9.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Georgia State vs Vanderbilt | +8.5 | 45.5 | W 36 - 32 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Georgia State vs Georgia Southern | -3.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Georgia State vs Old Dominion | -3.0 | 53.0 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 10/17 | Georgia State at Marshall | +9.5 | 51.5 | L 20 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Georgia State at App State | +7.5 | 59.0 | L 26 - 33 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | Georgia State at UConn | +7.0 | 48.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Georgia State at James Madison | +14.5 | 53.5 | L 7 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Georgia State vs Arkansas State | -2.5 | 60.0 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Georgia State at Texas State | +23.0 | 59.5 | W 52 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina | -0.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 25.8 | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 32.2 | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GAST | #92 (.15) | 41% (90) | 23.8 | 42% (92) | 2.94 (86) | 134 | 41% (79) | 256 | 3.85 (76) | #121 (.28) | 48% (123) | 33.8 | 49% (119) | 46% (118) | 4.42 (120) | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||
| GAST | #92 (.15) | 41% (90) | 42% (92) | 2.94 (86) | 134 | 41% (79) | 256 | 3.85 (76) | #121 (.28) | 48% (123) | 49% (119) | 46% (118) | 4.42 (120) | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 20.7 | 41% | 3.96 | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 39% | 16% | .17 |
| GAST Defense | 12 | 33.8 | 31.2 | 47.6% | 4.42 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 49% | 46% | 14% | .28 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 37.3 | 48% | 4.62 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 51% | 44% | 15% | .31 |
| GAST Offense | 12 | 23.8 | 23.7 | 41.2% | 3.85 | 1.6 | 21 | 390 | 134 | 256 | 4.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% | 41% | 18% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 27.6 |
| Georgia State | 12 | 29:58 | 20.7 | 36% | 37% | 5.1 | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 30.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
| GAST Defense | 12 | 58% (130) | 49% (119) | - | - | - | - | .22 (115) | 3.36 (117) | 79% (104) | 8% (124) | 0.95 (51) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
| GAST Offense | 12 | 42% (118) | 42% (92) | 30 | 134 | 4.5 | 13 (105) | .06 (105) | 2.94 (86) | 67% (108) | 10% (83) | 0.95 (74) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| GAST Defense | 12 | 42% (5) | 46% (118) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .38 (124) | 1.6 (80) | 29% (108) | 38% (125) | .46 (123) | 6% (60) | 1.8 (11) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
| GAST Offense | 12 | 58% (15) | 41% (79) | 22.6 | 37.4 | 255.8 | 6.8 | 11.3 | 21 (51) | 13 (103) | .24 (78) | 1.6 (66) | 33% (98) | 32% (59) | .37 (54) | 7% (114) | 2.1 (53) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.76 Georgia State: -17.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Georgia State: -17.9
Arkansas State: -7.76 Georgia State: -17.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Georgia State: -17.9
Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -17.635 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Georgia State's Power Rating: -17.635 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 34
Georgia State 25
Total Points: 59
Arkansas State 34
Georgia State 25
Total Points: 59
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2
Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2
Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Georgia State | 20 | Arkansas State | 27 | Arkansas State | Georgia State -2.5 | Arkansas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/20 | Georgia State | 28 | Arkansas State | 20 | Georgia State | Georgia State -15.5 | Arkansas State | 66.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/15 | Arkansas State | 59 | Georgia State | 52 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -3.5 | Arkansas State | 72.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Georgia State | 52 | Arkansas State | 38 | Georgia State | Arkansas State -6.5 | Georgia State | 69.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/18 | Arkansas State | 51 | Georgia State | 35 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -13.5 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/03 | Georgia State | 16 | Arkansas State | 31 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -2 | Arkansas State | 48.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/31 | Arkansas State | 48 | Georgia State | 34 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -18.5 | Georgia State | 57.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Georgia State | 10 | Arkansas State | 52 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -13.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Arkansas State | 35 | Georgia State | 33 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -23 | Georgia State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 2 | 3 | 4 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 3 | 3 - 6 | 2 - 4 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 6 | 6 - 3 | 2 - 1 | 4 - 2 |
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State offense is not Explosive (#62)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | GAST | ARST |
| OverallOver | #87 | #73 |
| OffenseOff | #88 | #67 |
| DefenseDef | #99 | #100 |
| Special TeamsST | #44 | #64 |
| PassingPass | #76 | #37 |
| RushingRush | #37 | #71 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #97 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #90 | #97 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #73 | #74 |
| TacklingTkl | #31 | #112 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #95 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #77 | #67 |
| Coverage DefCov | #99 | #98 |
Rematch from Week 12
Georgia State -2.5 (60.0)
Arkansas State won at Georgia State this year (27-20)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia State last year (27-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ARST | GAST
Depth Chart: ARST | GAST
Rosters: ARST | GAST
(#124) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -17.635 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Georgia State has lost 6 straight
Georgia State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)
Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
Power Rating: -17.635 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Georgia State has lost 6 straight
Georgia State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)
Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Wallace | 154 | 721 | 11 | 4.7 | 57 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Courtney Jackson | 42 | 494 | 2 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Reagan Ealy | 23 | 262 | 0 | 11.4 | 22 |
| Adam Jones | 21 | 255 | 3 | 12.1 | 46 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Justin Parks | 96 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Charles Willekes | 92 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Trevian Thomas | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Veilleux (Tr) | 166 | 291 | 57% | 2047 | 13 | 11 | 7.0 |
| Zach Gibson (Tr) | 102 | 151 | 68% | 1004 | 7 | 2 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Brock | 151 | 819 | 8 | 5.4 | 57 |
| Michel Dukes | 63 | 365 | 2 | 5.8 | 35 |
| Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr) | 23 | 97 | 0 | 4.2 | 41 |
| Christian Veilleux (Tr) | 28 | 74 | 1 | 2.6 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Hurst (Tr) | 56 | 961 | 9 | 17.2 | 76 |
| Dorian Fleming | 49 | 558 | 6 | 11.4 | 58 |
| Michel Dukes | 43 | 354 | 3 | 8.2 | 26 |
| Petey Tucker | 30 | 324 | 0 | 10.8 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Johnson | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Josiah Robinson | 62 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Xavier Robinson (Tr) | 60 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jyron Gilmore (Tr) | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Swint | 48 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Henry Bryant | 30 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Josiah Robinson | 62 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Xavier Robinson (Tr) | 60 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Pringle | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Izaiah Guy | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |