Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Thursday, October 7th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Coastal Carolina -20.5 (74.5)
Coastal Carolina 52 - Arkansas State: 20 (Sun Belt)

Chanticleers (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 41 - 22 (32 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST is playing their 6th straight game
CCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ CCU -31)
Projected Score: CCU: 42 - ARST: 27 (69)
CCU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
CCU Travel: 676 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (29 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CCU Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Coastal Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel	-33.5	54.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel	-30
Fri 9/10	Coastal Carolina vs Kansas	-26.5	52.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Coastal Carolina at Buffalo	-14.0	58.0	W 28 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/25	Coastal Carolina vs Massachusetts	-36.0	66.0	W 53 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe	-33.5	57.5	W 59 - 6	O	Y
Thu 10/7	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	-20.5	74.5	W 52 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/20	Coastal Carolina at App State	-4.5	61.0	L 27 - 30	U	N
Thu 10/28	Coastal Carolina vs Troy	-17.0	50.0	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/6	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	-16.0	56.5	W 28 - 8	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-12.5	53.5	L 40 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	-24.5	60.5	W 35 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/26	Coastal Carolina at South Alabama	-14.5	55.5	W 27 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/17	Coastal Carolina vs Northern Illinois	-11.0	63.0	W 47 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-13.5	64.0	W 40 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas State vs Memphis	+5.5	65.0	L 50 - 55	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas State at Washington	+17.5	58.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/25	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+14.5	65.0	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	+1.5	66.5	L 33 - 59	O	N
Thu 10/7	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	+20.5	74.5	L 20 - 52	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+17.0	70.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Arkansas State at South Alabama	+9.5	67.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Arkansas State vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	+3.0	66.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Arkansas State at Georgia State	+15.5	66.0	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-2.0	62.0	L 22 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	.45	53%	40.9	51%	3.56	229	58%	266	4.95	.18	40%	21.6	43%	39%	4.04	51.2	0.8	1.1
ARST	.17	37%	25.3	35%	2.99	81	38%	313	3.37	.35	45%	38.6	48%	43%	4.51	46	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	#73 (.18)	40% (98)		43% (81)	3.05 (63)	173	37% (112)	202	4.24 (36)	#94 (.21)	43% (90)		46% (98)	41% (72)	4.12 (101)	63.8	1.3	1.7
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Offense	13	40.9	32.4	53.5%	4.95	0.8	24	495	229	266	5.8	58%	42%	51%	58%	14%	.45
ARST Defense	12	38.6	38	45.3%	4.51	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	48%	43%	19%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Defense	13	21.6	20.8	40.5%	4.04	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	39%	19%	.18
ARST Offense	12	25.3	28.8	37%	3.37	1.8	21	394	81	313	2.8	36%	63%	35%	38%	27%	.17

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina	13	31:16	23.8	54%	77%	5.4	51.2	0.8	1.1	6.3	2.5	3	29.3
Arkansas State	12	29:07	21.4	32%	29%	5.6	46	1.8	1.2	5.5	2	3	25.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Offense	13	58%	51%	39.2	228.8	5.8	36	.34	3.56	73%	10%	1.14
ARST Defense	12	52%	48%	-	-	-	-	.38	3.27	70%	12%	1.3

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.93	72%	13%	1.08
ARST Offense	12	36%	35%	29.1	81.3	2.8	4	-	2.99	57%	16%	0.79

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Offense	13	42%	58%	17.5	24.8	265.9	10.7	15.2	33	4	.6	1.6	25%	44%	.69	4%	2
ARST Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.7	32%	33%	.5	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.23	1.7	33%	29%	.31	6%	2.2
ARST Offense	12	63%	38%	25.8	43.8	313.1	7.2	12.1	27	17	.29	1.7	34%	29%	.35	11%	2

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Coastal Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
Coastal Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2 #25
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: Arkansas State: -6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: 13.2 Arkansas State: -17.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.45 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #120
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.4
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Coastal Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 42
Arkansas State 27

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
Coastal Carolina 46
Arkansas State 30

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
Coastal Carolina 38
Arkansas State 24

Total Points: 62

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 38

Arkansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Arkansas State	17	Coastal Carolina	27	Coastal Carolina -8.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Under
2021	10/07	Arkansas State	20	Coastal Carolina	52	Coastal Carolina -20.5	Coastal Carolina	74.5	Under
2020	10/03	Coastal Carolina	52	Arkansas State	23	Arkansas State -3.5	Coastal Carolina	64.5	Over
2019	11/16	Arkansas State	28	Coastal Carolina	27	Arkansas State -14	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Under
2018	11/10	Coastal Carolina	16	Arkansas State	44	Arkansas State -6.5	Arkansas State	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Arkansas State	51	Coastal Carolina	17	Arkansas State -16.5	Arkansas State	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	3	2	2 Overs
Coastal Carolina	3	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1

(#) CCU at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CCU	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#123
OffenseOff	#8	#112
DefenseDef	#48	#129
Spec TeamsST	#19	#41
TalentTal	#100	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#129
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	#23	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#127

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#39
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#48
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#110	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#34

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#77	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 6
Coastal Carolina 20.5 (74.5)
Coastal Carolina won at Arkansas State this year (52-20)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Arkansas State in 2023 (27-17)

CCU's OC Willy Korn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD