Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
ARST coming off BYE
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -11 (SP+ USA -7)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - USA: 37 (59)
USA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 387 miles
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -11 (SP+ USA -7)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - USA: 37 (59)
USA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 387 miles
Jaguars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23 | |||||
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -7 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +11 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +9 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | -0 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | +2 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| South Alabama's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | South Alabama vs Morgan State | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/6 | South Alabama vs Tulane | +4 | |||||
| Sat 9/13 | South Alabama at Auburn | +22.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/20 | South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina | -11 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | South Alabama at North Texas | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | South Alabama at Troy | +1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | South Alabama vs Arkansas State | -11 | |||||
| Thu 10/23 | South Alabama at Georgia State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | South Alabama vs Louisiana | -6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | South Alabama at UL Monroe | -9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | South Alabama vs Southern Miss | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | South Alabama at Texas State | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 25.8 | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 32.2 | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 34.4 | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 25.2 | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| USA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 20.7 | 41% | 3.96 | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 39% | 16% | .17 |
| USA Defense | 13 | 25.2 | 27.8 | 40.9% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 39% | 43% | 16% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 37.3 | 48% | 4.62 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 51% | 44% | 15% | .31 |
| USA Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 44 | 49.8% | 4.66 | 0.9 | 22 | 442 | 199 | 243 | 5.8 | 51% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 14% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 27.6 |
| South Alabama | 13 | 29:20 | 21.5 | 39% | 68% | 8.2 | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 48% (38) | 39% (28) | - | - | - | - | .09 (53) | 2.78 (32) | 71% (51) | 10% (78) | 1.05 (98) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 51% (67) | 53% (4) | 34.1 | 199.2 | 5.8 | 32 (14) | .33 (3) | 3.57 (6) | 82% (12) | 10% (79) | 1.06 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 52% (98) | 43% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .24 (73) | 1.5 (32) | 32% (69) | 30% (55) | .15 (8) | 6% (59) | 1.7 (5) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 49% (68) | 47% (18) | 19.5 | 30 | 243.2 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 21 (51) | 6 (10) | .36 (27) | 1.5 (101) | 29% (27) | 33% (49) | .48 (15) | 4% (14) | 2.2 (14) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -12.25 South Alabama: -0.315
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 South Alabama: -3.4
Arkansas State: -12.25 South Alabama: -0.315
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 South Alabama: -3.4
South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -0.315 #70
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29
South Alabama's Power Rating: -0.315 #70
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 37
Arkansas State 26
Projected Total Points: 59
South Alabama 37
Arkansas State 26
Projected Total Points: 59
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Arkansas State | 18 | South Alabama | 16 | Arkansas State | South Alabama -2.5 | Arkansas State | 62.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | South Alabama | 21 | Arkansas State | 14 | South Alabama | South Alabama -14.5 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Arkansas State | 3 | South Alabama | 31 | South Alabama | South Alabama -9 | South Alabama | 52.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | South Alabama | 31 | Arkansas State | 13 | South Alabama | South Alabama -9.5 | South Alabama | 67.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Arkansas State | 31 | South Alabama | 38 | South Alabama | Arkansas State -7 | South Alabama | 63.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/29 | South Alabama | 34 | Arkansas State | 30 | South Alabama | Arkansas State -10.5 | South Alabama | 53.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Arkansas State | 38 | South Alabama | 14 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -14 | Arkansas State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | South Alabama | 24 | Arkansas State | 19 | South Alabama | Arkansas State -12.5 | South Alabama | 55.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Arkansas State | 17 | South Alabama | 7 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/13 | South Alabama | 31 | Arkansas State | 49 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 58.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | Arkansas State | 45 | South Alabama | 10 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -9.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | South Alabama | 16 | Arkansas State | 17 | Arkansas State | South Alabama -2.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 36 | South Alabama | 29 | Arkansas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 6 | 5 | 3 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 7 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 4 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 9 | 5 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
(#99) Arkansas State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.25 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY
Power #99
#70Off #62
#50Def #130
#94Talent #75
#96SP+ #100
#76SP+ Off #68
#74SP+ Def #122
#81Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat South Alabama last year (18-16)
South Alabama beat Arkansas State in 2023 (21-14)
South Alabama beat Arkansas State in 2022 (31-3)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ARST | USA
Depth Chart: ARST | USA
Rosters: ARST | USA
(#70) South Alabama Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.315 #70
Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama Notes
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/17) Davenport likely QB1, #2 LY, started Ohio game
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 4 portals. Looks good
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.315 #70
Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama Notes
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/17) Davenport likely QB1, #2 LY, started Ohio game
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 4 portals. Looks good
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Ethan Crawford (Tr) | 50 | 120 | 42% | 849 | 0 | 7 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 84 | 387 | 7 | 4.6 | 70 |
| Ethan Crawford (Tr) | 97 | 209 | 3 | 2.2 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 35 | 228 | 1 | 6.5 | 20 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 21 | 225 | 1 | 10.7 | 37 |
| Nazeviah Burris (Tr) | 22 | 209 | 1 | 9.5 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christopher Boti | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gavin Ransaw (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Gavin Ransaw (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Christopher Boti | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| James Reed III | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Marcus Bradley | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Davenport | 48 | 79 | 61% | 604 | 3 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Zach Pyron (Tr) | 35 | 65 | 54% | 409 | 2 | 3 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrel Bullock | 152 | 832 | 7 | 5.5 | 59 |
| Bishop Davenport | 37 | 161 | 1 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Zach Pyron (Tr) | 36 | 115 | 4 | 3.2 | 20 |
| PJ Martin | 13 | 98 | 1 | 7.5 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Voisin | 34 | 407 | 0 | 12.0 | 28 |
| Kentrel Bullock | 15 | 153 | 1 | 10.2 | 28 |
| Anthony Eager | 10 | 133 | 2 | 13.3 | 38 |
| Miller McCrumby (Tr) | 11 | 79 | 0 | 7.2 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blayne Myrick | 101 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Darius McKenzie | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Wesley Miller | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ed Smith IV | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Shattuck | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Thomas | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Blayne Myrick | 101 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Ed Smith IV | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius McKenzie | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Wesley Miller | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Blayne Myrick | 101 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |