Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -8.5 (57.5) (-325) Open: -6.0
Arkansas State 15 - South Alabama: 14 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
ARST coming off BYE
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -0.5 (SP+ ARST -2)
Projected Score: ARST: 27 - USA: 28 (55)
USA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 387 miles
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -0.5 (SP+ ARST -2)
Projected Score: ARST: 27 - USA: 28 (55)
USA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 387 miles
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +1.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +7.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +6.5 | 54.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +1.0 | 54.5 | W 30 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/18 | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
| South Alabama's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | South Alabama vs Morgan State | -28.5 | 51.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | South Alabama vs Tulane | +13.5 | 51.5 | L 31 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | South Alabama at Auburn | +26.5 | 56.5 | L 15 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina | -14.5 | 51.5 | L 20 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | South Alabama at North Texas | +13.5 | 63.5 | L 22 - 36 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | South Alabama at Troy | -2.5 | 46.5 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | South Alabama vs Arkansas State | -8.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 15 | U | N | |
| Thu 10/23 | South Alabama at Georgia State | -5.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | South Alabama vs Louisiana | -3.5 | 52.5 | L 22 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | South Alabama at UL Monroe | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 26 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | South Alabama vs Southern Miss | +2.5 | 53.0 | W 42 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | South Alabama at Texas State | +9.5 | 62.5 | L 26 - 49 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #112 (.09) | 42% (71) | 25.2 | 40% (102) | 2.65 (118) | 124 | 44% (47) | 260 | 3.31 (110) | #89 (.19) | 43% (90) | 27.4 | 44% (81) | 43% (93) | 3.9 (93) | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| USA | #80 (.16) | 42% (83) | 26.5 | 43% (77) | 3.03 (55) | 201 | 40% (94) | 181 | 4.01 (40) | #117 (.24) | 43% (88) | 30.4 | 47% (117) | 40% (47) | 4.35 (127) | 54.9 | 1 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 21 | 42% | 3.31 | 1.8 | 22 | 383 | 124 | 260 | 3.6 | 42% | 56% | 40% | 44% | 18% | .09 |
| USA Defense | 12 | 30.4 | 28.8 | 43.2% | 4.35 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 47% | 40% | 15% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 21.8 | 43.4% | 3.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
| USA Offense | 12 | 26.5 | 27.8 | 41.5% | 4.01 | 1 | 21 | 382 | 201 | 181 | 4.6 | 60% | 38% | 43% | 40% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 29:31 | 22.2 | 39% | 60% | 6.3 | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 30.4 |
| South Alabama | 12 | 31:08 | 20.6 | 43% | 54% | 6.5 | 54.9 | 1 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1 | 0 | 28.6 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 42% (122) | 40% (102) | 34.5 | 123.5 | 3.6 | 14 (107) | -.01 (125) | 2.65 (118) | 70% (80) | 10% (89) | 0.8 (125) |
| USA Defense | 12 | 54% (119) | 47% (117) | - | - | - | - | .18 (111) | 3.15 (109) | 91% (136) | 8% (108) | 0.92 (51) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (96) | 44% (81) | - | - | - | - | .12 (80) | 2.75 (45) | 69% (50) | 11% (39) | 1.01 (92) |
| USA Offense | 12 | 60% (10) | 43% (77) | 44.3 | 201.2 | 4.6 | 30 (60) | .14 (59) | 3.03 (55) | 76% (40) | 9% (54) | 1.02 (50) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 56% (13) | 44% (47) | 25.7 | 39.1 | 259.8 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 20 (86) | 12 (60) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (122) | 30% (47) | 28% (86) | .27 (83) | 8% (125) | 2.1 (27) |
| USA Defense | 12 | 44% (19) | 40% (47) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (100) | .34 (113) | 1.8 (129) | 33% (40) | 29% (63) | .37 (105) | 6% (59) | 2.3 (129) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 47% (44) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .31 (97) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (87) | 32% (99) | .41 (118) | 5% (109) | 2.2 (117) |
| USA Offense | 12 | 38% (125) | 40% (94) | 17.7 | 25.8 | 181.1 | 7 | 10.3 | 13 (86) | 6 (34) | .23 (80) | 1.5 (81) | 31% (56) | 27% (102) | .28 (73) | 4% (19) | 2.1 (32) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -9.82 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -9.82 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.82 South Alabama: -9.42
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.8 South Alabama: -11.9
Arkansas State: -9.82 South Alabama: -9.42
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.8 South Alabama: -11.9
South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42 #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24 #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #126
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42 #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24 #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #126
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 28
Arkansas State 27
Total Points: 55
Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 28
South Alabama 24
Total Points: 52
Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 26
South Alabama 26
Total Points: 52
South Alabama 28
Arkansas State 27
Total Points: 55
Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 28
South Alabama 24
Total Points: 52
Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 26
South Alabama 26
Total Points: 52
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/14 | South Alabama | 14 | Arkansas State | 15 | South Alabama -8.5 | Arkansas State | 57.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/05 | Arkansas State | 18 | South Alabama | 16 | South Alabama -2.5 | Arkansas State | 62.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | South Alabama | 21 | Arkansas State | 14 | South Alabama -14.5 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Arkansas State | 3 | South Alabama | 31 | South Alabama -9 | South Alabama | 52.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | South Alabama | 31 | Arkansas State | 13 | South Alabama -9.5 | South Alabama | 67.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Arkansas State | 31 | South Alabama | 38 | Arkansas State -7 | South Alabama | 63.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/29 | South Alabama | 34 | Arkansas State | 30 | Arkansas State -10.5 | South Alabama | 53.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Arkansas State | 38 | South Alabama | 14 | Arkansas State -14 | Arkansas State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | South Alabama | 24 | Arkansas State | 19 | Arkansas State -12.5 | South Alabama | 55.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Arkansas State | 17 | South Alabama | 7 | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/13 | South Alabama | 31 | Arkansas State | 49 | Arkansas State -6 | Arkansas State | 58.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | Arkansas State | 45 | South Alabama | 10 | Arkansas State -9.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | South Alabama | 16 | Arkansas State | 17 | South Alabama -2.5 | Arkansas State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Arkansas State | 36 | South Alabama | 29 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 6 | 5 | 3 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 8 | 8 | 8 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 5 | 7 - 6 | 4 - 4 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 9 | 6 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 4 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | USA |
| Power RatePwr | #108 | #119 |
| SP+SP+ | #105 | #113 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #93 | #101 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #88 |
| DefenseDef | #94 | #96 |
| Spec TeamsST | #62 | #61 |
| TalentTal | #75 | #103 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #79 | #101 |
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | USA Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #86 | #96 |
| SuccessSuc | #71 | #88 |
| ExplosiveExp | #124 | #72 |
| PPAPPA | #112 | #117 |
| PowerPwr | #102 | #119 |
| SP+SP+ | #97 | #126 |
| Pts POPPO | #110 | #127 |
| HavocHav | #111 | #94 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | USA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #115 | #112 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #102 | #117 |
| Run ExplRExp | #125 | #51 |
| PPAExp | #125 | #111 | Run BlockR Blk | #79 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #118 | #109 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #111 | #102 |
| TackleTak | - | #129 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | USA Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #78 | #31 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #47 | #47 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #122 | #129 |
| PPAExp | #86 | #113 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #13 | #130 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #108 |
| DB HavocDB | #125 | #59 |
| Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USA Off | ARST Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #88 | #94 |
| SuccessSuc | #83 | #90 |
| ExplosiveExp | #94 | #95 |
| PPAPPA | #80 | #89 |
| PowerPwr | #89 | #102 |
| SP+SP+ | #80 | #104 |
| Pts POPPO | #40 | #93 |
| HavocHav | #30 | #70 |
| Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38% | ||
|---|---|---|
| USA Off | ARST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #10 | #79 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #77 | #81 |
| Run ExplRExp | #50 | #92 |
| PPAExp | #59 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #133 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #55 | #45 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #26 | #64 |
| TackleTak | - | #48 |
| Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USA Off | ARST Def |
| Pass GamePass | #107 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #94 | #93 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #81 | #89 |
| PPAExp | #80 | #97 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #51 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #54 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #19 | #109 |
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74°
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74°
South Alabama -8.5 (57.5)
Arkansas State won at South Alabama this year (15-14)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat South Alabama last year (18-16)
South Alabama beat Arkansas State in 2023 (21-14)
South Alabama beat Arkansas State in 2022 (31-3)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 332 | 500 | 66% | 3364 | 19 | 11 | 6.7 |
| Josh Flowers | 2 | 6 | 33% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Spencer | 108 | 559 | 3 | 5.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 139 | 523 | 3 | 3.8 | 30 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 154 | 428 | 7 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Josh Flowers | 9 | 60 | 0 | 6.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 73 | 1029 | 4 | 14.1 | 71 |
| Chauncy Cobb | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Hunter Summers | 44 | 505 | 4 | 11.5 | 43 |
| Tyler Fortenberry (Tr) | 32 | 294 | 2 | 9.2 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Taylor | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Brandon Barnes | 68 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Hendricks | 53 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Ethan Hassler | 56 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Davenport | 200 | 294 | 68% | 2072 | 12 | 6 | 7.0 |
| Jared Hollins | 12 | 16 | 75% | 101 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrel Bullock | 218 | 1085 | 14 | 5.0 | 64 |
| Keenan Phillips | 126 | 622 | 3 | 4.9 | 54 |
| Bishop Davenport | 116 | 326 | 9 | 2.8 | 56 |
| PJ Martin | 60 | 326 | 2 | 5.4 | 38 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Voisin | 67 | 775 | 4 | 11.6 | 65 |
| Jeremy Scott | 24 | 417 | 4 | 17.4 | 74 |
| Anthony Eager | 40 | 339 | 1 | 8.5 | 48 |
| Miller McCrumby (Tr) | 15 | 128 | 0 | 8.5 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blayne Myrick | 84 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Christopher Wallace Jr. | 73 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius McKenzie | 71 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Tirrell Johnson Jr. | 54 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Thomas | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Jennings | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| E'Mauri Smiley | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Waller (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah Chandler (Tr) | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Ty Goodwill | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jayvon Henderson (Tr) | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |