Arkansas State at Memphis - 2022 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -14.5 (64.0)
Memphis 44 - Arkansas State: 32

 
Red Wolves (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 25 - 31 (20 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ MEM -20)
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - MEM: 33 (57)
MEM Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
ARST Travel: 64 miles
Tigers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 35 - 26 (37 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arkansas State vs Grambling-25.557.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 9/10 Arkansas State at Ohio State+44.568.5L 12 - 45UY
Sat 9/17 Arkansas State at Memphis+14.564.0L 32 - 44OY
Sat 9/24 Arkansas State at Old Dominion+5.055.5L 26 - 29UY
Sat 10/1 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-7.558.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 10/8 Arkansas State vs James Madison+11.555.0L 20 - 42ON
Sat 10/15 Arkansas State at Southern Miss+4.553.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 10/22 Arkansas State at Louisiana+6.051.0L 18 - 38ON
Sat 10/29 Arkansas State vs South Alabama+9.052.5L 3 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Arkansas State vs Massachusetts-17.049.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 11/19 Arkansas State at Texas State+6.050.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/26 Arkansas State vs Troy+13.543.5L 19 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Memphis's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Memphis at Mississippi State+17.058.0L 23 - 49ON
Sat 9/10 Memphis at Navy-4.547.5W 37 - 13OY
Sat 9/17 Memphis vs Arkansas State-14.564.0W 44 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Memphis vs North Texas-13.068.5W 44 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Memphis vs Temple-18.550.0W 24 - 3UY
Fri 10/7 Memphis vs Houston-1.557.5L 32 - 33ON
Sat 10/15 Memphis at East Carolina+5.562.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 10/22 Memphis at Tulane+7.055.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Memphis vs UCF+3.060.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 11/10 Memphis vs Tulsa-7.062.0W 26 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Memphis vs North Alabama-36.067.5W 59 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Memphis at SMU+4.569.0L 31 - 34UY
Tue 12/27 Memphis vs Utah State-8.057.0W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.136%2535%2.368838%2273.48.2444%31.445%43%4.5854.50.81.1
MEM.244%35.344%2.914245%2804.16.1843%2641%46%4.3436.91.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense12252036.1%3.480.817315882272.842%57%35%38%21%.1
MEM Defense13262143%4.342.1 - - - - - 47%52%41%46%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1231.43244.2%4.581.1 - - - - - 55%44%45%43%18%.24
MEM Offense1335.336.744.3%4.161.2234221422803.847%52%44%45%16%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1230:1417.229%61%5.754.50.81.16.41.9229
Memphis1330:5022.545%54%4.136.91.22.14.61.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1242%35%31.888.22.816-.032.3675%16%1
MEM Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.9670%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1255%45% - - - - .16376%12%0.97
MEM Offense1347%44%37.9142.43.830.122.974%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1257%38%20.633226.86.911165.211.638%25%.196%2.1
MEM Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 16.31.532%36%.436%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1244%43% - - - - - - 6.41.831%31%.316%2.1
MEM Offense1352%45%22.435280.1812.5238.311.530%33%.396%2.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0  #107
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #89
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Memphis: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -13.0   Memphis: 6.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2022 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #27
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #90

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Arkansas State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 33
Arkansas State 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 32
Arkansas State 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 34
Arkansas State 23

Total Points: 57
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Memphis's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Arkansas State3Memphis37Memphis -21Memphis57.0Under
202209/17Memphis44Arkansas State32Memphis -14.5Arkansas State64.0Over
202109/11Arkansas State50Memphis55Memphis -5.5Arkansas State65.0Over
202009/05Memphis37Arkansas State24Memphis -18.5Arkansas State71.5Under
201309/21Memphis31Arkansas State7Arkansas State -3Memphis0
201209/08Arkansas State33Memphis28
201109/10Arkansas State47Memphis3
200809/27Memphis29Arkansas State17
200709/27Arkansas State35Memphis31
200610/14Memphis23Arkansas State26
200409/18Arkansas State35Memphis47
200309/27Memphis38Arkansas State16
200009/15Arkansas State17Memphis19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis922 Overs
Arkansas State432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 52 - 30 - 22 - 1
Road Teams5 - 83 - 21 - 22 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #49
Perf GradeGrade #93 #38
OffenseOff #91 #63
DefenseDef #108 #31
Spec TeamsST #55 #63
TalentTal #88 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #91 #31
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMEM Def
Run GameRun #112 #29
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #65
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMEM Def
Pass GamePass #54 #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #118 #106
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #108
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffARST Def
Run GameRun #66 #105
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #120
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffARST Def
Pass GamePass #17 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #55 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Memphis -14.5 (64.0)
Memphis won vs Arkansas State this year (44-32)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2022 (44-32)

  
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD