Old Dominion Monarchs at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Old Dominion -5.5 (58.5) (-210) Open: -4.0 | 58.5
Old Dominion 40 - Arkansas State: 32 (Sun Belt)
Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
ARST 2nd straight Home Game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -1.5 (SP+ ODU -4)
Projected Score: ODU: 30 - ARST: 28 (57)
ODU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ODU Travel: 802 miles, 1 hrs ahead
ARST 2nd straight Home Game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -1.5 (SP+ ODU -4)
Projected Score: ODU: 30 - ARST: 28 (57)
ODU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ODU Travel: 802 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Old Dominion at South Carolina | +20.5 | 49.5 | L 19 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Old Dominion vs East Carolina | -1.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 17 - 37 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Old Dominion at Bowling Green | +11.0 | 51.5 | W 30 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina | +4.0 | 51.5 | L 37 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Old Dominion at Georgia State | +3.0 | 53.0 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Old Dominion vs Texas State | +10.5 | 60.0 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Thu 10/24 | Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern | +1.0 | 52.0 | W 47 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Old Dominion at App State | -2.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 28 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Old Dominion vs James Madison | +1.5 | 51.0 | L 32 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Old Dominion vs Marshall | -3.0 | 51.0 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Old Dominion at Arkansas State | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 40 - 32 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | #102 (.13) | 38% (109) | 28 | 41% (92) | 3.08 (76) | 154 | 37% (107) | 195 | 3.14 (117) | #30 (.13) | 44% (100) | 28 | 42% (60) | 47% (124) | 3.49 (46) | 60.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 42% (73) | 25.8 | 43% (71) | 3.12 (65) | 148 | 41% (80) | 225 | 3.21 (114) | #110 (.25) | 42% (72) | 32.2 | 44% (80) | 41% (59) | 4.05 (92) | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| ARST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Offense | 13 | 28 | 27.8 | 38.5% | 3.14 | 1.4 | 17 | 348 | 154 | 195 | 4.2 | 50% | 49% | 41% | 37% | 20% | .13 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 27.2 | 42.3% | 4.05 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 15% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Defense | 13 | 28 | 28.2 | 44.1% | 3.49 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 47% | 17% | .13 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 29 | 41.6% | 3.21 | 1 | 20 | 374 | 148 | 225 | 4.2 | 50% | 49% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 13 | 24:49 | 16.5 | 37% | 27% | 6.5 | 60.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.1 |
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:17 | 19.8 | 36% | 35% | 6.2 | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Offense | 13 | 50% (70) | 41% (92) | 36.5 | 153.5 | 4.2 | 15 (100) | .17 (58) | 3.08 (76) | 62% (127) | 15% (131) | 1.18 (4) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 50% (65) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .17 (88) | 3.09 (66) | 85% (124) | 10% (71) | 1.01 (78) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Defense | 13 | 52% (98) | 42% (60) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (11) | 2.81 (22) | 70% (50) | 11% (56) | 0.73 (2) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 50% (72) | 43% (71) | 35.3 | 148.2 | 4.2 | 20 (61) | .16 (66) | 3.12 (65) | 69% (104) | 9% (58) | 1.05 (43) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Offense | 13 | 49% (68) | 37% (107) | 15.7 | 27.8 | 194.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 20 (70) | 11 (68) | .15 (112) | 1.7 (39) | 35% (119) | 31% (70) | .3 (79) | 5% (37) | 2.2 (33) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 49% (73) | 41% (59) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .34 (105) | 1.6 (59) | 31% (83) | 24% (11) | .3 (66) | 5% (111) | 2.2 (116) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU Defense | 13 | 47% (38) | 47% (124) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .31 (93) | 1.5 (39) | 28% (126) | 30% (71) | .24 (36) | 6% (70) | 2.1 (76) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 49% (65) | 41% (80) | 16 | 28.5 | 225.5 | 7.9 | 14.1 | 17 (85) | 9 (40) | .24 (83) | 1.7 (40) | 31% (59) | 31% (68) | .28 (88) | 6% (87) | 2.1 (53) |
Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -3.84 Arkansas State: -6.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -6.0 Arkansas State: -9.9
Old Dominion: -3.84 Arkansas State: -6.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -6.0 Arkansas State: -9.9
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2
Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2
Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 30
Arkansas State 28
Projected Total Points: 57
Old Dominion 30
Arkansas State 28
Projected Total Points: 57
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Arkansas State | 32 | Old Dominion | 40 | Old Dominion | Old Dominion -5.5 | Old Dominion | 58.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/24 | Old Dominion | 29 | Arkansas State | 26 | Old Dominion | Old Dominion -5 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Old Dominion | 2 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#77) Old Dominion Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.
Power #77
#91Off #34
#62Def #66
#124Talent #126
#65SP+ #95
#104SP+ Off #78
#87SP+ Def #99
#119Rematch from Week 14
Old Dominion 5.5 (58.5)
Old Dominion won at Arkansas State this year (40-32)
Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Arkansas State last year (40-32)
Old Dominion beat Arkansas State in 2022 (29-26)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 49° - Wind: 14 mph
Team Information
Injuries: ODU | ARST
Depth Chart: ODU | ARST
Rosters: ODU | ARST
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.33 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Joseph | 133 | 222 | 60% | 1623 | 11 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Grant Wilson | 48 | 86 | 56% | 507 | 4 | 3 | 5.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Young (Tr) | 149 | 768 | 6 | 5.2 | 51 |
| Colton Joseph | 114 | 647 | 11 | 5.7 | 39 |
| Bryce Duke (Tr) | 46 | 285 | 0 | 6.2 | 48 |
| Quinn Henicle | 34 | 278 | 3 | 8.2 | 92 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Conroy (Tr) | 37 | 523 | 5 | 14.1 | 75 |
| Diante Vines (Tr) | 36 | 393 | 2 | 10.9 | 40 |
| Demariyon Houston | 9 | 83 | 3 | 9.2 | 30 |
| Bryce Duke (Tr) | 9 | 58 | 1 | 6.4 | 26 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koa Naotala | 87 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Jahron Manning | 85 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Mario Thompson | 66 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Jahleel Culbreath | 62 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Thompson | 66 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Koa Naotala | 87 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Kris Trinidad | 44 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Jeremy Mack Jr. | 22 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Reason | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Will Jones II (Tr) | 44 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Jahron Manning | 85 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Malik Hornsby (Tr) | 5 | 86 | 1 | 17.2 | 73 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 35 | 228 | 1 | 6.5 | 20 |
| Hunter Summers (Tr) | 9 | 116 | 2 | 12.9 | 32 |
| Miller McCrumby | 11 | 79 | 0 | 7.2 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Tim Hardiman | 31 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |