Central Arkansas at Arkansas State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Central Arkansas logo   Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas State Red Wolves  Arkansas State logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -13.5 (64.0)
Arkansas State 40 - Central Arkansas: 21

 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 61 (6 - 61 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ARST -18)
ARST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
Red Wolves (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Central Arkansas at Arkansas State+13.564.0L 21 - 40UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-13.564.0W 40 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Arkansas State vs Memphis+5.565.0L 50 - 55OY
Sat 9/18 Arkansas State at Washington+17.558.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/25 Arkansas State at Tulsa+14.565.0L 34 - 41OY
Sat 10/2 Arkansas State at Georgia Southern+1.566.5L 33 - 59ON
Thu 10/7 Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+20.574.5L 20 - 52UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+17.070.0L 27 - 28UY
Sat 10/30 Arkansas State at South Alabama+9.567.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Arkansas State vs App State+21.567.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/13 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.066.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/20 Arkansas State at Georgia State+15.566.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/27 Arkansas State vs Texas State-2.062.0L 22 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%60%000%000%610%0%0000
ARST.2543%25.239%2.8212546%3643.99.2242%27.437%47%3.8857.41.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Offense2660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1127.427.242.2%3.881.1 - - - - - 50%50%37%47%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Defense261610%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARST Offense1125.22942.8%3.991.5244901253643.642%57%39%46%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Arkansas20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State1128:3824.540%50%6.457.41.51.16.91.8125.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Offense20%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense1150%37% - - - - .022.4464%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARST Offense1142%39%34.9125.23.67.012.8264%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense1150%47% - - - - - - 6.421.731%34%.45%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARST Offense1157%46%25.142.2364.48.614.5399.431.834%36%.47%2

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #177
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -17.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -6.45 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #120
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #109
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 61 PPG
Defense on Road: 61

Central Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 44
Central Arkansas 17

Projected Total Points: 61
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Arkansas State34Central Arkansas31
202109/04Arkansas State40Central Arkansas21Arkansas State -13.5Arkansas State64.0Under
202010/10Arkansas State50Central Arkansas27Arkansas State -15.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201609/24Arkansas State23Central Arkansas28Arkansas State -15.5Central Arkansas0
201109/24Arkansas State53Central Arkansas24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State421 Overs
Central Arkansas111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) UCA at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCAARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #120
Perf GradeGradeNR #123
OffenseOffNR #112
DefenseDefNR #129
Spec TeamsSTNR #41
TalentTal #177 #82
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Central Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Run GameRunNR #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Central Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNR #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUCA Def
Run GameRun #110NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
Pass GamePass #76NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UCA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas State -13.5 (64.0)
Arkansas State won vs Central Arkansas this year (40-21)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Central Arkansas in 2024 (34-31)

  
UCA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster

UCA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD