Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Troy -7.5 (52.5) (-310) Open: -7.0
Arkansas State 23 - Troy: 10 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
TROY 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -7.5 (SP+ TROY -7)
Projected Score: ARST: 22 - TROY: 29 (51)
TROY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 389 miles
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -7.5 (SP+ TROY -7)
Projected Score: ARST: 22 - TROY: 29 (51)
TROY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 389 miles
Trojans (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +1.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +7.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +6.5 | 54.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +1.0 | 54.5 | W 30 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/18 | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
| Troy's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Troy vs Nicholls | -16.5 | 46.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Troy at Clemson | +31.0 | 51.5 | L 16 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Troy vs Memphis | +4.5 | 51.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Troy at Buffalo | +5.5 | 43.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Troy vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 46.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Troy at Texas State | +7.5 | 53.5 | W 48 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Troy at UL Monroe | -4.5 | 45.5 | W 37 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Troy vs Louisiana | -7.0 | 47.5 | W 35 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Troy vs Arkansas State | -7.5 | 52.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/13 | Troy at Old Dominion | +9.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Troy vs Georgia State | -9.5 | 51.0 | W 31 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Troy at Southern Miss | +6.5 | 50.5 | W 28 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/5 | Troy at James Madison | +24.5 | 47.5 | L 14 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/16 | Troy vs Jacksonville State | +3.0 | 47.5 | L 13 - 17 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #112 (.09) | 42% (71) | 25.2 | 40% (102) | 2.65 (118) | 124 | 44% (47) | 260 | 3.31 (110) | #89 (.19) | 43% (90) | 27.4 | 44% (81) | 43% (93) | 3.9 (93) | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| TROY | #111 (.1) | 38% (114) | 23.5 | 39% (113) | 2.82 (91) | 98 | 38% (105) | 209 | 3.67 (74) | #54 (.12) | 40% (53) | 23.9 | 41% (60) | 39% (42) | 3.17 (31) | 52.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ||
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 21 | 42% | 3.31 | 1.8 | 22 | 383 | 124 | 260 | 3.6 | 42% | 56% | 40% | 44% | 18% | .09 |
| TROY Defense | 14 | 23.9 | 22.8 | 40% | 3.17 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 16% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 21.8 | 43.4% | 3.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
| TROY Offense | 14 | 23.5 | 25.3 | 38.2% | 3.67 | 1.3 | 17 | 307 | 98 | 209 | 2.8 | 47% | 51% | 39% | 38% | 20% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 29:31 | 22.2 | 39% | 60% | 6.3 | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 30.4 |
| Troy | 14 | 29:55 | 17.3 | 39% | 47% | 5.6 | 52.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 3 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 42% (122) | 40% (102) | 34.5 | 123.5 | 3.6 | 14 (107) | -.01 (125) | 2.65 (118) | 70% (80) | 10% (89) | 0.8 (125) |
| TROY Defense | 14 | 54% (115) | 41% (60) | - | - | - | - | .1 (67) | 3.01 (96) | 66% (32) | 11% (39) | 0.95 (63) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (96) | 44% (81) | - | - | - | - | .12 (80) | 2.75 (45) | 69% (50) | 11% (39) | 1.01 (92) |
| TROY Offense | 14 | 47% (85) | 39% (113) | 35.1 | 98 | 2.8 | 17 (88) | .02 (117) | 2.82 (91) | 78% (26) | 12% (126) | 0.87 (114) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 56% (13) | 44% (47) | 25.7 | 39.1 | 259.8 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 20 (86) | 12 (60) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (122) | 30% (47) | 28% (86) | .27 (83) | 8% (125) | 2.1 (27) |
| TROY Defense | 14 | 44% (20) | 39% (42) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (75) | .17 (39) | 1.7 (120) | 34% (29) | 28% (43) | .23 (45) | 6% (76) | 2.1 (102) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 47% (44) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .31 (97) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (87) | 32% (99) | .41 (118) | 5% (109) | 2.2 (117) |
| TROY Offense | 14 | 51% (55) | 38% (105) | 17.9 | 30.9 | 209.2 | 6.8 | 11.7 | 20 (42) | 12 (88) | .17 (110) | 1.7 (25) | 34% (114) | 28% (97) | .28 (77) | 7% (116) | 2.2 (23) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -9.82 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -9.82 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.82 Troy: -2.515
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.8 Troy: -3.2
Arkansas State: -9.82 Troy: -2.515
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.8 Troy: -3.2
Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -2.515 #93
Troy's Offense Rating: 2.52 #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 9.35 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #82
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #81
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Troy's Power Rating: -2.515 #93
Troy's Offense Rating: 2.52 #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 9.35 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #82
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #81
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 29
Arkansas State 22
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 29
Arkansas State 22
Total Points: 51
Based on Entire Season
Troy 25
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 48
Troy 29
Arkansas State 22
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 29
Arkansas State 22
Total Points: 51
Based on Entire Season
Troy 25
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 48
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8
Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8
Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/01 | Troy | 10 | Arkansas State | 23 | Troy -7.5 | Arkansas State | 52.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/26 | Arkansas State | 34 | Troy | 31 | Arkansas State -8.5 | Troy | 50.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/07 | Troy | 37 | Arkansas State | 3 | Troy -15.5 | Troy | 52.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Arkansas State | 19 | Troy | 48 | Troy -13.5 | Troy | 43.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Arkansas State | 10 | Troy | 38 | Arkansas State -3.5 | Troy | 0 | |
| 2019 | 09/28 | Troy | 43 | Arkansas State | 50 | Troy -7 | Arkansas State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Arkansas State | 25 | Troy | 32 | Arkansas State -1 | Troy | 60.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/17 | Troy | 3 | Arkansas State | 35 | Troy -8.5 | Arkansas State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 09/12 | Arkansas State | 41 | Troy | 34 | Arkansas State -10 | Troy | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Troy | 34 | Arkansas State | 41 | ||||
| 2011 | 12/03 | Arkansas State | 45 | Troy | 14 | ||||
| 2010 | 09/25 | Troy | 35 | Arkansas State | 28 | ||||
| 2009 | 09/26 | Arkansas State | 27 | Troy | 30 | ||||
| 2008 | 12/06 | Troy | 35 | Arkansas State | 9 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Arkansas State | 0 | Troy | 27 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Troy | 26 | Arkansas State | 33 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Arkansas State | 9 | Troy | 3 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Arkansas State | 13 | Troy | 9 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 8 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 10 | 3 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 10 | 1 - 8 | 1 - 7 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 8 | 8 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 7 - 1 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | TROY |
| Power RatePwr | #108 | #93 |
| SP+SP+ | #105 | #83 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #93 | #98 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #96 |
| DefenseDef | #94 | #81 |
| Spec TeamsST | #62 | #67 |
| TalentTal | #75 | #100 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #79 | #65 |
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(11/29) Parker & staff incredible job in their 2nd season
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/11) Incredible comeback vs Tx St. 3 game win streak
(10/11) 3 straight wins as underdogs, real SBC threat?
(10/11) QB Kilcrease 415 yds, doubled season total vs Tx St
(9/23) DT Luis Medina huge game vs Buffalo
(9/20) Huge comeback W @ Buf, Def played great
(9/20) BU QB Kilcrease not good, QB3 Ale neither
(9/17) QB Crowder out multiple weeks (shoulder)
(8/30) QB Crowder meh, Run Off good vs Nicholls
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | TROY Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #86 | #81 |
| SuccessSuc | #71 | #53 |
| ExplosiveExp | #124 | #86 |
| PPAPPA | #112 | #54 |
| PowerPwr | #102 | #77 |
| SP+SP+ | #97 | #81 |
| Pts POPPO | #110 | #31 |
| HavocHav | #111 | #55 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | TROY Def | |
| Run GameRun | #115 | #70 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #102 | #60 |
| Run ExplRExp | #125 | #63 |
| PPAExp | #125 | #67 | Run BlockR Blk | #79 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #118 | #96 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #111 | #59 |
| TackleTak | - | #113 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | TROY Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #78 | #70 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #47 | #42 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #122 | #120 |
| PPAExp | #86 | #39 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #13 | #75 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #125 | #76 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TROY Off | ARST Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #96 | #94 |
| SuccessSuc | #114 | #90 |
| ExplosiveExp | #39 | #95 |
| PPAPPA | #111 | #89 |
| PowerPwr | #111 | #102 |
| SP+SP+ | #82 | #104 |
| Pts POPPO | #74 | #93 |
| HavocHav | #128 | #70 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TROY Off | ARST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #129 | #79 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #113 | #81 |
| Run ExplRExp | #114 | #92 |
| PPAExp | #117 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #108 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #91 | #45 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #126 | #64 |
| TackleTak | - | #48 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TROY Off | ARST Def |
| Pass GamePass | #76 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #105 | #93 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #25 | #89 |
| PPAExp | #110 | #97 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #108 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #126 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #116 | #109 |
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48°
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48°
Troy -7.5 (52.5)
Arkansas State won at Troy this year (23-10)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Troy last year (34-31)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2022 (48-19)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 332 | 500 | 66% | 3364 | 19 | 11 | 6.7 |
| Josh Flowers | 2 | 6 | 33% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Spencer | 108 | 559 | 3 | 5.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 139 | 523 | 3 | 3.8 | 30 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 154 | 428 | 7 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Josh Flowers | 9 | 60 | 0 | 6.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 73 | 1029 | 4 | 14.1 | 71 |
| Chauncy Cobb | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Hunter Summers | 44 | 505 | 4 | 11.5 | 43 |
| Tyler Fortenberry (Tr) | 32 | 294 | 2 | 9.2 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Taylor | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Brandon Barnes | 68 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Hendricks | 53 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Ethan Hassler | 56 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kilcrease | 130 | 222 | 59% | 1537 | 9 | 6 | 6.9 |
| Will Crowder | 115 | 196 | 59% | 1327 | 11 | 5 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Meadows | 159 | 695 | 6 | 4.4 | 47 |
| Jordan Lovett | 89 | 339 | 2 | 3.8 | 22 |
| Tucker Kilcrease | 116 | 126 | 5 | 1.1 | 34 |
| Jarris Williams | 19 | 57 | 1 | 3.0 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rara Thomas (Tr) | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Tray Taylor (Tr) | 31 | 513 | 3 | 16.5 | 60 |
| DJ Epps | 46 | 498 | 5 | 10.8 | 48 |
| Ethan Conner | 31 | 397 | 3 | 12.8 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Stringer | 123 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Devin Lafayette | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Justin Powe | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaquez White | 67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Smith | 44 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 2 |
| Jah-Mal Williams | 46 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Jamel Fils-Aime | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Elijah Davis (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquez White | 67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Devin Lafayette | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Kaleno Levine (Tr) | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |