Arkansas State at Washington - 2021 Matchup Preview
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Washington Huskies

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Saturday, September 18th 2021 (4:15 PM EDT)
Washington -17.5 (58.5)
Washington 52 - Arkansas State: 3

 
Red Wolves (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11  (SP+ WASH -17)
Projected Score: ARST: 21 - WASH: 30 (51)
WASH Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ARST Travel: 1806 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Huskies (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Lake (4 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-13.5W40–2164.0W40–21UY
Sat 9/11Arkansas State vs Memphis+5.5L50–5565.0L50–55OY
Sat 9/18Arkansas State at Washington+17.5L3–5258.5L3–52UN
Sat 9/25Arkansas State at Tulsa+14.5L34–4165.0L34–41OY
Sat 10/2Arkansas State at Georgia Southern+1.5L33–5966.5L33–59ON
Thu 10/7Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina+20.5L20–5274.5L20–52UN
— Bye Week —
Thu 10/21Arkansas State vs Louisiana+17.0L27–2870.0L27–28UY
Sat 10/30Arkansas State at South Alabama+9.5L13–3167.0L13–31UN
Sat 11/6Arkansas State vs App State+21.5L14–4867.5L14–48UN
Sat 11/13Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.0W27–2466.5W27–24UY
Sat 11/20Arkansas State at Georgia State+15.5L20–2866.0L20–28UY
Sat 11/27Arkansas State vs Texas State-2.0L22–2462.0L22–24UN
Record: 2–10ATS: 6–6O/U: 3–9Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Washington's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4Washington vs Montana-22.5L7–1354.0L7–13UN
Sat 9/11Washington at Michigan+6.5L10–3147.5L10–31UN
Sat 9/18Washington vs Arkansas State-17.5W52–358.5W52–3UY
Sat 9/25Washington vs California-7.5W31–2447.5W31–24ON
Sat 10/2Washington at Oregon State+2.5L24–2757.5L24–27UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/16Washington vs UCLA-1.5L17–2455.5L17–24UN
Fri 10/22Washington at Arizona-17.5W21–1645.5W21–16UN
Sat 10/30Washington at Stanford+2.5W20–1345.5W20–13UY
Sat 11/6Washington vs Oregon+7.0L16–2648.0L16–26UN
Sat 11/13Washington vs Arizona State+6.0L30–3545.5L30–35OY
Sat 11/20Washington at Colorado-6.5L17–2043.0L17–20UN
Fri 11/26Washington vs Washington State-1.0L13–4045.0L13–40ON
Record: 4–8ATS: 3–9O/U: 3–9Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.2543%25.239%2.8212546%3643.99.2242%27.437%47%3.8857.41.51.1
WASH.2646%34.147%2.817645%2273.78.1347%18.752%40%4.3340.50.82
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1125.22142.8%3.991.5244901253643.642%57%39%46%16%.25
WASH Defense418.719.746.8%4.332 - - - - - 55%45%52%40%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1127.421.842.2%3.881.1 - - - - - 50%50%37%47%17%.22
WASH Offense434.136.746.1%3.780.8224031762274.558%42%47%45%10%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1128:3824.540%50%6.457.41.51.16.91.8125.9
Washington431:3821.848%83%5.340.50.824.52.5032
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1142%39%34.9125.23.67.012.8264%9%0.9
WASH Defense455%52% - - - - .143.5771%9%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1150%37% - - - - .022.4464%11%1.06
WASH Offense458%47%39176.34.511.162.883%4%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1157%46%25.142.2364.48.614.5399.431.834%36%.47%2
WASH Defense445%40% - - - - - - 3.121.328%26%.15%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1150%47% - - - - - - 6.421.731%34%.45%2.2
WASH Offense442%45%1727.8226.58.213.343.411.730%40%.486%1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #120
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #109
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Washington: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -17.9   Washington: -0.7




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Washington's Offense Rating: NR
Washington's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Washington's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #83
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 30
Arkansas State 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Washington52Arkansas State3Washington -17.5Washington58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington110 Overs
Arkansas State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #83
Perf GradeGrade #123 #80
OffenseOff #112 #101
DefenseDef #129 #44
Spec TeamsST #41 #27
TalentTal #82 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #44
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #110 #107
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #76 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Washington on Offense
CategoryCatWASH OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #101 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Washington Run Game
CategoryCat
WASH OffARST Def
Run GameRun #124 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #53 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Washington Pass Game
CategoryCatWASH OffARST Def
Pass GamePass #98 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #93 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.024
Rematch from Week 3
Washington -17.5 (58.5)
Washington won vs Arkansas State this year (52-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC Rob Harley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WASH's OC John Donovan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD