Iowa State at Arkansas State Game Matchup
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Centennial Bank Stadium - Jonesboro, AR

 
Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Iowa State -19.5   (SP+ ISU -21)
Projected Score: ISU: 36 - ARST: 16 (56)
ISU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
ISU Travel: 455 miles
Red Wolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Iowa State vs Kansas State+3.549.5
Fri 8/29 Iowa State vs South Dakota-34.5
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-2
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-15.5
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati-4
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-3
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State+1.5
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-10
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-12.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State vs Arkansas+23
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State vs Iowa State+19.5
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State at Kennesaw State-7
Sat 9/27 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-1.5
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs Texas State+4
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Arkansas State at South Alabama+11
Sat 10/25 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Troy+9
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs Southern Miss-0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+2
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State at App State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)25.843% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)32.251% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1431.124.840.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2
ARST Defense1332.227.248%4.621.4 - - - - - 52%48%51%44%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1422.915.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
ARST Offense1325.82941%3.961.3203571482104.348%52%43%39%16%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Arkansas State1326:5620.340%75%5.147.81.31.44.51.4127.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)
ARST Defense1352% (84)51% (131) - - - - .28 (131)3.45 (127)73% (65)9% (82)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
ARST Offense1348% (83)43% (84)34.8147.84.316 (90).12 (72)3.01 (77)73% (71)9% (48)0.9 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)
ARST Defense1348% (52)44% (110) - - - - - - 14 (23).35 (115)1.7 (103)29% (106)32% (89).51 (125)6% (74)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
ARST Offense1352% (49)39% (96)19.631.6209.66.610.717 (79)9 (48).21 (90)1.5 (88)31% (67)32% (55).39 (42)8% (115)2 (97)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 10.93 #33
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.84 #17
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 11.91 #52
2025 Talent Rating: 732.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #33
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.93   Arkansas State: -8.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 11.0   Arkansas State: -9.9




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 36
Arkansas State 16

Projected Total Points: 56
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Iowa State52Arkansas State7Iowa StateIowa State -20.5Iowa State52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State001 Overs
Iowa State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#33) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.93 #33
Offense Rating: 22.84 #17
Defense Rating: 11.91 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 732.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Iowa State Notes
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
(3/20) Campbell a great coach, but not many portals?
(3/20) DE Cannon Butler (N Iowa) poss huge find
Iowa State     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas State
Power #33
#99
Off #17
#62
Def #52
#130
Talent #66
#75
SP+ #30
#100
SP+ Off #33
#68
SP+ Def #28
#122

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Arkansas State last year (52-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | ARST
Depth Chart: ISU | ARST
Rosters: ISU | ARST
(#99) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.575 #99
Offense Rating: 15.08 #62
Defense Rating: 27.33 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #122
Talent Rating: 682.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Arkansas State Notes
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 2 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back. OT Smith a turnstile, lots of depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
(3/23) Def added 9 portals, fired most staff LY
(3/23) New DC Dreiling was Utah St Int HC LY
(3/23) HC Jones improved wins each year. Bowl LY


  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Xavier Townsend (Tr)128807.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)34678319.956
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939
Carson Brown11141112.844

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Ta'Shawn James410001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vontroy Malone (Tr)255210
Kooper Ebel696110
Marcus Neal181100
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Beau Goodwin243012

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Ethan Crawford (Tr)5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Kenyon Clay (Tr)8438774.670
Ethan Crawford (Tr)9720932.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Ja'Quez Cross3522816.520
Kenyon Clay (Tr)21225110.737
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522

View Arkansas State's Full Roster
Arkansas State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AG McGhee (Tr)541000
Christopher Boti361111
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Gavin Ransaw (Tr)262131
Christopher Boti361111
Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avante Dickerson (Tr)192003
James Reed III71002
Marcus Bradley71011