(#14)Iowa State Cyclones at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -21 (55.5) (-1450) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 24 - Arkansas State: 16
Cyclones (4 - 0) (2 - 1 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (24 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (24 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Iowa State -28 (SP+ ISU -24.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 40 - ARST: 12 (52)
ISU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ISU Travel: 455 miles
Projected Score: ISU: 40 - ARST: 12 (52)
ISU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ISU Travel: 455 miles
Red Wolves (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Iowa State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Iowa State vs Kansas State | +2.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Iowa State vs South Dakota | -16.5 | 47.5 | W 55 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Iowa State vs Iowa | -3.0 | 43.0 | W 16 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Iowa State at Arkansas State | -21.0 | 55.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Iowa State vs Arizona | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Iowa State at Cincinnati | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Iowa State at Colorado | -8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Iowa State vs BYU | -4 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Iowa State vs Arizona State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Iowa State at TCU | +6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Iowa State vs Kansas | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Iowa State at Oklahoma State | -17.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -6.0 | 56.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | -5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | #45 (.29) | 45% (56) | 29.8 | 40% (94) | 2.87 (82) | 161 | 51% (28) | 222 | 4.14 (63) | #41 (.05) | 36% (48) | 14.3 | 40% (75) | 33% (35) | 3 (50) | 27 | 1 | 1.5 |
| ARST | #108 (.09) | 41% (87) | 24 | 45% (60) | 2.62 (101) | 153 | 38% (103) | 233 | 3.65 (88) | #130 (.42) | 52% (132) | 34.7 | 52% (125) | 52% (128) | 4.61 (110) | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Offense | 4 | 29.8 | 24 | 45.5% | 4.14 | 1 | 20 | 383 | 161 | 222 | 4.2 | 54% | 46% | 40% | 51% | 14% | .29 |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 34.7 | 24 | 52% | 4.61 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 14% | .42 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Defense | 4 | 14.3 | 16 | 36.4% | 3 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 19% | .05 |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 24 | 29 | 41.5% | 3.65 | 1.3 | 23 | 386 | 153 | 233 | 3.9 | 47% | 53% | 45% | 38% | 18% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 4 | 30:50 | 20.3 | 50% | 100% | 3 | 27 | 1 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.8 | 0 | 31.5 |
| Arkansas State | 3 | 34:10 | 22.7 | 48% | 33% | 7.7 | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | 30.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Offense | 4 | 54% (50) | 40% (94) | 38 | 161 | 4.2 | 7 (38) | .12 (76) | 2.87 (82) | 71% (67) | 8% (53) | 0.95 (70) |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 51% (87) | 52% (125) | - | - | - | - | .31 (128) | 3.23 (113) | 100% (127) | 7% (115) | 1.06 (92) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Defense | 4 | 50% (67) | 40% (75) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (39) | 2.75 (66) | 69% (63) | 12% (44) | 0.7 (15) |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 47% (91) | 45% (60) | 39.3 | 153.3 | 3.9 | 4 (79) | .04 (98) | 2.62 (101) | 60% (103) | 12% (112) | 0.96 (67) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Offense | 4 | 46% (84) | 51% (28) | 17.3 | 26.3 | 222 | 8.5 | 12.9 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .48 (26) | 1.4 (93) | 29% (51) | 30% (77) | .35 (63) | 6% (95) | 1.9 (87) |
| ARST Defense | 3 | 48% (50) | 52% (128) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .58 (129) | 1.7 (105) | 27% (122) | 36% (117) | .58 (120) | 7% (48) | 2.2 (103) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU Defense | 4 | 50% (71) | 33% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .12 (42) | 1.8 (116) | 35% (43) | 27% (50) | .12 (36) | 7% (38) | 1.7 (36) |
| ARST Offense | 3 | 53% (45) | 38% (103) | 22.3 | 33.7 | 233 | 6.9 | 10.4 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | .14 (105) | 1.6 (42) | 28% (47) | 30% (80) | .4 (53) | 6% (96) | 2.3 (20) |
Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Iowa State's Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 15.62 Arkansas State: -13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3 Arkansas State: -10.2
Iowa State: 15.62 Arkansas State: -13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3 Arkansas State: -10.2
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -13 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -13 #131
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16
Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16
Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 40
Arkansas State 12
Total Points: 52
Iowa State 40
Arkansas State 12
Total Points: 52
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | Arkansas State | 16 | Iowa State | 24 | Iowa State | Iowa State -21 | Arkansas State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 09/21 | Iowa State | 52 | Arkansas State | 7 | Iowa State | Iowa State -20.5 | Iowa State | 52.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Iowa State | 2 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#38) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Iowa State has won 3 straight
Iowa State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated
Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Iowa State has won 3 straight
Iowa State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated
Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST | ISU |
| OverallOver | #84 | #19 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #19 |
| DefenseDef | #94 | #53 |
| Special TeamsST | #70 | #14 |
| PassingPass | #63 | #10 |
| RushingRush | #81 | #48 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #92 | #32 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #38 | #58 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #78 | #31 |
| TacklingTkl | #47 | #72 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #90 | #43 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #110 | #91 |
| Coverage DefCov | #95 | #42 |
Rematch from Week 3
Iowa State 21.0 (55.5)
Iowa State won at Arkansas State this year (24-16)
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Arkansas State last year (52-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ISU | ARST
Depth Chart: ISU | ARST
Rosters: ISU | ARST
(#131) Arkansas State Info
Power Rating: -13 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
Power Rating: -13 #131
Offense Rating: 7.87 #90
Defense Rating: 28.87 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #80
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #122
Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.65 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arkansas State Notes
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back
Arkansas State Highlights
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arkansas State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Arkansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Arkansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Arkansas State pass game is really bad (#103)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arkansas State has a bad defense (#132)
Arkansas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Arkansas State has a bad defensive line (#113)
Arkansas State has a bad red zone defense (#110)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Becht | 65 | 100 | 65% | 860 | 7 | 1 | 8.6 |
| Alex Manske | 4 | 5 | 80% | 28 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Hansen | 54 | 252 | 0 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Abu Sama III | 38 | 182 | 2 | 4.8 | 44 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 81 | 1 | 6.2 | 28 |
| Rocco Becht | 27 | 48 | 2 | 1.8 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Eskildsen | 7 | 162 | 1 | 23.1 | 66 |
| Gabe Burkle | 10 | 149 | 1 | 14.9 | 44 |
| Xavier Townsend (Tr) | 7 | 132 | 0 | 18.9 | 44 |
| Benjamin Brahmer | 14 | 109 | 3 | 7.8 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Neal | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamison Patton | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Bacon | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kooper Ebel | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamatoa McDonough (Tr) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Marcus Neal | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kooper Ebel | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ikenna Ezeogu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Cooper | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ta'Shawn James | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jontez Williams | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 66 | 98 | 67% | 692 | 4 | 3 | 7.1 |
| Josh Flowers | 1 | 3 | 33% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 35 | 138 | 1 | 3.9 | 21 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 40 | 120 | 1 | 3.0 | 13 |
| Devin Spencer | 18 | 104 | 1 | 5.8 | 43 |
| Kameron Thomas | 8 | 38 | 0 | 4.8 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncy Cobb | 16 | 216 | 0 | 13.5 | 45 |
| Corey Rucker | 6 | 105 | 1 | 17.5 | 50 |
| Hunter Summers | 6 | 96 | 0 | 16.0 | 39 |
| Jaylen Bonelli (Tr) | 8 | 95 | 1 | 11.9 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Barnes | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hassler | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew Collins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Kirksey Jr. (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Alan Yowe | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nigel Nelson | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |