Arkansas State Red Wolves (@AStateFB)
Butch Jones (5th year) (25-37)
Record: 7 - 6 (5 - 3) | Proj: 7 - 7 (#75) | SOS: (#115)
Roster | Injuries | '26 Portals | '26 Croots | Map
Record: 7 - 6 (5 - 3) | Proj: 7 - 7 (#75) | SOS: (#115)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +1.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +7.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +6.5 | 54.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +1.0 | 54.5 | W 30 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/18 | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 | O | Y | |
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 #75
Schedule Rating: #115
Record: 7 - 6( SBC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 9 - 4 - 0 | O/U 5 - 8
Future 2026 Schedule
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | W 34 - 31 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (SBC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 6 - 7
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 2 Avg, 3 Bad, 5 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 1Poor
2026 class: 166 points #98
2025 class: 171 points #78
2024 class: 167 points #77
2023 class: 167 points #75
2022 class: 167 points #67
Average Class Ranking: #79
Average Recruiting Points: 168
2025 class: 171 points #78
2024 class: 167 points #77
2023 class: 167 points #75
2022 class: 167 points #67
Average Class Ranking: #79
Average Recruiting Points: 168
Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class: #75 - Best: #67 Worst: #78
CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144 #98
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class: #75 - Best: #67 Worst: #78
CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144 #98
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
2021 class: 133 points #106
2020 class: 149 points #92
2019 class: 143 points #95
2018 class: 148 points #88
2017 class: 115 points #111
Average Class Ranking: #98
Average Recruiting Points: 138
2020 class: 149 points #92
2019 class: 143 points #95
2018 class: 148 points #88
2017 class: 115 points #111
Average Class Ranking: #98
Average Recruiting Points: 138
2025 Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
2024 Portal Class #108 - 11 players, 85 Avg
2023 Portal Class #110 - 9 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class #91 - 10 players, 83 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Keith Heckendorf (been OC for 3 years)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 332 | 500 | 66% | 3364 | 19 | 11 | 6.7 |
| Josh Flowers | 2 | 6 | 33% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Spencer | 108 | 559 | 3 | 5.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 139 | 523 | 3 | 3.8 | 30 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 154 | 428 | 7 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Josh Flowers | 9 | 60 | 0 | 6.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 73 | 1029 | 4 | 14.1 | 71 |
| Chauncy Cobb | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Hunter Summers | 44 | 505 | 4 | 11.5 | 43 |
| Tyler Fortenberry (Tr) | 32 | 294 | 2 | 9.2 | 28 |
Defensive Coordinator Rob Harley (been DC for 3 years)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Taylor | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Brandon Barnes | 68 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Hendricks | 53 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Ethan Hassler | 55 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense Returning Production: 67% #31
Defense Returning Production: 26% #130
Overall Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense Returning Production: 67% #31
Defense Returning Production: 26% #130
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #117
22 Commits, 82.8 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 36% TY
2025 Portal Class #117
22 Commits, 82.8 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 36% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Offense Talent #79 | Defense Talent #72
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #88 | 2021 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Offense Talent #79 | Defense Talent #72
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #88 | 2021 #82
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 7 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2023 Record: 6 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 3 - 9
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5
Four Year Record: 24 - 27
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 28 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 17
2025 Record: 7 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2023 Record: 6 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 3 - 9
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5
Four Year Record: 24 - 27
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 28 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 17
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 46 - 54
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 52 - 46 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 36
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 46 - 54
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 52 - 46 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 36
| Arkansas State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2025 | Xbox Bowl | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 |
| 2024 | Ventures Bowl | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 |
| 2023 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 19 - 21 |
| 2019 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Florida International | +1.5 | 60.0 | W 34 - 26 |
| 2018 | N/A | Arkansas State vs Nevada | +1.5 | 56.5 | L 13 - 16 |
| 2017 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee | -3.5 | 61.0 | L 30 - 35 |
| 2016 | Cure Bowl | Arkansas State vs UCF | -6.5 | 51.0 | W 31 - 13 |
| 2015 | Orleans Bowl | Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech | -1.0 | L 28 - 47 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .09 (111) | 1.16 (126) | 42% (71) | 3.31 (110) | 30.4 (37) | 39% | 60% | .19 (89) | 1.29 (93) | 43% (92) | 3.9 (89) | 27.8 (46) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .17 (81) | 1.22 (102) | 41% (91) | 3.96 (63) | 27.6 (104) | 40% | 75% | .31 (126) | 1.31 (91) | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 27 (22) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 29:31 | 22.2 | 39% | 60% | 6.3 | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 3 | 3 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 26:56 | 20.3 | 40% | 75% | 5.1 | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 29 | 21 | 42% (71) | 3.31 (110) | 1.8 | 22 | 383 | 124 | 260 | 3.6 | 42% (123) | 56% (13) | 40% (101) | 44% (47) | 18% (111) | .09 (111) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 21.8 | 43.4% (92) | 3.9 (89) | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% (96) | 46% (46) | 44% (83) | 44% (98) | 16% (72) | .19 (89) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 29 | 20.7 | 41% (91) | 3.96 (63) | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% (83) | 52% (49) | 43% (84) | 39% (96) | 16% (80) | .17 (81) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 27.2 | 37.3 | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% (84) | 48% (52) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 15% (80) | .31 (126) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 42% (123) | 40% (101) | 34.5 | 123.5 | 3.6 | 14 (107) | -.01 (125) | 2.65 (119) | 70% (80) | 10% (91) | 0.8 (126) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 52% (96) | 44% (83) | - | - | - | - | .12 (82) | 2.75 (44) | 69% (49) | 11% (40) | 1.01 (95) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (84) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (72) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (99) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 52% (84) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (65) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 13 | 56% (13) | 44% (47) | 25.7 | 39.1 | 259.8 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 20 (86) | 12 (60) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (123) | 30% (45) | 28% (86) | .27 (83) | 8% (125) | 2.1 (28) |
| 2025 Defense | 13 | 46% (46) | 44% (98) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .31 (100) | 1.6 (89) | 30% (88) | 32% (97) | .42 (118) | 5% (108) | 2.2 (119) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (96) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (90) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (67) | 32% (55) | .39 (42) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 48% (52) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (74) | 2.3 (122) |
Team Notes
(10/14) Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch ❌
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far ❌
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St ❌
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early ❌
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun ❌
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds ❌
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY ❌
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY ❌
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds ❌
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs ❌
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth ❌
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back ❌
(10/14) Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch ❌
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far ❌
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St ❌
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early ❌
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun ❌
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds ❌
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY ❌
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY ❌
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds ❌
(3/23) QB Raynor a weapon, fun but must limit TOs ❌
(3/23) RB Cross back, Clay (USM) added, some depth ❌
(3/23) Def was near worst in CFB LY, not much back ❌
Injury Notes
Overall
Power Rating #102 | SP+ Rating #105
Performance Grade #79
Special Teams Grade #39
Record Prediction 6.5 - 6.5 #75
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Power Rating #102 | SP+ Rating #105
Performance Grade #79
Special Teams Grade #39
Record Prediction 6.5 - 6.5 #75
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
Offense
Power #81 | SP+ #97 | Grade #76
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Off Success #71 | Explosivness #126
Rush Grade #102 | Pass Grade #72
Rush Success #101 | Explosiveness #126
Pass Success #47 | Explosiveness #123
Run Block #65 | Pass Block #21
OL YDS #119 | Stuff Rate #111
Scoring Zone Off: #110
Power #81 | SP+ #97 | Grade #76
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Off Success #71 | Explosivness #126
Rush Grade #102 | Pass Grade #72
Rush Success #101 | Explosiveness #126
Pass Success #47 | Explosiveness #123
Run Block #65 | Pass Block #21
OL YDS #119 | Stuff Rate #111
Scoring Zone Off: #110
Defense
Power #117 | SP+ #104 | Grade #82
Def Success #92 | Explosivness #93
Rush Success #83 | Explosiveness #95
Tackling #34 | Run Def #80
Pass Success #98 | Explosiveness #89
Pass Rush #55 | Coverage #92
F7 Havoc #40 | DB Havoc #108
DL YDS #44 | Def Stuff Rate #64
Scoring Zone Def #89
Power #117 | SP+ #104 | Grade #82
Def Success #92 | Explosivness #93
Rush Success #83 | Explosiveness #95
Tackling #34 | Run Def #80
Pass Success #98 | Explosiveness #89
Pass Rush #55 | Coverage #92
F7 Havoc #40 | DB Havoc #108
DL YDS #44 | Def Stuff Rate #64
Scoring Zone Def #89
Roster
Team Talent #75 Blue Chips: 2% #79
Offense Talent #79 Defense Talent #72
Crootin: '25 Class #98 - 4 YR Class: #75
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 36% TY
94 New Players, 97% of '25 Roster #133
Team Talent #75 Blue Chips: 2% #79
Offense Talent #79 Defense Talent #72
Crootin: '25 Class #98 - 4 YR Class: #75
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class #117 - 22 players, 83 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 36% TY
94 New Players, 97% of '25 Roster #133
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 25.2 - 27.4 | Scoring Margin: (-2.2)
Home: 29 - 27 (1.8) | Road: 21 - 22 (-0.8)
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Rob Harley - been DC for 3 years
2025 Record: 7 - 6 (9 - 4 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (24 - 27) | 8 Yr Record: (46 - 54)
Scoring: 25.2 - 27.4 | Scoring Margin: (-2.2)
Home: 29 - 27 (1.8) | Road: 21 - 22 (-0.8)
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Rob Harley - been DC for 3 years
2025 Record: 7 - 6 (9 - 4 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (24 - 27) | 8 Yr Record: (46 - 54)
Notes
Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch
Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
Won 2 straight games at the buzzer. Raynor clutch
Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
'25 Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when off Schedule 30%
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when off Schedule 30%
'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 32%
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 32%
Returning Prod
HC Jones, OC Heckendorf & QB all back
'24 QB Jaylen Raynor returns
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
OL Prod: 61% #50, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2764 #76 | From Portal: 486 #64
Rush Prod: 78% #31 | Rec Prod: 58% #52
Def Front Seven: 25% - Secondary: 21%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5
HC Jones, OC Heckendorf & QB all back
'24 QB Jaylen Raynor returns
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
OL Prod: 61% #50, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2764 #76 | From Portal: 486 #64
Rush Prod: 78% #31 | Rec Prod: 58% #52
Def Front Seven: 25% - Secondary: 21%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #105 - Power Rating: #102
2024 SP+ Overall: #104 - Power Rating: #91
2023 SP+ Overall: #92 - Power Rating: #100
2022 SP+ Overall: #107
2025 SP+ Overall: #105 - Power Rating: #102
2024 SP+ Overall: #104 - Power Rating: #91
2023 SP+ Overall: #92 - Power Rating: #100
2022 SP+ Overall: #107
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #97 - Power Rating: #81
2024 SP+ Offense: #87 - Power Rating: #62
2023 SP+ Offense: #72 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Offense: #89
2025 SP+ Offense: #97 - Power Rating: #81
2024 SP+ Offense: #87 - Power Rating: #62
2023 SP+ Offense: #72 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Offense: #89
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #104 - Power Rating: #117
2024 SP+ Defense: #119 - Power Rating: #124
2023 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #95
2022 SP+ Defense: #118
2025 SP+ Defense: #104 - Power Rating: #117
2024 SP+ Defense: #119 - Power Rating: #124
2023 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #95
2022 SP+ Defense: #118