Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech - 2015 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, December 19th 2015 (9:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -1 (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana Tech 47 - Arkansas State: 28 (R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL)

Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 30 (36 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 32 - LT: 42 (74)
ARST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 409 miles

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 27 (43 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ARST Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at USC	+27.0	66.5	L 6 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State vs Missouri	+13.0	55.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Arkansas State vs Missouri State	-22.0
Sat 9/26	Arkansas State at Toledo	+10.0	58.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State vs Idaho	-20.5	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-6.0	58.0	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Tue 10/20	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	-6.0	55.5	W 37 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-18.5	57.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Thu 11/5	Arkansas State at App State	+12.5	56.0	W 40 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-12.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State at New Mexico State	-17.0	71.0	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-21.5	68.0	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/19	Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech	-1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Louisiana Tech vs Southern	-23.5
Thu 9/10	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+3.0	62.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Louisiana Tech at Kansas State	+11.0	52.0	L 33 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-14.0	56.5	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/3	Louisiana Tech vs Louisiana	-14.0	58.5	W 43 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Louisiana Tech at UTSA	-11.5	54.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/17	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+15.5	60.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-8.5	63.0	W 45 - 16	U	Y
Fri 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-10.0	60.5	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-30.0	62.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-21.5	54.0	W 17 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/28	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-6.5	62.0	L 24 - 58	O	N
Sat 12/19	Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas State	+1.0

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.16	45%	40	46%	2.79	231	42%	207	3.58	.13	38%	30.2	39%	36%	3.79	76.6	2	2.7
LT	.26	49%	37.5	47%	2.84	160	48%	323	3.81	.1	42%	26.8	40%	42%	3.28	50.3	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	40	35.5	45%	3.58	2	22	438	231	207	5	59%	40%	46%	42%	2%	.16
LT Defense	13	26.8	22.2	42.4%	3.28	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	53%	40%	42%	2%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	30.2	33.2	37.9%	3.79	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	39%	36%	3%	.13
LT Offense	13	37.5	42.8	49%	3.81	1.6	24	483	160	323	4.8	43%	54%	47%	48%	3%	.26

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	30:26	22.3	39%	50%	8.3	76.6	2	2.7	0	0	9	33.4
Louisiana Tech	13	30:36	23.8	39%	73%	5.5	50.3	1.6	1.7	0	0	4	27.1

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	59%	46%	46.8	231.3	5	35	.15	2.79	69%	0%	1.04
LT Defense	13	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.38	80%	0%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.19	69%	0%	1.16
LT Offense	13	43%	47%	33.2	159.6	4.8	27	.14	2.84	68%	0%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	40%	42%	15.9	28.1	207.2	7.4	13	23	15	.19	1.6	31%	35%	.27	2%	1.7
LT Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.6	35%	34%	.25	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	56%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.17	1.8	37%	29%	.27	3%	2
LT Offense	13	54%	48%	22.8	36.8	323.2	8.8	14.1	28	11	.39	1.6	31%	38%	.42	3%	2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Louisiana Tech: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Louisiana Tech:

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2015 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.5
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 42
Arkansas State 32

Total Points: 74

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 49
Arkansas State 32

Total Points: 81

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 36
Arkansas State 31

Total Points: 67

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

Louisiana Tech's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	12/19	Louisiana Tech	47	Arkansas State	28	Arkansas State -1	Louisiana Tech	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	1	1	0 Overs
Arkansas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2015	Orleans Bowl	Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech	-1.0		L 28 - 47
2014	Godaddy Bowl	Arkansas State vs Toledo	+3.5	70.5	L 44 - 63
2013	Godaddy Bowl	Arkansas State vs Ball State	+6.5	65.0	W 23 - 20
2012	Com Bowl	Arkansas State vs Kent State			W 17 - 13
2011	Com Bowl	Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois			L 20 - 38

Louisiana Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2015	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas State	+1.0		W 47 - 28
2014	Dallas Bowl	Louisiana Tech vs Illinois	-7.0	55.0	W 35 - 18
2011	Poinsettia Bowl	Louisiana Tech vs TCU			L 24 - 31

(#) ARST at (#) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#84	#77
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 51°

Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas State 1.0 (0)
Louisiana Tech won vs Arkansas State this year (47-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD