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TCU Horned Frogs (@TCUFootball)
Sonny Dykes (4th year) (30-15)
Record: 4 - 2 (1 - 2)  |  Proj: 8 - 4 (#41)  |  SOS: (#53)
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TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-6.563.5W 35 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+2.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-13.557.5W 35 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-3.054.5L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-2.565.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-15
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-6
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+4
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-7.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-2.5

Record Prediction: 8.0 - 4.0  #41
Schedule Rating:  #53
Record: 4 - 2( B12: 1 - 2)
Spread Record 3 - 3 - 0 | O/U 3 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0UN
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3UY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #63
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (B12: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 7 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6


Opponents: 0 Elite, 4 Good, 5 Avg, 2 Bad, 0 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 0 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 3 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 3 Good, 4 Avg, 3 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 230 points   #24
2024 class: 214 points   #34
2023 class: 235 points   #20
2022 class: 194 points   #45
2021 class: 172 points   #61

Average Class Ranking:   #37
Average Recruiting Points: 209

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #29 - Best:  #20 Worst:  #45



CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201  #49
Power 4 Class: 225  #49
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 216 points   #28
2019 class: 211 points   #33
2018 class: 224 points   #25
2017 class: 210 points   #28
2016 class: 236 points   #21

Average Class Ranking:   #27
Average Recruiting Points: 219
 

2025 Portal Class  #49 - 12 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #17 - 20 players, 88 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #21 - 13 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #11 - 14 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Kendal Briles (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover13921565%18931868.8
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)4928515.875
Trent Battle2915935.528
Jeremy Payne3113224.329
Nate Palmer189305.226
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister21541725.885
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)25357214.333
Joseph Manjack21309214.751
D'Andre Rogers19196110.339
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Andy Avalos (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson482001
Kaleb Elarms-Orr485331
Namdi Obiazor452211
Bud Clark290015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Elarms-Orr485331
Namdi Obiazor452211
Devean Deal233221
Kylin Jackson (Tr)154210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bud Clark290015
Vernon Glover131002
Jevon McIver Jr.121002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 60%  #48
Offense Returning Production: 64%  #43
Defense Returning Production: 57%  #54

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #49
12 Commits, 86.1 Avg Rating
24% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 11% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00  #29
Offense Talent  #41 | Defense Talent  #21
2024  #32 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #32 | 2021  #35


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 4 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 2
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2022 Record: 13 - 2
2022 Conf Record: 9 - 1
Spread: 10 - 4 - 1 | Totals: 9 - 6

Four Year Record: 31 - 15
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 24 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 19 - 12
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 5 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 2 - 9 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 5

2020 Record: 6 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 7 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 6

2019 Record: 5 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 54 - 39
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 42 - 49 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 43 - 33

TCU Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Mexico Bowl TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3
2022CFP Nat'l Title TCU vs Georgia+13.562.0L 7 - 65
2022CFP Semifinal TCU vs Michigan+8.056.0W 51 - 45
2018It Bowl TCU vs California+1.538.5W 10 - 7
2017Alamo Bowl TCU vs Stanford-3.049.5W 39 - 37
2016N/A TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31
2015Alamo Bowl TCU vs Oregon+7.573.5W 47 - 41
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.3 (28)1.41 (9)46% (47)4.51 (35)29.7 (55)54%62%.2 (93)1.35 (115)40% (51)3.61 (58)30.7 (114)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.3 (18)1.31 (45)47% (20)4.46 (20)31.7 (13)44%80%.19 (82)1.24 (52)42% (67)3.82 (72)26 (8)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025627:0922.354%62%6.864.21.51.76.32.71
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.81



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense635.337.333.345.5% (47)4.51 (35)1.5224401183223.941% (122)59% (15)44% (67)47% (38)17% (92).3 (28)
2025 Defense624.72227.339.9% (51)3.61 (58)1.7 - - - - - 52% (86)48% (53)35% (18)45% (102)18% (47).2 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1333.536.728.647.1% (20)4.46 (20)1.6214001062933.942% (119)58% (19)45% (53)49% (9)13% (28).3 (18)
2024 Defense1324.623.33041.5% (67)3.82 (72)1.1 - - - - - 53% (95)47% (41)46% (102)36% (18)14% (102).19 (82)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense641% (122)44% (67)29.8117.53.99 (77).08 (91)2.53 (122)75% (53)10% (84)0.84 (113)
2025 Defense652% (86)35% (18) - - - - .1 (71)3.05 (100)79% (107)12% (32)0.92 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)
2024 Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense659% (15)47% (38)2437322.38.713.418 (4)7 (119).45 (27)1.8 (11)35% (124)33% (47).53 (24)7% (97)2.5 (5)
2025 Defense648% (53)45% (102) - - - - - - 6 (29).31 (95)1.7 (118)34% (45)35% (120).54 (132)6% (69)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)
2024 Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)




Overall
Power Rating  #30 | SP+ Rating  #33
Performance Grade  #45
Special Teams Grade  #51
Record Prediction 8.0 - 4.0  #41
5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Offense
Power  #25 | SP+  #25 | Grade  #46
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Off Success  #47 | Explosivness  #9
Rush Grade  #66 | Pass Grade  #51
Rush Success  #67 | Explosiveness  #113
Pass Success  #38 | Explosiveness  #11
Run Block  #60 | Pass Block  #64
OL YDS  #122 | Stuff Rate  #132
Scoring Zone Off:  #35

Defense
Power  #40 | SP+  #52 | Grade  #35
Def Success  #51 | Explosivness  #115
Rush Success  #18 | Explosiveness  #56
Tackling  #13 | Run Def  #8
Pass Success  #102 | Explosiveness  #118
Pass Rush  #129 | Coverage  #54
F7 Havoc  #32 | DB Havoc  #69
Scoring Zone Def  #58


Roster
Team Talent  #29 Blue Chips: 16%  #31
Offense Talent  #41 Defense Talent  #21
Crootin: '25 Class  #24 - 4 YR Class:  #29
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #49 - 12 players, 86 Avg
24% of Roster from Portal, 11% TY
55 New Players, 54% of '25 Roster  #39

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 35.3 - 24.7 (34 - 25) in '24
Scoring at Home: 37 - 22 | Road: 33 - 27
OC: Kendal Briles - been OC for 3 years
DC: Andy Avalos - in his second season

2025 Record: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0) (B12: 1 - 2)
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (6 - 7 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 7 - 0) (B12: 3 - 6)
4 Yr Record: (31 - 15) | 8 Yr Record: (54 - 39)


Notes
Blew season vs K St, Run Off bad, Run Def worse
Run Off awful vs ASU, Def torched 500 yds, 200 rush
3 TOs, 8 penalties, outgained 500-271 and lost by 3
Hoover great, Run Off meh, R Def great vs SMU
WR McAlister one of best in CFB, great weapon
Killed NC, Run game dominant, Run Def great
WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
 
'25 Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.51 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 47%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 65%
Avg when off Schedule 33%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.61 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 35%

Returning Prod
HC Dykes, OC Briles & QB all back
'24 QB Josh Hoover returns
Returning Production: 60%  #48
Offense: 64%  #43 | Defense: 57%  #54
OL Prod: 48%  #89, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2656  #85 | From Portal: 0  #100
Rush Prod: 44%  #91 | Rec Prod: 52%  #66
Def Front Seven: 55% - Secondary: 72%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #33 - Power Rating:  #30
2024 SP+ Overall:  #25 - Power Rating:  #21
2023 SP+ Overall:  #40 - Power Rating:  #44
2022 SP+ Overall:  #6

#6 #42 #23 #32

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #25 - Power Rating:  #25
2024 SP+ Offense:  #19 - Power Rating:  #24
2023 SP+ Offense:  #27 - Power Rating:  #32
2022 SP+ Offense:  #6

#6 #30 #22 #25

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #52 - Power Rating:  #40
2024 SP+ Defense:  #38 - Power Rating:  #53
2023 SP+ Defense:  #57 - Power Rating:  #97
2022 SP+ Defense:  #31

#31 #77 #46 #46