Nicholls at TCU - 2023 Matchup Preview
Nicholls logo Nicholls Colonels at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -41.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 41 - Nicholls: 6

 
Colonels (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 39 (7 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 90.3° (44% Hum)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: TCU -8  (SP+ TCU -8)
TCU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nicholls's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Nicholls at TCU+41.559.5L 6 - 41UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Nicholls at Tulane+38.055.5L 7 - 36UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nicholls's Schedule
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%6.50%000%000%38.50%0%0000
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)31.349% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)27.843% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Offense26.56.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TCU Defense1227.821.343.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Defense238.538.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TCU Offense1231.335.747.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nicholls20:000NAN%0%0000000100
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)

Nicholls's Power Ratings
Nicholls's Power Rating: NR
Nicholls's Offense Rating: NR
Nicholls's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #195
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nicholls's 2023 Expected Record: -
Nicholls's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nicholls's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nicholls's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    TCU: 7.5




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8  #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76  #97
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31  #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5  #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Nicholls Scoring
Offense: 6.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 6.5
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Nicholls's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
Nicholls 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 42
Nicholls 22

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
TCU 36
Nicholls 15

Total Points: 51
TCU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09TCU41Nicholls6TCU -41.5Nicholls59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU100 Overs
Nicholls011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) NICH at (#44) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNICHTCU
Power RatePwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #40
Perf GradeGradeNR #51
OffenseOffNR #38
DefenseDefNR #73
Spec TeamsSTNR #61
TalentTal #195 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #24
Nicholls on Offense
CategoryCat
NICH OffTCU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #73
SuccessSucNR #89
ExplosiveExpNR #89
PPAPPANR #96
PowerPwrNR #97
SP+SP+NR #57
Pts POPPONR #78
HavocHavNR #123
Nicholls Run Game
CategoryCat
NICH OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNR #42
Run SuccessRSucNR #70
Run ExplRExpNR #72
PPAExpNR #81
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #82
Stuff RateStuffNR #80
TackleTak -  #75
Nicholls Pass Game
CategoryCat
NICH OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNR #95
Pass SuccessPSucNR #112
Pass ExplPExlNR #86
PPAExpNR #106
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #119
F7 HavocF7NR #117
DB HavocDBNR #119
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffNICH Def
Perf GradePerf #38NR
SuccessSuc #16NR
ExplosiveExp #51NR
PPAPPA #25NR
PowerPwr #32NR
SP+SP+ #27NR
Pts POPPO #69NR
HavocHav #19NR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffNICH Def
Run GameRun #41NR
Run SuccessRSuc #18NR
Run ExplRExp #93NR
PPAExp #29NR
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #23NR
Stuff RateStuff #27NR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffNICH Def
Pass GamePass #44NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #20NR
Pass ExplPExl #63NR
PPAExp #27NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #56NR
F7 HavocF7 #6NR
DB HavocDB #94NR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

NICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 90° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 2
TCU -41.5 (59.5)
TCU won vs Nicholls this year (41-6)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Nicholls in 2023 (41-6)

  
NICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nicholls's Full Roster

NICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte' Mathews992000
Eli Ennis211000
Ethan Lee140000
Joseph Mason110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Villavaso72100
Kershawn Fisher51100
Jake Dalmado41101
Tyler Morton10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Dalmado41101
Devonte' Mathews992000
Kershawn Fisher51100

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover18629962%22101597.4
Chandler Morris13220265%15281257.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emani Bailey223120985.474
Chandler Morris4524935.532
Trey Sanders (Tr)4817663.718
Savion Williams116205.614
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams41573414.042
John Paul Richardson46536311.759
Jared Wiley47520811.181
Jaylon Robinson (Tr)32397112.429

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamoi Hodge807372
Namdi Obiazor756432
Shadrach Banks579120
Nook Bradford530005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor756432
Paul Oyewale215310
Jamoi Hodge807372
Caleb Fox254200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Newton290005
Nook Bradford530005
Mark Perry522004