Kansas at TCU - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Kansas Jayhawks at TCU Horned Frogs

TCU logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (27 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#61)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: TCU -8  (SP+ TCU -4)
Projected Score: KU: 25 - TCU: 33 (57)
TCU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
KU Travel: 448 miles
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#39)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Kansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Kansas vs Long Island University-27.5
Sat 9/12 Kansas vs Missouri+12.5
Sat 9/19 Kansas at Arizona State+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Kansas vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/10 Kansas at Utah+16.5
Sat 10/17 Kansas at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/24 Kansas vs Baylor-2
Sat 10/31 Kansas at TCU+8
Sat 11/7 Kansas vs UCF-2
Sat 11/14 Kansas at West Virginia-1
Sat 11/21 Kansas vs BYU+11
Sat 11/28 Kansas at Oklahoma State-4

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
TCU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 TCU vs North Carolina-12.5
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Grambling-33
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Arkansas State-24
Sat 9/26 TCU at UCF-2.5
Sat 10/3 TCU vs BYU+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 TCU at Baylor-2.5
Sat 10/24 TCU vs West Virginia-11.5
Sat 10/31 TCU vs Kansas-8
Sat 11/7 TCU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas State-4
Sat 11/21 TCU vs Utah+6
Sat 11/28 TCU at Texas Tech+20.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#26 (.25)48% (13)28.151% (6)3.53 (3)17046% (31)2203.94 (47)#121 (.25)42% (69)26.841% (62)42% (71)4.24 (120)39.81.10.8
TCU#36 (.21)44% (48)30.743% (79)2.7 (113)13247% (24)2904.14 (34)#59 (.15)40% (53)25.338% (23)43% (86)3.49 (54)621.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1228.121.848.4%3.941.1213901702204.851%47%51%46%14%.25
TCU Defense1325.324.240.3%3.491.6 - - - - - 48%50%38%43%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1226.833.241.7%4.240.8 - - - - - 51%48%41%42%18%.25
TCU Offense1330.73644.3%4.141.522422132290445%53%43%47%15%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:4020.639%57%539.81.10.86.32129.1
TCU1328:5122.247%64%6.8621.51.65.21.8130
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1251% (53)51% (6)35.5169.84.817 (99).22 (19)3.53 (3)84% (3)9% (44)0.87 (111)
TCU Defense1348% (51)38% (23) - - - - .06 (44)2.84 (58)68% (48)9% (84)0.88 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1251% (78)41% (62) - - - - .13 (87)2.84 (57)77% (110)11% (25)1.1 (125)
TCU Offense1345% (104)43% (79)33.3131.8420 (60).04 (109)2.7 (113)77% (35)9% (71)0.83 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1247% (87)46% (31)17.628.82207.712.523 (8)8 (7).32 (45)1.5 (76)28% (20)32% (41).27 (81)6% (55)1.8 (120)
TCU Defense1350% (85)43% (86) - - - - - - 14 (22).3 (92)1.7 (111)32% (66)32% (94).35 (96)6% (75)2.1 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1248% (67)42% (71) - - - - - - 4 (75).39 (122)1.7 (126)34% (34)33% (103).43 (124)7% (43)2.2 (125)
TCU Offense1353% (34)47% (24)23.535.4290.18.212.330 (3)15 (108).41 (20)1.6 (35)33% (89)34% (23).45 (20)6% (72)2.1 (26)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 3.41  #65
Kansas's Offense Rating: 15.26  #53
Kansas's Defense Rating: 16.85  #75
2026 Talent Rating: 790.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #57
Kansas's 2026 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Kansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 3.41   TCU: 11.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.1   TCU: 8.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.845  #36
TCU's Offense Rating: 15.31  #51
TCU's Defense Rating: 9.92  #32
2026 Talent Rating: 890.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #30
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
Kansas 25

Projected Total Points: 57
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Kansas27TCU38Kansas -1.5TCU58.5Over
202210/08Kansas31TCU38TCU -7NA70.0Under
202111/20TCU31Kansas28TCU -21Kansas64.0Under
202011/28Kansas23TCU59TCU -23.5TCU51.5Over
201909/28TCU51Kansas14TCU -14.5TCU48.0Over
201810/27Kansas27TCU26TCU -13Kansas46.5Over
201710/21TCU43Kansas0TCU -37.5TCU61.5Under
201610/08Kansas23TCU24TCU -29.5Kansas61.0Under
201511/14TCU23Kansas17TCU -43Kansas71.0Under
201411/15Kansas30TCU34TCU -24.5Kansas0
201310/12TCU27Kansas17TCU -24Kansas0
201209/15Kansas6TCU20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1144 Overs
Kansas165 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 52 - 43 - 1
Road Teams6 - 65 - 51 - 34 - 2

(#65) KU at (#36) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #36
SP+SP+ #58 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #63 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #30
Kansas Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Uneasy, two 5-7 yrs, OC back gives hope
(2/16) AHC Andy Kotelnicki is the real OC, play-caller
(2/9) QB Cole Ballard was #2 LY, has mobility
(2/9) RB added 3 portals incl D Edwards (KSU). Depth
(2/9) WR 3 portals, McMillan (Buf) leads decent unit
(2/9) OL 2 back + 2 P5 portal starters. Decent unit
(2/9) DL has good exp/prod, LBs ? beyond Al-Amin
(2/9) CBs have decent starting duo, S not great
Kansas Injury Report
TCU Notes
(2/17) Vibes: High, Dykes a quiet 18 wins past 2 yrs
(2/12) New OC Sammis was really good @ UConn
(2/3) QB Craig (Harvard) 24 starts bypassed NFL draft
(2/3) RB Payne good find LY, depth looks thin and ?
(2/3) WR has parts w #1 Dwyer back & depth options
(2/3) OL has good parts, 6 proven guys w starting exp
(2/3) DTs are decent, DE has huge ? after Chapman
(2/3) LBs lack in exp & good options even w 3 portals
(2/3) DBs look good, 2 good CBs & 2 at S. Depth has ?
TCU Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #13 #53
ExplosiveExp #113 #92
PPAPPA #26 #59
PowerPwr #53 #32
SP+SP+ #48 #50
Pts POPPO #47 #54
HavocHav #52 #86
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #23
Run ExplRExp #111 #26
PPAExp #19 #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #3 #58
Stuff RateStuff #8 #95
TackleTak - NR
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #31 #86
Pass ExplPExl #76 #111
PPAExp #45 #92
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #44 #84
DB HavocDB #55 #75
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #48 #69
ExplosiveExp #46 #131
PPAPPA #36 #121
PowerPwr #51 #75
SP+SP+ #30 #76
Pts POPPO #34 #120
HavocHav #64 #26
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #62
Run ExplRExp #121 #125
PPAExp #109 #87
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #113 #57
Stuff RateStuff #114 #32
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #71
Pass ExplPExl #35 #126
PPAExp #20 #122
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #71 #25
DB HavocDB #72 #43
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
TCU beat Kansas in 2024 (38-27)

  
KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins (Tr)11917269%1025926.0
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis (Tr)12955344.341
Chase Jenkins (Tr)15153153.534
Jalen Dupree (Tr)10250825.031
Dylan Edwards (Tr)3420526.075
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan (Tr)61975316.055
Nahzae Cox (Tr)40473511.843
Cam Pickett45449310.038
Carter Moses (Tr)26321212.333

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan867265
Corey Gordon (Tr)533002
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)516342
Eamon Smalls (Tr)504110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III317518
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)516342
Jalen Todd442214
Blake Herold435243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III317518
Trey Lathan867265
Jalen Todd442214

TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)20433162%28292578.5
John Hoyet Chance010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne11062355.751
Jon Denman5017833.616
Jaden Craig (Tr)487831.626
Major Everhart5701.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer54730713.569
Jeremy Scott (Tr)24417417.474
Jeremy Payne2220729.444
Ed Small16186211.641

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson963003
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
Vernon Glover411006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kylin Jackson265321
Koron Hayward (Tr)194321
Paul Oyewale318220
Ansel Din-Mbuh247220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover411006
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014