Texas Tech at TCU - 2022 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#13)Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 5th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
TCU -8.5 (69.0)
TCU 34 - Texas Tech: 24  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (22 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ TCU -16)
Projected Score: TTU: 30 - TCU: 38 (68)
TCU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TTU Travel: 268 miles
Horned Frogs (13 - 2) (10 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (49 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas Tech vs Murray State-38.064.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/10 Texas Tech vs Houston-3.562.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/17 Texas Tech at NC State+10.555.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 9/24 Texas Tech vs Texas+7.060.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State+7.556.0L 28 - 37ON
Sat 10/8 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State+11.066.0L 31 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-5.065.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 10/29 Texas Tech vs Baylor-1.561.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Texas Tech at TCU+8.569.0L 24 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Texas Tech vs Kansas-3.563.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 11/19 Texas Tech at Iowa State+3.547.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma+2.065.5W 51 - 48OY
Wed 12/28 Texas Tech vs Ole Miss+4.573.0W 42 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
TCU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 TCU at Colorado-13.559.0W 38 - 13UY
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Tarleton State-40.066.5W 59 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 TCU at SMU-2.572.0W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+5.069.5W 55 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-7.070.0W 38 - 31UN
Sat 10/15 TCU vs Oklahoma State-5.069.5W 43 - 40ON
Sat 10/22 TCU vs Kansas State-3.554.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 10/29 TCU at West Virginia-7.070.0W 41 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.569.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 TCU at Texas+7.565.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 TCU at Baylor-2.058.0W 29 - 28UN
Sat 11/26 TCU vs Iowa State-9.546.0W 62 - 14OY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-1.060.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 12/31 TCU vs Michigan+8.056.0W 51 - 45OY
Mon 1/9 TCU vs Georgia+13.562.0L 7 - 65ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU.2142%34.247%3.2715938%3023.92.1640%29.242%39%3.5144.31.91.7
TCU.344%38.847%3.1519340%2624.28.1741%2945%38%4.3649.61.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1334.222.241.8%3.921.927462159302444%56%47%38%17%.21
TCU Defense152924.541.3%4.361.5 - - - - - 49%51%45%38%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1329.229.840.1%3.511.7 - - - - - 51%48%42%39%15%.16
TCU Offense1538.848.543.5%4.281.1214551932625.152%48%47%40%13%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1329:5926.536%64%5.744.31.91.76.32.2130.9
TCU1530:252140%52%4.849.61.11.54.72630.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1344%47%40.4159.5428.293.2778%10%1.11
TCU Defense1549%45% - - - - .182.9972%8%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1351%42% - - - - .132.8864%10%1.06
TCU Offense1552%47%37.7193.35.137.223.1572%8%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1356%38%26.843.8302.16.911.32618.161.533%32%.47%1.9
TCU Defense1551%38% - - - - - - 16.21.832%27%.37%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 9.231.733%33%.395%2
TCU Offense1548%40%19.530.3261.78.713.5338.381.930%32%.455%2.4

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #41
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #18
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech:    TCU: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 8.5   TCU: 24.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2022 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3  #6
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 34.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Texas Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 38
Texas Tech 30

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 38
Texas Tech 32

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
TCU 37
Texas Tech 28

Total Points: 65
TCU Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

TCU's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26TCU35Texas Tech34TCU -5.0Texas Tech66.0Over
202311/02Texas Tech35TCU28Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Over
202211/05TCU34Texas Tech24TCU -8.5TCU69.0Under
202110/09Texas Tech31TCU52TCU -2.5TCU60.0Over
202011/07TCU34Texas Tech18TCU -9.5TCU60.0Under
201911/16Texas Tech31TCU33TCU -3.5Texas Tech53.0Over
201810/11TCU14Texas Tech17TCU -7.5Texas Tech57.5Under
201711/18Texas Tech3TCU27TCU -6.5TCU53.5Under
201610/29TCU24Texas Tech27TCU -8.5Texas Tech87.0Under
201509/26Texas Tech52TCU55TCU -9.5Texas Tech83.5Over
201410/25TCU82Texas Tech27TCU -20TCU0
201309/12Texas Tech20TCU10TCU -6Texas Tech0
201210/20TCU53Texas Tech56
200609/16TCU12Texas Tech3
200409/18Texas Tech70TCU35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU955 Overs
Texas Tech675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) TTU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #6
Perf GradeGrade #84 #46
OffenseOff #90 #27
DefenseDef #81 #74
Spec TeamsST #53 #105
TalentTal #44 #32
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90 #74
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #45 #62
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #28
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #94 #53
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #79 #128
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #30 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #25 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #53
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 10
TCU -8.5 (69.0)
TCU won vs Texas Tech this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech last year (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2022 (34-24)

  
TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD