TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats 
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas State -3.5 (58.5)
Kansas State 31 - TCU: 12 (Big 12)
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ KSU -15)
Projected Score: TCU: 28 - KSU: 28 (56)
KSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 451 miles
Our Line: -10 (SP+ KSU -15)
Projected Score: TCU: 28 - KSU: 28 (56)
KSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 451 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| TCU's 2021 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/4 | TCU vs Duquesne | -42.0 | 54.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/11 | TCU vs California | -11.5 | 46.5 | W 34 - 32 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/25 | TCU vs SMU | -8.0 | 66.0 | L 34 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/2 | TCU vs Texas | +3.5 | 65.5 | L 27 - 32 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/9 | TCU at Texas Tech | -2.5 | 60.0 | W 52 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/16 | TCU at Oklahoma | +12.5 | 64.5 | L 31 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/23 | TCU vs West Virginia | -5.0 | 58.0 | L 17 - 29 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/30 | TCU at Kansas State | +3.5 | 58.5 | L 12 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/6 | TCU vs Baylor | +7.5 | 57.0 | W 30 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/13 | TCU at Oklahoma State | +11.0 | 53.5 | L 17 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/20 | TCU vs Kansas | -21.0 | 64.0 | W 31 - 28 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/26 | TCU at Iowa State | +16.0 | 61.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Kansas State's 2021 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/4 | Kansas State vs Stanford | -3.0 | 54.5 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/11 | Kansas State vs Southern Illinois | -17.0 | 55.0 | W 31 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/18 | Kansas State vs Nevada | +1.5 | 51.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/25 | Kansas State at Oklahoma State | +6.0 | 47.5 | L 20 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/2 | Kansas State vs Oklahoma | +12.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 37 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/16 | Kansas State vs Iowa State | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 20 - 33 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/23 | Kansas State at Texas Tech | -1.0 | 60.5 | W 25 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/30 | Kansas State vs TCU | -3.5 | 58.5 | W 31 - 12 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/6 | Kansas State at Kansas | -24.0 | 56.0 | W 35 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/13 | Kansas State vs West Virginia | -6.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/20 | Kansas State vs Baylor | -2.5 | 49.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/26 | Kansas State at Texas | +3.0 | 54.5 | L 17 - 22 | U | N | |
| Tue 1/4 | Kansas State vs LSU | -9.5 | 47.0 | W 42 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2020)
Overall Stats 2020
Additional Stats 2020
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | .15 | 41% | 30.7 | 46% | 2.95 | 215 | 35% | 193 | 2.91 | .11 | 32% | 25.3 | 31% | 33% | 3.2 | 62.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| KSU | .16 | 37% | 29.4 | 40% | 2.57 | 152 | 35% | 186 | 3.69 | .24 | 44% | 26.7 | 41% | 46% | 3.92 | 56.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| KSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2020
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Offense | 10 | 30.7 | 25.5 | 40.9% | 2.91 | 1.4 | 19 | 408 | 215 | 193 | 5.3 | 56% | 44% | 46% | 35% | 17% | .15 |
| KSU Defense | 10 | 26.7 | 27.3 | 43.7% | 3.92 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 41% | 46% | 17% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Defense | 10 | 25.3 | 26.2 | 32.4% | 3.2 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 31% | 33% | 21% | .11 |
| KSU Offense | 10 | 29.4 | 29.7 | 37.5% | 3.69 | 1.5 | 16 | 338 | 152 | 186 | 4.3 | 56% | 44% | 40% | 35% | 18% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2020
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 10 | 30:05 | 19.2 | 36% | 57% | 7.6 | 62.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 29.1 |
| Kansas State | 10 | 28:44 | 15.5 | 33% | 60% | 6.5 | 56.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 4 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2021)
Pass Game Stats (2021)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Offense | 10 | 56% | 46% | 41 | 215.1 | 5.3 | 23 | .19 | 2.95 | 77% | 12% | 1.09 |
| KSU Defense | 10 | 47% | 41% | - | - | - | - | .18 | 2.8 | 79% | 11% | 1.23 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Defense | 10 | 50% | 31% | - | - | - | - | -.01 | 2.38 | 65% | 13% | 1.15 |
| KSU Offense | 10 | 56% | 40% | 35.3 | 152.2 | 4.3 | 17 | .08 | 2.57 | 68% | 11% | 1.07 |
Pass Game Stats (2021)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Offense | 10 | 44% | 35% | 16.3 | 27.2 | 193.3 | 7.1 | 11.9 | 10 | 5 | .11 | 1.6 | 31% | 29% | .23 | 5% | 2 |
| KSU Defense | 10 | 53% | 46% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 | .3 | 1.4 | 31% | 34% | .41 | 6% | 2.1 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Defense | 10 | 50% | 33% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | .23 | 1.9 | 38% | 21% | .18 | 8% | 2.3 |
| KSU Offense | 10 | 44% | 35% | 13.7 | 24.7 | 185.7 | 7.5 | 13.6 | 12 | 10 | .26 | 1.9 | 33% | 26% | .28 | 7% | 2.3 |
TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #110
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #110
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: Kansas State: 9.6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6 Kansas State: 14.2
TCU: Kansas State: 9.6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6 Kansas State: 14.2
Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2 #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #16
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2 #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #16
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2
TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2
TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 28
Kansas State 28
Projected Total Points: 56
TCU 28
Kansas State 28
Projected Total Points: 56
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3
Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3
Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/11 | Kansas State | 41 | TCU | 28 | TCU -3 | Kansas State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Kansas State | 41 | TCU | 3 | Kansas State -5.5 | Kansas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 12/03 | TCU | 28 | Kansas State | 31 | TCU -1 | Kansas State | 60.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/22 | TCU | 38 | Kansas State | 28 | TCU -3.5 | TCU | 54.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Kansas State | 31 | TCU | 12 | Kansas State -3.5 | Kansas State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/10 | TCU | 14 | Kansas State | 21 | TCU -10.5 | Kansas State | 49.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Kansas State | 24 | TCU | 17 | TCU -4.5 | Kansas State | 43.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | TCU | 14 | Kansas State | 13 | TCU -10 | Kansas State | 44.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Kansas State | 6 | TCU | 26 | TCU -7.5 | TCU | 49.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 12/03 | TCU | 6 | Kansas State | 30 | TCU -4.5 | Kansas State | 50.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Kansas State | 45 | TCU | 52 | TCU -7 | NA | 61.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | TCU | 41 | Kansas State | 20 | TCU -6 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Kansas State | 33 | TCU | 31 | Kansas State -10.5 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | TCU | 10 | Kansas State | 23 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State | 9 | 8 | 3 Overs |
| TCU | 5 | 4 | 8 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 6 | 6 - 6 | 4 - 5 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 8 | 6 - 6 | 1 - 2 | 5 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TCU | KSU |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #81 | #21 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #95 | #53 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #38 |
| DefenseDef | #126 | #75 |
| Spec TeamsST | #115 | #118 |
| TalentTal | #35 | #67 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| TCU Off | KSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #41 | #75 |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #38 | #16 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| TCU Off | KSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | #58 | #69 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | #49 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | #129 |
| TCU Off | KSU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | #38 | #78 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #10 | #74 |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | KSU Off | TCU Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #38 | #126 |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | #36 | #110 |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| KSU Off | TCU Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | #16 | #114 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | #34 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | #133 |
| CategoryCat | KSU Off | TCU Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | #79 | #126 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #64 | #97 |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders
TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders
TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Kansas State -3.5 (58.5)
Kansas State won vs TCU this year (31-12)
Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat TCU last year (41-28)
Kansas State beat TCU in 2023 (41-3)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|