TCU at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines(#19)

Saturday, December 31st 2022 (4:00 PM EST)
Michigan -8.0 (56.0) (-290) Open: -9.0 | 60.0
TCU 51 - Michigan: 45 (CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl)

Horned Frogs (13 - 2) (10 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (34 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MICH -8)
Projected Score: TCU: 23 - MICH: 40 (63)
MICH Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TCU Travel: 863 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TCU Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	TCU at Colorado	-13.5	59.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	TCU vs Tarleton State	-40.0	66.5	W 59 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	TCU at SMU	-2.5	72.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	TCU vs Oklahoma	+5.0	69.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	TCU at Kansas	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	69.5	W 43 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	TCU vs Kansas State	-3.5	54.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/29	TCU at West Virginia	-7.0	70.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	TCU vs Texas Tech	-8.5	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	TCU at Texas	+7.5	65.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	TCU at Baylor	-2.0	58.0	W 29 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	TCU vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	W 62 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	TCU vs Kansas State	-1.0	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/31	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Mon 1/9	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Michigan vs Colorado State	-31.0	60.5	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Michigan vs Hawai'i	-52.5	66.5	W 56 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/17	Michigan vs UConn	-47.5	59.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Michigan vs Maryland	-17.0	66.0	W 34 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan at Iowa	-10.5	42.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Michigan at Indiana	-23.5	57.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan vs Penn State	-7.0	49.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan vs Michigan State	-22.0	55.0	W 29 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/5	Michigan at Rutgers	-26.0	45.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan vs Nebraska	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Michigan vs Illinois	-17.0	41.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan at Ohio State	+9.0	56.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Michigan vs Purdue	-16.0	53.0	W 43 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	.3	44%	38.8	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	29	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5
MICH	.28	50%	40.4	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	16.1	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)		45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)		46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	15	38.8	34.2	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3
MICH Defense	14	16.1	11	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	15	29	24.5	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17
MICH Offense	14	40.4	40.4	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2022 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: Michigan: 16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 24.3 Michigan: 32.0

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 16 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0 #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

TCU Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

TCU's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 40
TCU 23

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 45
TCU 20

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 34
TCU 25

Total Points: 59

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/31	Michigan	45	TCU	51	Michigan -8.0	TCU	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	0	0	1 Overs
TCU	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

TCU Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	CFP Nat'l Title	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65
2022	CFP Semifinal	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45
2018	It Bowl	TCU vs California	+1.5	38.5	W 10 - 7
2017	Alamo Bowl	TCU vs Stanford	-3.0	49.5	W 39 - 37
2016	N/A	TCU vs Georgia	-1.5	49.0	L 23 - 31

Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51
2021	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Georgia	+7.5	47.0	L 11 - 34
2019	Citrus Bowl	Michigan vs Alabama	+8.5	62.0	L 16 - 35
2018	Peach Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41
2017	Outback Bowl	Michigan vs South Carolina	-9.0	42.5	L 19 - 26
2016	Orange Bowl	Michigan vs Florida State	-6.5	51.0	L 32 - 33

(#) TCU at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#46	#2
OffenseOff	#27	#10
DefenseDef	#74	#2
Spec TeamsST	#105	#27
TalentTal	#32	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

TCU Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#2
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#30	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#2

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#27	#17
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	TCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#10	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#1	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#28

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in State Farm Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -8.0 (56.0)
TCU won at Michigan this year (51-45)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Michigan in 2022 (51-45)

TCU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD