Texas at TCU - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -3.5 (65.5)
Texas 32 - TCU: 27 (Big 12)

Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU 4th straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ TEX -9)
Projected Score: TEX: 25 - TCU: 28 (53)
TEX Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 169 miles

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas vs Louisiana	-8.5	58.0	W 38 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas at Arkansas	-6.0	57.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/18	Texas vs Rice	-26.0	52.0	W 58 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas vs Texas Tech	-9.0	63.0	W 70 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Texas at TCU	-3.5	65.5	W 32 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas vs Oklahoma	+4.0	65.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	61.0	L 24 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Texas at Baylor	+2.0	61.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas at Iowa State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Texas vs Kansas	-31.0	61.5	L 56 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas at West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/26	Texas vs Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

TCU's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	TCU vs Duquesne	-42.0	54.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/11	TCU vs California	-11.5	46.5	W 34 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	TCU vs SMU	-8.0	66.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	TCU vs Texas	+3.5	65.5	L 27 - 32	U	N
Sat 10/9	TCU at Texas Tech	-2.5	60.0	W 52 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/16	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	64.5	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/23	TCU vs West Virginia	-5.0	58.0	L 17 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/30	TCU at Kansas State	+3.5	58.5	L 12 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	TCU vs Baylor	+7.5	57.0	W 30 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/13	TCU at Oklahoma State	+11.0	53.5	L 17 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/20	TCU vs Kansas	-21.0	64.0	W 31 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/26	TCU at Iowa State	+16.0	61.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.25	43%	30.5	46%	3.08	195	41%	280	4.44	.14	43%	20.3	40%	46%	3.42	79	0.9	1.8
TCU	.15	41%	30.7	46%	2.95	215	35%	193	2.91	.11	32%	25.3	31%	33%	3.2	62.8	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	10	30.5	19.8	43.2%	4.44	0.9	22	476	195	280	5.3	47%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.25
TCU Defense	10	25.3	24.2	32.4%	3.2	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	31%	33%	21%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	10	20.3	25.8	43.2%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	46%	19%	.14
TCU Offense	10	30.7	36	40.9%	2.91	1.4	19	408	215	193	5.3	56%	44%	46%	35%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	10	27:36	22.4	37%	50%	8.2	79	0.9	1.8	7.4	1.5	2	30.9
TCU	10	30:05	19.2	36%	57%	7.6	62.8	1.4	1.2	7.7	2.3	3	29.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	10	47%	46%	36.8	195.4	5.3	20	.15	3.08	63%	9%	1.06
TCU Defense	10	50%	31%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.38	65%	13%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	10	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.44	73%	12%	0.87
TCU Offense	10	56%	46%	41	215.1	5.3	23	.19	2.95	77%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	10	53%	41%	20.8	34.5	280.1	8.1	13.5	32	5	.35	1.7	31%	34%	.49	7%	2.3
TCU Defense	10	50%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.23	1.9	38%	21%	.18	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	30%	31%	.23	8%	2
TCU Offense	10	44%	35%	16.3	27.2	193.3	7.1	11.9	10	5	.11	1.6	31%	29%	.23	5%	2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: TCU: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 8.5 TCU: -0.6

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 28
Texas 25

Projected Total Points: 53

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	TCU	26	Texas	29	Texas -13.0	TCU	56.0	Under
2022	11/12	Texas	10	TCU	17	Texas -7.5	TCU	65.0	Under
2021	10/02	TCU	27	Texas	32	Texas -3.5	Texas	65.5	Under
2020	10/03	Texas	31	TCU	33	Texas -10.5	TCU	61.5	Over
2019	10/26	TCU	37	Texas	27	TCU -1.5	TCU	57.0	Over
2018	09/22	Texas	31	TCU	16	TCU -3	Texas	50.0	Under
2017	11/04	TCU	24	Texas	7	TCU -7.5	TCU	45.0	Under
2016	11/25	Texas	9	TCU	31	Texas -3	TCU	60.5	Under
2015	10/03	TCU	50	Texas	7	TCU -18.5	TCU	73.0	Under
2014	11/27	Texas	10	TCU	48	TCU -7.5	TCU	0
2013	10/26	TCU	7	Texas	30	TCU -3.5	Texas	0
2012	11/22	Texas	13	TCU	20
2007	09/08	Texas	34	TCU	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	8	8	2 Overs
Texas	5	3	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) TEX at (#) TCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	TCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#81
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#95
OffenseOff	#46	#41
DefenseDef	#110	#126
Spec TeamsST	#45	#115
TalentTal	#11	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Injury Report

TCU Injury Report

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#126
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#6	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#133

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#97
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#58	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Texas 3.5 (65.5)
Texas won at TCU this year (32-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD