Texas at TCU - 2021 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#10)Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs(#24)TCU logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -3.5 (65.5)
Texas 32 - TCU: 27  (Big 12)

 
Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 31 (21 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 4th straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ TEX -9)
Projected Score: TEX: 29 - TCU: 34 (63)
TEX Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 169 miles
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 29 - 35 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas vs Louisiana-8.558.0W 38 - 18UY
Sat 9/11 Texas at Arkansas-6.057.5L 21 - 40ON
Sat 9/18 Texas vs Rice-26.052.0W 58 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Texas vs Texas Tech-9.063.0W 70 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 Texas at TCU-3.565.5W 32 - 27UY
Sat 10/9 Texas vs Oklahoma+4.065.5L 48 - 55ON
Sat 10/16 Texas vs Oklahoma State-3.061.0L 24 - 32UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Texas at Baylor+2.061.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Texas at Iowa State+6.059.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 11/13 Texas vs Kansas-31.061.5L 56 - 57ON
Sat 11/20 Texas at West Virginia+2.556.0L 23 - 31UN
Fri 11/26 Texas vs Kansas State-3.054.5W 22 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX.2845%35.346%3.4419943%2254.44.2846%31.146%46%4.3248.31.41.3
TCU.3245%28.745%3.219444%2373.4.3448%34.950%46%4.7261.41.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1235.321.444.6%4.441.4204251992255.252%48%46%43%16%.28
TCU Defense1234.927.748.1%4.721.1 - - - - - 55%44%50%46%15%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1231.131.846.1%4.321.3 - - - - - 54%46%46%46%16%.28
TCU Offense1228.731.144.6%3.41.3214311942374.957%42%45%44%19%.32

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1228:0420.344%45%5.848.31.41.361.7129.4
TCU1229:282146%39%7.161.41.31.14.11.3227.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1252%46%38.1199.35.225.233.4480%11%0.94
TCU Defense1255%50% - - - - .313.5384%9%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1254%46% - - - - .213.1667%11%1.03
TCU Offense1257%45%39.4194.24.921.243.263%14%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1248%43%18.128.8225.47.812.52910.361.730%31%.335%2
TCU Defense1244%46% - - - - - - 10.421.827%38%.456%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 7.351.529%34%.395%2
TCU Offense1242%44%16.725.8236.59.214.2196.461.933%38%.565%2.1

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas:    TCU: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 8.5   TCU: -0.6




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 34
Texas 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 36
Texas 28

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
TCU 31
Texas 30

Total Points: 61
TCU Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11TCU26Texas29Texas -13.0TCU56.0Under
202211/12Texas10TCU17Texas -7.5TCU65.0Under
202110/02TCU27Texas32Texas -3.5Texas65.5Under
202010/03Texas31TCU33Texas -10.5TCU61.5Over
201910/26TCU37Texas27TCU -1.5TCU57.0Over
201809/22Texas31TCU16TCU -3Texas50.0Under
201711/04TCU24Texas7TCU -7.5TCU45.0Under
201611/25Texas9TCU31Texas -3TCU60.5Under
201510/03TCU50Texas7TCU -18.5TCU73.0Under
201411/27Texas10TCU48TCU -7.5TCU0
201310/26TCU7Texas30TCU -3.5Texas0
201211/22Texas13TCU20
200709/08Texas34TCU13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU882 Overs
Texas537 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 56 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#) TEX at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #81
Perf GradeGrade #79 #95
OffenseOff #46 #41
DefenseDef #110 #126
Spec TeamsST #45 #115
TalentTal #11 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
TEX OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #6 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #75 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #75 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffTEX Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #110
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #58 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #38 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 5
Texas 3.5 (65.5)
Texas won at TCU this year (32-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)
TCU beat Texas in 2022 (17-10)

  
TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD