Texas at TCU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas -13.0 (56.0) (-480) Open: -5.0 | 53.0
Texas 29 - TCU: 26 (Big 12)

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -12 (SP+ TEX -17)
Projected Score: TEX: 33 - TCU: 21 (53)
TEX Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TEX Travel: 169 miles

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.28	48%	33	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	15.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	33	23.8	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28
TCU Defense	15	24.6	23.3	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	15.3	13.3	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13
TCU Offense	15	33.5	36.7	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87 TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6 TCU: 7.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 33
TCU 21

Projected Total Points: 53

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	TCU	26	Texas	29	Texas	Texas -13.0	TCU	56.0	Under
2022	11/12	Texas	10	TCU	17	TCU	Texas -7.5	TCU	65.0	Under
2021	10/02	TCU	27	Texas	32	Texas	Texas -3.5	Texas	65.5	Under
2020	10/03	Texas	31	TCU	33	TCU	Texas -10.5	TCU	61.5	Over
2019	10/26	TCU	37	Texas	27	TCU	TCU -1.5	TCU	57.0	Over
2018	09/22	Texas	31	TCU	16	Texas	TCU -3	Texas	50.0	Under
2017	11/04	TCU	24	Texas	7	TCU	TCU -7.5	TCU	45.0	Under
2016	11/25	Texas	9	TCU	31	TCU	Texas -3	TCU	60.5	Under
2015	10/03	TCU	50	Texas	7	TCU	TCU -18.5	TCU	73.0	Under
2014	11/27	Texas	10	TCU	48	TCU	TCU -7.5	TCU	0
2013	10/26	TCU	7	Texas	30	Texas	TCU -3.5	Texas	0
2012	11/22	Texas	13	TCU	20	TCU
2007	09/08	Texas	34	TCU	13	Texas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	8	8	2 Overs
Texas	5	3	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#11) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Texas Ratings Matchup TCU

Power #11

#44

Off #40

#32

Def #15

#97

Talent #6

#67

SP+ #6

#40

SP+ Off #6

#27

SP+ Def #10

#57

Rematch from Week 11
Texas 13.0 (56.0)
Texas won at TCU this year (29-26)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)
TCU beat Texas in 2022 (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | TCU
Depth Chart: TEX | TCU
Rosters: TEX | TCU

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Maalik Murphy	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Savion Red	119	687	8	5.8	69
Ky Woods	7	25	0	3.6	8
Casey Cain	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Jaydon Blue	42	368	6	8.8	45
Johntay Cook II	8	137	2	17.1	40
Casey Cain	7	136	2	19.4	50

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Jeff Choate

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Jerrin Thompson	65	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1
Vernon Broughton	39	5	4	5	2
Kristopher Ross	29	6	3	3	2
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Alfred Collins	55	6	1	1	6
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Savion Williams	3	3	100%	22	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Chandler Morris	60	242	4	4.0	49
Trey Sanders (Tr)	13	46	0	3.5	12
Corey Wren	10	24	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech (Tr)	62	1034	9	16.7	52
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75
Blake Nowell	9	179	1	19.9	46

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Brooks	5	3	3	1	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Damonic Williams	36	5	1	2	0
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	0	9
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6