TCU at Oklahoma State - 2021 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys  Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -11 (53.5)
Oklahoma State 63 - TCU: 17  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 5th straight game
TCU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ OKST -18)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - OKST: 21 (50)
OKST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 237 miles
Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oklahoma State vs Missouri State-38.055.0W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-11.551.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Oklahoma State at Boise State+3.558.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State-6.047.5W 31 - 20OY
Sat 10/2 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-3.547.0W 24 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Oklahoma State at Texas+3.061.0W 32 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+7.547.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/30 Oklahoma State vs Kansas-28.554.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/6 Oklahoma State at West Virginia-3.548.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Oklahoma State vs TCU-11.053.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech-10.055.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma-4.050.0W 37 - 33ON
Sat 12/4 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-7.045.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 1/1 Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5W 37 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1541%30.746%2.9521535%1932.91.1132%25.331%33%3.262.81.41.2
OKST.1339%14.236%2.4718843%2393.31.137%33.340%34%3.0954.71.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1030.725.540.9%2.911.4194082151935.356%44%46%35%17%.15
OKST Defense1133.327.637.2%3.091.5 - - - - - 50%50%40%34%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1025.326.232.4%3.21.2 - - - - - 50%50%31%33%21%.11
OKST Offense1114.21739.2%3.311.5244271882394.156%44%36%43%17%.13

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1030:0519.236%57%7.662.81.41.27.72.3329.1
Oklahoma State1129:5423.742%50%6.654.71.51.582.6232.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1056%46%41215.15.323.192.9577%12%1.09
OKST Defense1150%40% - - - - .022.6663%14%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1050%31% - - - - -.012.3865%13%1.15
OKST Offense1156%36%45.9187.74.117.042.4778%12%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1044%35%16.327.2193.37.111.9105.111.631%29%.235%2
OKST Defense1150%34% - - - - - - 6.171.734%27%.176%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1050%33% - - - - - - 8.231.938%21%.188%2.3
OKST Offense1144%43%18.830.9239.17.712.71810.251.634%29%.285%2.1

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Oklahoma State: 11.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6   Oklahoma State: 17.2




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 11.1 NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2  #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
Oklahoma State 21

Projected Total Points: 50
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09TCU38Oklahoma State13TCU -10.5TCU68.5Under
202210/15TCU43Oklahoma State40TCU -5Oklahoma State69.5Over
202111/13Oklahoma State63TCU17Oklahoma State -11Oklahoma State53.5Over
202012/05TCU29Oklahoma State22Oklahoma State -2.5TCU52.5Under
201911/02Oklahoma State34TCU27TCU -1Oklahoma State58.5Over
201811/24TCU31Oklahoma State24Oklahoma State -6TCU52.5Over
201709/23Oklahoma State31TCU44Oklahoma State -10.5TCU68.0Over
201611/19TCU6Oklahoma State31TCU -4.5Oklahoma State68.5Under
201511/07Oklahoma State49TCU29TCU -5Oklahoma State76.0Over
201410/18TCU42Oklahoma State9TCU -10TCU0
201310/19Oklahoma State24TCU10Oklahoma State -7Oklahoma State0
201210/27Oklahoma State36TCU14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State666 Overs
TCU653 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 28 - 34 - 34 - 0
Road Teams2 - 103 - 80 - 43 - 4

(#) TCU at (#) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #12
Perf GradeGrade #95 #13
OffenseOff #41 #49
DefenseDef #126 #4
Spec TeamsST #115 #8
TalentTal #35 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #58 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #52
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #38 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #36
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCatOKST OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #77 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCatOKST OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #44 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Oklahoma State -11.0 (53.5)
Oklahoma State won vs TCU this year (63-17)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (38-13)

  
TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD