TCU at Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -7.5 (64.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 36 - Houston: 13  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: TCU -10.5   (SP+ TCU -16)
Projected Score: TCU: 36 - HOU: 25 (61)
TCU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 238 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Houston vs UTSA+2.559.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Houston at Rice-7.551.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 9/16 Houston vs TCU+7.564.0L 13 - 36UN
Sat 9/23 Houston vs Sam Houston-11.537.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Houston at Texas Tech+8.552.0L 28 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 Houston vs West Virginia+3.049.5W 41 - 39OY
Sat 10/21 Houston vs Texas+24.060.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/28 Houston at Kansas State+17.561.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 11/4 Houston at Baylor+3.058.5W 25 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Houston vs Cincinnati-3.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Houston vs Oklahoma State+6.556.5L 30 - 43ON
Sat 11/25 Houston at UCF+15.561.5L 13 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)31.349% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)27.843% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
HOU#104 (.13)40% (97)23.739% (110)2.97 (96)11941% (75)2413.44 (100)#114 (.26)47% (126)31.547% (104)48% (130)4.26 (111)49.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1231.325.247.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28
HOU Defense1231.527.746.7%4.261.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%48%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1227.83743.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
HOU Offense1223.725.339.7%3.441.319360119241442%56%39%41%14%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Houston1227:5619.236%26%5.749.21.31.251.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)
HOU Defense1251% (89)47% (104) - - - - .23 (111)3.24 (101)75% (79)8% (110)1.05 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
HOU Offense1242% (115)39% (110)29.9118.8410 (124).06 (116)2.97 (96)59% (129)9% (57)0.98 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)
HOU Defense1247% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 9 (87).35 (108)1.5 (27)30% (98)38% (128).47 (125)4% (124)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
HOU Offense1256% (24)41% (75)21.733.9241.47.111.124 (41)13 (97).25 (77)1.5 (86)34% (94)25% (111).18 (107)5% (20)2.1 (56)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50   Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5   Houston: -8.3




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


TCU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 36
Houston 25


Total Points: 61

Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/04TCU19Houston30HoustonTCU -16.5Houston52.0Under
202309/16Houston13TCU36TCUTCU -7.5TCU64.0Under
200712/28Houston13TCU20TCU
200410/23TCU34Houston27TCU
200310/25Houston55TCU62TCU
200210/05TCU34Houston17TCU
200109/29Houston17TCU34TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston110 Overs
TCU612 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 50 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams5 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#44) TCU Info
Power Rating: 3.50 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60


TCU has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

TCU Highlights
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU has a top Offensive Line (#35)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#39)


TCU Deficiencies
TCU throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatHOUTCU
OverallOver#81#41
OffenseOff#65#35
DefenseDef#86#58
Special TeamsST#89#50
PassingPass#49#34
RushingRush#72#28
Run BlockRBLK#49#81
Pass BlockPBLK#39#49
Route RunningWR Rt#57#20
TacklingTkl#87#65
Run DefenseR Def#78#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#90#88
Coverage DefCov#93#77

Rematch from Week 3
TCU 7.5 (64.0)
TCU won at Houston this year (36-13)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat TCU last year (30-19)
TCU beat Houston in 2023 (36-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | HOU
Depth Chart: TCU | HOU
Rosters: TCU | HOU
(#97) Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Houston has lost 1 straight
Houston has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Houston Highlights

Houston Deficiencies
Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#32)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Houston has a bad defense (#8)
Houston has a bad defensive line (#26)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover18629962%22101597.4
Chandler Morris13220265%15281257.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emani Bailey223120985.474
Chandler Morris4524935.532
Trey Sanders (Tr)4817663.718
Savion Williams116205.614
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams41573414.042
John Paul Richardson46536311.759
Jared Wiley47520811.181
Jaylon Robinson (Tr)32397112.429

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Joe Gillespie
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamoi Hodge807372
Namdi Obiazor756432
Shadrach Banks579120
Nook Bradford530005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor756432
Paul Oyewale215310
Jamoi Hodge807372
Caleb Fox254200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Newton290005
Nook Bradford530005
Mark Perry522004

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)25539664%280022137.1
Ui Ale4850%69108.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Jenkins9946434.731
Donovan Smith (Tr)13842963.135
Stacy Sneed4828215.958
Tony Mathis (Tr)4117004.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Brown61815313.453
Joseph Manjack46577612.549
Matthew Golden38404610.639
Stephon Johnson Jr.23269311.749

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Doug Belk
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy901012
Malik Robinson732021
Jamal Morris592025
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nelson Ceaser3610730
Jamaree Caldwell269700
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)416323
Anthony Holmes Jr.205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamal Morris592025
Malik Fleming (Tr)392005
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014