TCU at Houston Game Matchup

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -7.5 (64.0) (0) Open: 0.0
TCU 36 - Houston: 13 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: TCU -10.5 (SP+ TCU -16)
Projected Score: TCU: 33 - HOU: 23 (47)
TCU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 238 miles

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	15	33.5	28.6	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3
HOU Defense	13	22.9	17.8	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	15	24.6	30	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17
HOU Offense	13	14	15.2	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50 Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5 Houston: -8.3

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 33
Houston 23

Projected Total Points: 47

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/04	TCU	19	Houston	30	Houston	TCU -16.5	Houston	52.0	Under
2023	09/16	Houston	13	TCU	36	TCU	TCU -7.5	TCU	64.0	Under
2007	12/28	Houston	13	TCU	20	TCU
2004	10/23	TCU	34	Houston	27	TCU
2003	10/25	Houston	55	TCU	62	TCU
2002	10/05	TCU	34	Houston	17	TCU
2001	09/29	Houston	17	TCU	34	TCU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	1	1	0 Overs
TCU	6	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.50 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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TCU Ratings Matchup Houston

Power #44

#97

Off #32

#95

Def #97

#113

Talent #67

#103

SP+ #40

#95

SP+ Off #27

#73

SP+ Def #57

#104

Rematch from Week 3
TCU 7.5 (64.0)
TCU won at Houston this year (36-13)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat TCU last year (30-19)
TCU beat Houston in 2023 (36-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | HOU
Depth Chart: TCU | HOU
Rosters: TCU | HOU

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Savion Williams	3	3	100%	22	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Chandler Morris	60	242	4	4.0	49
Trey Sanders (Tr)	13	46	0	3.5	12
Corey Wren	10	24	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech (Tr)	62	1034	9	16.7	52
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75
Blake Nowell	9	179	1	19.9	46

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Brooks	5	3	3	1	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Damonic Williams	36	5	1	2	0
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	0	9
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Matthew Golden	1	2	50%	30	0	0	15.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21
Donovan Smith (Tr)	66	159	3	2.4	37
Ja'Koby Banks	8	29	0	3.6	12
Logan Compton	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden	58	987	9	17.0	54
Sam Brown	36	509	2	14.1	76
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Logan Compton	17	210	3	12.4	39

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Treylin Payne	26	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	17	1	0	0	6
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2