Utah at TCU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Utah logo Utah Utes at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

 
Utes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Morgan Scalley (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#12)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTAH 2nd straight Road Game
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
UTAH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Utah -6  (SP+ UTAH -14)
Projected Score: UTAH: 32 - TCU: 26 (58)
UTAH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UTAH Travel: 974 miles, 1 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Utah vs Idaho-40
Sat 9/12 Utah vs Arkansas-15.5
Sat 9/19 Utah vs Utah State-27.5
Sat 9/26 Utah at Iowa State-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Utah vs Kansas-17.5
Sat 10/17 Utah at Colorado-22
Sat 10/24 Utah vs Houston-12.5
Sat 10/31 Utah at Cincinnati-10.5
Sat 11/7 Utah vs BYU-4
Sat 11/14 Utah at Arizona-6
Sat 11/21 Utah at TCU-6
Sat 11/28 Utah vs West Virginia-21.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
TCU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 TCU vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Grambling-31.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Arkansas State-21.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at UCF-8
Sat 10/3 TCU vs BYU+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 TCU at Baylor-3.5
Sat 10/24 TCU vs West Virginia-13
Sat 10/31 TCU vs Kansas-9
Sat 11/7 TCU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas State-4.5
Sat 11/21 TCU vs Utah+6
Sat 11/28 TCU at Texas Tech+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#3 (.36)49% (8)41.351% (5)3.55 (2)26747% (23)2175.01 (2)#23 (.07)38% (28)18.943% (79)33% (8)2.93 (16)480.91.4
TCU#36 (.21)44% (48)30.743% (79)2.7 (113)13247% (24)2904.14 (34)#59 (.15)40% (53)25.338% (23)43% (86)3.49 (54)621.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1341.338.249.1%5.010.9254832672176.156%44%51%47%12%.36
TCU Defense1325.324.240.3%3.491.6 - - - - - 48%50%38%43%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1318.917.238.4%2.931.4 - - - - - 51%47%43%33%17%.07
TCU Offense1330.73644.3%4.141.522422132290445%53%43%47%15%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1330:4725.553%64%5.9480.91.46.32.6428.7
TCU1328:5122.247%64%6.8621.51.65.21.8130
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1356% (25)51% (5)44.1266.56.141 (11).35 (2)3.55 (2)82% (6)7% (17)1.1 (18)
TCU Defense1348% (51)38% (23) - - - - .06 (44)2.84 (58)68% (48)9% (84)0.88 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1351% (80)43% (79) - - - - .18 (115)2.87 (65)73% (80)10% (57)1.11 (126)
TCU Offense1345% (104)43% (79)33.3131.8420 (60).04 (109)2.7 (113)77% (35)9% (71)0.83 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1344% (105)47% (23)1828.7216.67.61227 (33)5 (34).38 (30)1.5 (83)28% (22)41% (3).65 (2)5% (39)2.1 (56)
TCU Defense1350% (85)43% (86) - - - - - - 14 (22).3 (92)1.7 (111)32% (66)32% (94).35 (96)6% (75)2.1 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1347% (49)33% (8) - - - - - - 15 (38).01 (4)1.7 (118)33% (47)25% (18).1 (6)7% (22)2.1 (111)
TCU Offense1353% (34)47% (24)23.535.4290.18.212.330 (3)15 (108).41 (20)1.6 (35)33% (89)34% (23).45 (20)6% (72)2.1 (26)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 11.16  #25
Utah's Offense Rating: 18.22  #20
Utah's Defense Rating: 12.06  #34
2026 Talent Rating: 736.00  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 13%  #36
Utah's 2026 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.2  #8
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #6
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 11.16   TCU: 10.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 22.2   TCU: 8.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 10.67  #32
TCU's Offense Rating: 13.74  #45
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.70  #30
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 16  #31
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Utah's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 32
TCU 26

Projected Total Points: 58
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Utah7TCU13Utah -3TCU52.0Under
201011/06Utah7TCU47
200911/14TCU55Utah28
200811/06Utah13TCU10
200710/18TCU20Utah27
200610/05Utah20TCU7
200509/15TCU23Utah20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU410 Overs
Utah301 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#25) UTAH at (#32) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTAHTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #25 #32
SP+SP+ #8 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #68 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #36 #31
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #8 #53
ExplosiveExp #52 #92
PPAPPA #3 #59
PowerPwr #20 #30
SP+SP+ #6 #50
Pts POPPO #2 #54
HavocHav #18 #86
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #23
Run ExplRExp #18 #26
PPAExp #2 #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #2 #58
Stuff RateStuff #3 #95
TackleTak - NR
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #86
Pass ExplPExl #83 #111
PPAExp #30 #92
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #17 #84
DB HavocDB #39 #75
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffUTAH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #48 #28
ExplosiveExp #46 #116
PPAPPA #36 #23
PowerPwr #45 #34
SP+SP+ #30 #17
Pts POPPO #34 #16
HavocHav #64 #42
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #79
Run ExplRExp #121 #126
PPAExp #109 #115
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #113 #65
Stuff RateStuff #114 #51
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #8
Pass ExplPExl #35 #118
PPAExp #20 #4
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #71 #57
DB HavocDB #72 #22
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
TCU beat Utah in 2024 (13-7)

  
UTAH's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier21233464%24902457.5
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker14998166.664
Devon Dampier146835105.759
Byrd Ficklin61513108.474
Steve Chavez-Soto (Tr)8744875.166
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)60925515.454
Kyri Shoels (Tr)59768213.043
Dallen Bentley48620612.945
Larry Simmons15280618.748

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Colton Swan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall636314
Jackson Bennee624125
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Elijah Reed (Tr)442104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Day (Tr)547580
Kash Dillon325410
Johnathan Hall636314
Elijah Elliss183200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Bennee624125
Johnathan Hall636314
Elijah Reed (Tr)442104

TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)20433162%28292578.5
John Hoyet Chance010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne11062355.751
Jon Denman5017833.616
Jaden Craig (Tr)487831.626
Major Everhart5701.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer54730713.569
Jeremy Scott (Tr)24417417.474
Jeremy Payne2220729.444
Ed Small16186211.641

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson963003
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
Vernon Glover411006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koron Hayward (Tr)194321
Kylin Jackson265321
Ansel Din-Mbuh247220
Zachary Chapman283240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover411006
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014