TCU at Texas Tech Game Matchup

TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Thursday, November 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -2.5 (59.5) (-142) Open: -3.0 | 59.5
Texas Tech 35 - TCU: 28 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU coming off BYE
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas Tech -0 (SP+ TCU -4)
Projected Score: TCU: 32 - TTU: 32 (65)
TTU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 268 miles

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5
TTU	.21	42%	37.6	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	34.8	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	15	33.5	28.6	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3
TTU Defense	13	34.8	35.7	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	15	24.6	30	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17
TTU Offense	13	37.6	43.7	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50 Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5 Texas Tech: 3.7

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 32
Texas Tech 32

Projected Total Points: 65

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	TCU	35	Texas Tech	34	TCU	TCU -5.0	Texas Tech	66.0	Over
2023	11/02	Texas Tech	35	TCU	28	Texas Tech	Texas Tech -2.5	Texas Tech	59.5	Over
2022	11/05	TCU	34	Texas Tech	24	TCU	TCU -8.5	TCU	69.0	Under
2021	10/09	Texas Tech	31	TCU	52	TCU	TCU -2.5	TCU	60.0	Over
2020	11/07	TCU	34	Texas Tech	18	TCU	TCU -9.5	TCU	60.0	Under
2019	11/16	Texas Tech	31	TCU	33	TCU	TCU -3.5	Texas Tech	53.0	Over
2018	10/11	TCU	14	Texas Tech	17	Texas Tech	TCU -7.5	Texas Tech	57.5	Under
2017	11/18	Texas Tech	3	TCU	27	TCU	TCU -6.5	TCU	53.5	Under
2016	10/29	TCU	24	Texas Tech	27	Texas Tech	TCU -8.5	Texas Tech	87.0	Under
2015	09/26	Texas Tech	52	TCU	55	TCU	TCU -9.5	Texas Tech	83.5	Over
2014	10/25	TCU	82	Texas Tech	27	TCU	TCU -20	TCU	0
2013	09/12	Texas Tech	20	TCU	10	Texas Tech	TCU -6	Texas Tech	0
2012	10/20	TCU	53	Texas Tech	56	Texas Tech
2006	09/16	TCU	12	Texas Tech	3	TCU
2004	09/18	Texas Tech	70	TCU	35	Texas Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	6	7	5 Overs
TCU	9	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	7 - 5	4 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	5 - 7	2 - 3	3 - 4

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.50 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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TCU Ratings Matchup Texas Tech

Power #44

#49

Off #32

#81

Def #97

#46

Talent #67

#49

SP+ #40

#52

SP+ Off #27

#53

SP+ Def #57

#61

Rematch from Week 10
Texas Tech -2.5 (59.5)
Texas Tech won vs TCU this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech last year (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2022 (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 62° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | TTU
Depth Chart: TCU | TTU
Rosters: TCU | TTU

(#49) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70

Team Profile

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TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Savion Williams	3	3	100%	22	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Chandler Morris	60	242	4	4.0	49
Trey Sanders (Tr)	13	46	0	3.5	12
Corey Wren	10	24	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech (Tr)	62	1034	9	16.7	52
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75
Blake Nowell	9	179	1	19.9	46

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Brooks	5	3	3	1	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Damonic Williams	36	5	1	2	0
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	0	9
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Tahj Brooks	2	3	67%	38	0	0	12.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Tyler King	13	100	2	7.7	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
Myles Price	38	466	3	12.3	41
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36
Loic Fouonji	12	187	0	15.6	40

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jesiah Pierre	28	3	0	0	1
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	0	0	3
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Joseph Plunk	3	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Watts	20	1	4
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	3
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	3