TCU at Texas - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas -7.5 (65.0)
TCU 17 - Texas: 10 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (13 - 2) (10 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ TCU -1)
Projected Score: TCU: 24 - TEX: 30 (54)
TEX Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 169 miles

Longhorns (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	TCU at Colorado	-13.5	59.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	TCU vs Tarleton State	-40.0	66.5	W 59 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	TCU at SMU	-2.5	72.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	TCU vs Oklahoma	+5.0	69.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	TCU at Kansas	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	69.5	W 43 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	TCU vs Kansas State	-3.5	54.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/29	TCU at West Virginia	-7.0	70.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	TCU vs Texas Tech	-8.5	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	TCU at Texas	+7.5	65.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	TCU at Baylor	-2.0	58.0	W 29 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	TCU vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	W 62 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	TCU vs Kansas State	-1.0	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/31	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Mon 1/9	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Texas's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas vs UL Monroe	-37.0	64.5	W 52 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas vs Alabama	+21.0	64.0	L 19 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Texas vs UTSA	-13.0	57.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Texas at Texas Tech	-7.0	60.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/1	Texas vs West Virginia	-7.5	61.0	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Texas vs Oklahoma	-7.5	65.0	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Texas vs Iowa State	-15.5	48.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Texas at Oklahoma State	-6.5	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Texas at Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Texas vs TCU	-7.5	65.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas at Kansas	-9.0	63.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Texas vs Baylor	-10.0	55.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	67.0	L 20 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	.32	45%	30.7	45%	3.2	194	44%	237	3.4	.34	48%	25.3	50%	46%	4.72	61.4	1.3	1.1
TEX	.28	45%	30.5	46%	3.44	199	43%	225	4.44	.28	46%	20.3	46%	46%	4.32	48.3	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	12	30.7	25.5	44.6%	3.4	1.3	21	431	194	237	4.9	57%	42%	45%	44%	19%	.32
TEX Defense	12	20.3	17	46.1%	4.32	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	46%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	12	25.3	26.2	48.1%	4.72	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.34
TEX Offense	12	30.5	38.8	44.6%	4.44	1.4	20	425	199	225	5.2	52%	48%	46%	43%	16%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	12	29:28	21	46%	39%	7.1	61.4	1.3	1.1	4.1	1.3	2	27.3
Texas	12	28:04	20.3	44%	45%	5.8	48.3	1.4	1.3	6	1.7	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	12	57%	45%	39.4	194.2	4.9	21	.24	3.2	63%	14%	1.12
TEX Defense	12	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.16	67%	11%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	12	55%	50%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.53	84%	9%	1.09
TEX Offense	12	52%	46%	38.1	199.3	5.2	25	.23	3.44	80%	11%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	12	42%	44%	16.7	25.8	236.5	9.2	14.2	19	6	.46	1.9	33%	38%	.56	5%	2.1
TEX Defense	12	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.35	1.5	29%	34%	.39	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	12	44%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	27%	38%	.45	6%	2
TEX Offense	12	48%	43%	18.1	28.8	225.4	7.8	12.5	29	10	.36	1.7	30%	31%	.33	5%	2

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2022 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: Texas: 14.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 24.3 Texas: 23.1

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 14.05 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #20
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 30
TCU 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	TCU	26	Texas	29	Texas -13.0	TCU	56.0	Under
2022	11/12	Texas	10	TCU	17	Texas -7.5	TCU	65.0	Under
2021	10/02	TCU	27	Texas	32	Texas -3.5	Texas	65.5	Under
2020	10/03	Texas	31	TCU	33	Texas -10.5	TCU	61.5	Over
2019	10/26	TCU	37	Texas	27	TCU -1.5	TCU	57.0	Over
2018	09/22	Texas	31	TCU	16	TCU -3	Texas	50.0	Under
2017	11/04	TCU	24	Texas	7	TCU -7.5	TCU	45.0	Under
2016	11/25	Texas	9	TCU	31	Texas -3	TCU	60.5	Under
2015	10/03	TCU	50	Texas	7	TCU -18.5	TCU	73.0	Under
2014	11/27	Texas	10	TCU	48	TCU -7.5	TCU	0
2013	10/26	TCU	7	Texas	30	TCU -3.5	Texas	0
2012	11/22	Texas	13	TCU	20
2007	09/08	Texas	34	TCU	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	5	3	2 Overs
TCU	8	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#46	#20
OffenseOff	#27	#32
DefenseDef	#74	#27
Spec TeamsST	#105	#18
TalentTal	#32	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

TCU Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#30	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#44

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#27	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#1	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#28

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#30	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Texas -7.5 (65.0)
TCU won at Texas this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)

TCU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD