Cincinnati at TCU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: TCU -9.5   (SP+ TCU -11)
Projected Score: CIN: 23 - TCU: 32 (54)
TCU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
CIN Travel: 844 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
 
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+7.050.5
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-20.5
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-27.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas+2
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State+4
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-8
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-2.5
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor+2.5
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-9
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU+3.5
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-2.059.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)25.244% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)24.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.744.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21
TCU Defense1324.623.341.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.342.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
TCU Offense1333.536.747.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (67)35.31855.219 (73).15 (59)3.03 (69)71% (84)11% (93)1.07 (34)
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1251% (75)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (51)0.95 (49)
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (121)30% (41)36% (20).5 (10)5% (33)2.1 (67)
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (63)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (71)1.7 (108)31% (93)31% (79).34 (86)5% (87)2 (66)
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 8.79 #41
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.44 #43
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 9.65 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 782.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 768.25
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 8.79   TCU: 13.94

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.3   TCU: 11.1




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 13.94 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 768.25
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 32
Cincinnati 23

Projected Total Points: 54
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Cincinnati13TCU20TCUTCU -2.5TCU58.5Under
200410/30Cincinnati21TCU10Cincinnati
200311/15TCU43Cincinnati10TCU
200209/02Cincinnati36TCU29Cincinnati
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU210 Overs
Cincinnati201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#41) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.79 #41
Offense Rating: 18.44 #43
Defense Rating: 9.65 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #49
Talent Rating: 782.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Cincinnati Notes
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
(5/31) Pass rush? DE has 1 good portal, lots of ?
(5/31) LB & DB should be strong, DB portals good
(5/31) RB bad LY, Walker (Wisc) a big add, Pryor exp'd
(5/31) WR meh LY, 3 portals should improve things
(5/31) OL 2/5 back. OT's upgrade w/ 2 portal adds
(5/31) Def good LY, return a lot. 2 DE/4 DB portals
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/21) QB Sorsby improved. Serviceable
(3/21) HC Satt. hasn't inspired much since App St.
Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     TCU
Power #41
#30
Off #43
#21
Def #34
#42
Talent #49
#29
SP+ #65
#29
SP+ Off #84
#19
SP+ Def #49
#37

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Cincinnati last year (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | TCU
Depth Chart: CIN | TCU
Rosters: CIN | TCU
(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.94 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)190864104.555
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Caleb Goodie (Tr)587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)499431019.293
Joe Royer51532310.438
Caleb Goodie (Tr)21436420.885
Cyrus Allen (Tr)18269114.973

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Jake Golday577102
Tayden Barnes (Tr)572016
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Jaylon White-McClain (Tr)424222
Jake Golday577102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom (Tr)3630010
Tayden Barnes (Tr)572016
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003