Cincinnati at TCU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (40 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: TCU -7.5   (SP+ TCU -5)

Projected Score: CIN: 25 - TCU: 33 (58)
TCU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 844 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 8) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+6.552.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-21.546.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-48.555.5W 70 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas-0.5
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-1.5
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-9.5
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-16
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor-4
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-7
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU-3
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-7.064.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State-0.5
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-17
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-9
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-8.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-6
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU-2.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-10.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#16 (.44)56% (13)40.356% (16)3.77 (11)18457% (11)2555.56 (10)#63 (.12)45% (106)13.341% (79)48% (116)2.86 (46)45.710.7
TCU#7 (.5)57% (9)4554% (24)3.3 (35)19359% (6)3235.08 (29)#102 (.2)42% (83)17.540% (72)46% (104)3.8 (81)5211.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense340.340.356.2%5.561204381842556.652%47%56%57%13%.44
TCU Defense217.52142.2%3.81.5 - - - - - 58%42%40%46%19%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense313.313.344.9%2.860.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%48%15%.12
TCU Offense2454257%5.081275161933236.143%57%54%59%8%.5

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati321:2120.333%100%545.710.76.73031.2
TCU227:4326.570%100%4.55211.57.53125.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense352% (58)56% (16)28183.76.66 (49).32 (28)3.77 (11)75% (52)8% (50)0.94 (74)
TCU Defense258% (120)40% (72) - - - - .13 (98)3.13 (106)100% (127)15% (15)0.93 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense344% (34)41% (79) - - - - -.06 (31)2.63 (52)69% (66)12% (41)0.77 (29)
TCU Offense243% (108)54% (24)31.51936.14 (79).2 (48)3.3 (35)100% (1)5% (8)0.84 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense347% (81)57% (11)1724254.710.61510 (7)1 (23).65 (10)1.5 (74)22% (10)43% (20).78 (11)6% (84)2.2 (46)
TCU Defense242% (19)46% (104) - - - - - - 1 (87).29 (97)2.2 (135)30% (97)48% (133)1.17 (136)3% (120)2.8 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense356% (109)48% (116) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (89)1.2 (10)31% (87)38% (122).33 (86)3% (123)1.5 (20)
TCU Offense257% (25)59% (6)2634.5322.59.412.46 (34)2 (60).72 (7)1.7 (36)27% (37)52% (3)1.12 (1)3% (26)2.5 (14)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 18.62 #33
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 18.62   TCU: 21.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 8.9   TCU: 14.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 21.01 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
Cincinnati 25


Total Points: 58

TCU Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Cincinnati13TCU20TCUTCU -2.5TCU58.5Under
200410/30Cincinnati21TCU10Cincinnati
200311/15TCU43Cincinnati10TCU
200209/02Cincinnati36TCU29Cincinnati
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU210 Overs
Cincinnati201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#33) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 18.62 #33
Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34
Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.56 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 57%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Cincinnati has lost 8 straight
Cincinnati has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Notes
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
(5/31) Pass rush? DE has 1 good portal, lots of ?
(5/31) LB & DB should be strong, DB portals good
(5/31) RB bad LY, Walker (Wisc) a big add, Pryor exp'd
(5/31) WR meh LY, 3 portals should improve things
(5/31) OL 2/5 back. OT's upgrade w/ 2 portal adds
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati offense is efficent (#13)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati offense is good in red zone (#10)
Cincinnati Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Cincinnati defense does not give up big plays (#14)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Cincinnati has a bad defense (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTCUCIN
OverallOver#20#6
OffenseOff#9#6
DefenseDef#35#12
Special TeamsST#63#40
PassingPass#6#4
RushingRush#31#8
Run BlockRBLK#43#12
Pass BlockPBLK#19#25
Route RunningWR Rt#12#21
TacklingTkl#19#3
Run DefenseR Def#19#4
Pass Rush DefPRush#52#88
Coverage DefCov#52#19

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Cincinnati last year (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | TCU
Depth Chart: CIN | TCU
Rosters: CIN | TCU
(#23) TCU Info
Power Rating: 21.01 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

TCU has lost 9 straight
TCU has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.

TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated
TCU is Undefeated at Home

TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)

TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby456470%6558110.2
Brady Lichtenberg4667%56109.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendan Sorsby2217548.029
Tawee Walker (Tr)2415116.322
Evan Pryor1710005.920
Manny Covey54408.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)9172119.139
Caleb Goodie (Tr)8160120.055
Cyrus Allen (Tr)12145312.144
Joe Royer8138217.373

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday282200
Trevon Gola-Callard171001
Jonathan Thompson163110
Jiquan Sanks141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday282200
Robert Jackson52200
Jack Dingle82220
Brian Simms III92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Wilson81002
Trevon Gola-Callard171001
Christian Harrison (Tr)131001

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover486376%621619.9
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)2115617.475
Nate Palmer138806.826
Jeremy Payne115705.229
Trent Battle54829.628
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)14225216.133
Joseph Manjack6138023.051
Eric McAlister566013.233
D'Andre Rogers65118.514

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson141000
Namdi Obiazor121110
Devean Deal101010
Kaleb Elarms-Orr100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)63200
Namdi Obiazor121110
Jonathan Bax52100
Zachary Chapman21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.31002
Austin Jordan20001
Gil Jackson10001