Houston Cougars at TCU Horned Frogs
Friday, October 4th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
TCU -16.5 (52.0) (-800) Open: -17.0
Houston 30 - TCU: 19 (Big 12)
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
HOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -21 (SP+ TCU -19)
Projected Score: HOU: 15 - TCU: 36 (51)
TCU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
HOU Travel: 238 miles
HOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -21 (SP+ TCU -19)
Projected Score: HOU: 15 - TCU: 36 (51)
TCU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
HOU Travel: 238 miles
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Houston's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Houston vs UNLV | -3.0 | 56.0 | L 7 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Houston at Oklahoma | +27.5 | 48.5 | L 12 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Houston vs Rice | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 33 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Houston at Cincinnati | +4.0 | 47.5 | L 0 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Houston vs Iowa State | +16.0 | 43.0 | L 0 - 20 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/4 | Houston at TCU | +16.5 | 52.0 | W 30 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Houston vs Kansas | +4.5 | 45.5 | L 14 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Houston vs Utah | +4.5 | 36.0 | W 17 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Houston vs Kansas State | +12.5 | 46.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Houston at Arizona | +1.0 | 46.5 | L 3 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Houston vs Baylor | +7.0 | 51.0 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Houston at BYU | +9.5 | 39.5 | L 18 - 30 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| TCU's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | TCU at Stanford | -8.0 | 58.5 | W 34 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | TCU vs Long Island University | -45.5 | 56.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | TCU vs UCF | -1.5 | 61.5 | L 34 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | TCU at SMU | -1.0 | 58.5 | L 42 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | TCU vs Kansas | +1.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/4 | TCU vs Houston | -16.5 | 52.0 | L 19 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | TCU at Utah | +3.0 | 52.0 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | TCU vs Texas Tech | -5.0 | 66.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | TCU at Baylor | +2.5 | 64.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | TCU vs Oklahoma State | -10.5 | 68.5 | W 38 - 13 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | TCU vs Arizona | -10.5 | 60.0 | W 49 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | TCU at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | TCU vs Louisiana | -9.5 | 61.0 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #133 (-) | 35% (129) | 14 | 35% (130) | 2.52 (129) | 137 | 37% (115) | 153 | 2.57 (134) | #51 (.14) | 40% (41) | 22.9 | 40% (41) | 39% (49) | 3.52 (41) | 51.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| TCU | #18 (.3) | 47% (20) | 33.5 | 45% (53) | 2.95 (85) | 106 | 49% (9) | 293 | 4.46 (20) | #82 (.19) | 42% (67) | 24.6 | 46% (102) | 36% (18) | 3.82 (72) | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #133 (-) | 35% (129) | 35% (130) | 2.52 (129) | 137 | 37% (115) | 153 | 2.57 (134) | #51 (.14) | 40% (41) | 40% (41) | 39% (49) | 3.52 (41) | 51.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | ||
| TCU | #18 (.3) | 47% (20) | 45% (53) | 2.95 (85) | 106 | 49% (9) | 293 | 4.46 (20) | #82 (.19) | 42% (67) | 46% (102) | 36% (18) | 3.82 (72) | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 12 | 14 | 12.6 | 35.3% | 2.57 | 2.3 | 15 | 289 | 137 | 153 | 3.9 | 57% | 42% | 35% | 37% | 21% | - |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 24.6 | 23.3 | 41.5% | 3.82 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 46% | 36% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 12 | 22.9 | 25.2 | 39.6% | 3.52 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 40% | 39% | 18% | .14 |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 33.5 | 36.7 | 47.1% | 4.46 | 1.6 | 21 | 400 | 106 | 293 | 3.9 | 42% | 58% | 45% | 49% | 13% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 12 | 30:10 | 15.1 | 28% | 38% | 5.5 | 51.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 27.7 |
| TCU | 13 | 26:11 | 21 | 44% | 80% | 5.2 | 49.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 31.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 12 | 57% (22) | 35% (130) | 35.5 | 136.6 | 3.9 | 9 (125) | (122) | 2.52 (129) | 64% (119) | 16% (132) | 1.01 (49) |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 53% (95) | 46% (102) | - | - | - | - | .22 (118) | 3.26 (104) | 89% (134) | 9% (105) | 1.02 (87) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 12 | 51% (76) | 40% (41) | - | - | - | - | .06 (34) | 2.8 (35) | 69% (41) | 12% (27) | 1 (75) |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 42% (119) | 45% (53) | 27.6 | 106.4 | 3.9 | 26 (36) | .08 (95) | 2.95 (85) | 73% (70) | 8% (36) | 0.94 (85) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 12 | 42% (114) | 37% (115) | 15.2 | 23.3 | 152.7 | 6.5 | 10.1 | 9 (128) | 17 (127) | .02 (131) | 1.4 (122) | 35% (120) | 20% (133) | -.04 (134) | 5% (45) | 1.7 (130) |
| TCU Defense | 13 | 47% (41) | 36% (18) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .18 (40) | 1.5 (57) | 34% (42) | 27% (19) | .19 (22) | 6% (81) | 1.8 (26) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 12 | 49% (62) | 39% (49) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .23 (68) | 1.7 (95) | 33% (54) | 32% (96) | .32 (79) | 6% (71) | 2 (55) |
| TCU Offense | 13 | 58% (19) | 49% (9) | 23.5 | 34.9 | 293.2 | 8.4 | 12.5 | 25 (31) | 10 (63) | .47 (5) | 1.6 (75) | 31% (57) | 33% (47) | .4 (39) | 5% (38) | 2.1 (55) |
Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Houston's Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -5.97 TCU: 14.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.2 TCU: 10.8
Houston: -5.97 TCU: 14.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.2 TCU: 10.8
TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 36
Houston 15
Total Points: 51
TCU 36
Houston 15
Total Points: 51
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/04 | TCU | 19 | Houston | 30 | Houston | TCU -16.5 | Houston | 52.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/16 | Houston | 13 | TCU | 36 | TCU | TCU -7.5 | TCU | 64.0 | Under |
| 2007 | 12/28 | Houston | 13 | TCU | 20 | TCU | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | TCU | 34 | Houston | 27 | TCU | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Houston | 55 | TCU | 62 | TCU | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | TCU | 34 | Houston | 17 | TCU | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Houston | 17 | TCU | 34 | TCU |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 6 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Houston | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 5 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 2 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#86) Houston Info
Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has lost 2 straight
Houston has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome
Houston Highlights
Houston Front 7 is disruptive (#69)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston has a really bad Offense
Houston has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Houston Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Houston throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston offense is not Explosive (#16)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston pass game is really bad (#98)
Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has lost 2 straight
Houston has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome
Houston Highlights
Houston Front 7 is disruptive (#69)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston has a really bad Offense
Houston has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Houston Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Houston throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston offense is not Explosive (#16)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston pass game is really bad (#98)
Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TCU | HOU |
| OverallOver | #25 | #90 |
| OffenseOff | #27 | #104 |
| DefenseDef | #40 | #79 |
| Special TeamsST | #13 | #89 |
| PassingPass | #15 | #103 |
| RushingRush | #68 | #100 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #62 | #78 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #48 | #42 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #99 |
| TacklingTkl | #20 | #64 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #53 | #59 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #104 | #111 |
| Coverage DefCov | #12 | #75 |
Rematch from Week 6
TCU -16.5 (52.0)
Houston won at TCU this year (30-19)
Previous Matchups
Houston beat TCU last year (30-19)
TCU beat Houston in 2023 (36-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: HOU | TCU
Depth Chart: HOU | TCU
Rosters: HOU | TCU
(#21) TCU Info
Power Rating: 14.1 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
TCU has won 1 straight
TCU has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
TCU Highlights
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU has a good pass defense (#104)
TCU Deficiencies
TCU has a bad TO Margin (#28)
TCU Fumbles a Lot (#1)
TCU Can Not Run the Ball (#97)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)
Power Rating: 14.1 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
TCU has won 1 straight
TCU has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
TCU Highlights
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU has a good pass defense (#104)
TCU Deficiencies
TCU has a bad TO Margin (#28)
TCU Fumbles a Lot (#1)
TCU Can Not Run the Ball (#97)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Smith | 87 | 133 | 65% | 867 | 4 | 8 | 6.5 |
| Zeon Chriss (Tr) | 83 | 130 | 64% | 824 | 4 | 8 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Re'Shaun Sanford II | 94 | 444 | 1 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Zeon Chriss (Tr) | 113 | 381 | 4 | 3.4 | 71 |
| Stacy Sneed | 60 | 308 | 1 | 5.1 | 65 |
| J'Marion Burnette | 43 | 182 | 0 | 4.2 | 54 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Johnson Jr. | 32 | 402 | 2 | 12.6 | 44 |
| Joseph Manjack | 22 | 351 | 3 | 16.0 | 57 |
| Mekhi Mews (Tr) | 29 | 253 | 1 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Maliq Carr (Tr) | 19 | 186 | 1 | 9.8 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Batton (Tr) | 94 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| A.J. Haulcy | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jamal Morris | 63 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kentrell Webb (Tr) | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Cooper Jr. | 46 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Michael Batton (Tr) | 94 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Brandon Mack | 39 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Holmes Jr. | 35 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Haulcy | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jeremiah Wilson (Tr) | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ajani Carter | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hoover | 313 | 471 | 67% | 3949 | 27 | 11 | 8.4 |
| Ken Seals (Tr) | 10 | 13 | 77% | 97 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cook | 119 | 460 | 9 | 3.9 | 19 |
| Savion Williams | 51 | 322 | 6 | 6.3 | 35 |
| Jeremy Payne | 54 | 239 | 3 | 4.4 | 32 |
| Trent Battle | 44 | 186 | 2 | 4.2 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bech | 62 | 1034 | 9 | 16.7 | 52 |
| Eric McAlister (Tr) | 39 | 762 | 5 | 19.5 | 84 |
| John Paul Richardson | 57 | 733 | 2 | 12.9 | 38 |
| Savion Williams | 60 | 611 | 6 | 10.2 | 75 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Hodges | 89 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Namdi Obiazor | 81 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jamel Johnson | 72 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bud Clark | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devean Deal (Tr) | 46 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Cooper McDonald (Tr) | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr) | 38 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Zachary Chapman | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamareon James (Tr) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Abraham Camara | 55 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |