TCU at Arizona - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -2.5 (SP+ ARIZ -4)
Projected Score: TCU: 25 - ARIZ: 27 (52)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 792 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	TCU vs North Carolina	-11.5
Sat 9/12	TCU vs Grambling	-31.5
Sat 9/19	TCU vs Arkansas State	-21.5
Sat 9/26	TCU at UCF	-8
Sat 10/3	TCU vs BYU	+4.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	TCU at Baylor	-3.5
Sat 10/24	TCU vs West Virginia	-13
Sat 10/31	TCU vs Kansas	-9
Sat 11/7	TCU at Arizona	+2.5
Sat 11/14	TCU vs Kansas State	-4.5
Sat 11/21	TCU vs Utah	+6
Sat 11/28	TCU at Texas Tech	+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Arizona's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-32
Sat 9/12	Arizona at BYU	+9.5
Sat 9/19	Arizona vs Northern Illinois	-28
Sat 9/26	Arizona at Washington State	-6.5
Sat 10/3	Arizona vs Cincinnati	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona at West Virginia	-8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Arizona vs Iowa State	-6.5
Sat 10/31	Arizona at Texas Tech	+21
Sat 11/7	Arizona vs TCU	-2.5
Sat 11/14	Arizona vs Utah	+6
Sat 11/21	Arizona at Kansas State	+0.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona vs Arizona State	-7

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#36 (.21)	44% (48)	30.7	43% (79)	2.7 (113)	132	47% (24)	290	4.14 (34)	#59 (.15)	40% (53)	25.3	38% (23)	43% (86)	3.49 (54)	62	1.5	1.6
ARIZ	#58 (.19)	43% (63)	31.5	42% (87)	3.1 (41)	153	43% (52)	255	3.61 (79)	#37 (.1)	39% (33)	19.3	45% (97)	34% (10)	3.38 (44)	52.2	1	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	13	30.7	25.5	44.3%	4.14	1.5	22	422	132	290	4	45%	53%	43%	47%	15%	.21
ARIZ Defense	13	19.3	15.6	39%	3.38	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	45%	34%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	13	25.3	26.2	40.3%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	38%	43%	15%	.15
ARIZ Offense	13	31.5	34.9	42.6%	3.61	1	22	408	153	255	4.3	46%	54%	42%	43%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	13	28:51	22.2	47%	64%	6.8	62	1.5	1.6	5.2	1.8	1	30
Arizona	13	30:57	22.3	41%	63%	5.6	52.2	1	2.4	6.2	1.6	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	13	45% (104)	43% (79)	33.3	131.8	4	20 (60)	.04 (109)	2.7 (113)	77% (35)	9% (71)	0.83 (121)
ARIZ Defense	13	51% (85)	45% (97)	-	-	-	-	.11 (73)	2.85 (60)	72% (79)	11% (34)	0.9 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	13	48% (51)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	.06 (44)	2.84 (58)	68% (48)	9% (84)	0.88 (26)
ARIZ Offense	13	46% (101)	42% (87)	35.4	152.7	4.3	20 (88)	.14 (53)	3.1 (41)	74% (54)	9% (53)	1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	13	53% (34)	47% (24)	23.5	35.4	290.1	8.2	12.3	30 (3)	15 (108)	.41 (20)	1.6 (35)	33% (89)	34% (23)	.45 (20)	6% (72)	2.1 (26)
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (35)	34% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	22 (12)	.17 (35)	1.6 (101)	32% (52)	26% (21)	.22 (39)	9% (2)	2.1 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	13	50% (85)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (22)	.3 (92)	1.7 (111)	32% (66)	32% (94)	.35 (96)	6% (75)	2.1 (102)
ARIZ Offense	13	54% (28)	43% (52)	21.6	34.4	255.2	7.4	11.8	29 (14)	8 (88)	.24 (73)	1.5 (93)	32% (70)	31% (59)	.38 (40)	6% (63)	2.1 (51)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8.04 #32
TCU's Offense Rating: 13.74 #45
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.70 #30
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #31
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 8.04 Arizona: 10.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 8.3 Arizona: 12.0

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.885 #43
Arizona's Offense Rating: 14.59 #40
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.82 #54
2026 Talent Rating: 778.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 27
TCU 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	TCU	49	Arizona	28	TCU -10.5	TCU	60.0	Over
2003	09/27	Arizona	10	TCU	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	0	0	1 Overs
TCU	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#32) TCU at (#43) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#32	#43
SP+SP+	#37	#28
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#61
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#65

TCU Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

TCU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#48	#33
ExplosiveExp	#46	#41
PPAPPA	#36	#37
PowerPwr	#45	#54
SP+SP+	#30	#25
Pts POPPO	#34	#44
HavocHav	#64	#5

TCU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#79	#97
Run ExplRExp	#121	#35
PPAExp	#109	#73
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#60
Stuff RateStuff	#114	#81
TackleTak	-	NR

TCU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#10
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#101
PPAExp	#20	#35
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#71	#34
DB HavocDB	#72	#2

Arizona on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	TCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#63	#53
ExplosiveExp	#44	#92
PPAPPA	#58	#59
PowerPwr	#40	#30
SP+SP+	#29	#50
Pts POPPO	#79	#54
HavocHav	#57	#86

Arizona Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#23
Run ExplRExp	#43	#26
PPAExp	#53	#44
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#95
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#86
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#111
PPAExp	#73	#92
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#53	#84
DB HavocDB	#63	#75

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Arizona in 2024 (49-28)

TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)	204	331	62%	2829	25	7	8.5
John Hoyet Chance	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremy Payne	110	623	5	5.7	51
Jon Denman	50	178	3	3.6	16
Jaden Craig (Tr)	48	78	3	1.6	26
Major Everhart	5	7	0	1.4	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Dwyer	54	730	7	13.5	69
Jeremy Scott (Tr)	24	417	4	17.4	74
Jeremy Payne	22	207	2	9.4	44
Ed Small	16	186	2	11.6	41

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	96	3	0	3
Jacob Fields (Tr)	90	3	1	5
Kalen Carroll (Tr)	49	2	1	4
Vernon Glover	41	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koron Hayward (Tr)	19	4	3	2	1
Kylin Jackson	26	5	3	2	1
Ansel Din-Mbuh	24	7	2	2	0
Zachary Chapman	28	3	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Vernon Glover	41	1	0	6
Jacob Fields (Tr)	90	3	1	5
Kalen Carroll (Tr)	49	2	1	4

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	275	429	64%	3228	29	6	7.5
Mason Bray	1	2	50%	22	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwan Roberts (Tr)	90	512	4	5.7	54
Kedrick Reescano	84	396	9	4.7	50
Quincy Craig	65	364	2	5.6	54
Noah Fifita	115	222	3	1.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Spivey	23	381	7	16.6	70
Chris Hunter	27	372	2	13.8	35
Gio Richardson	21	299	2	14.2	60
Rodney Gallagher	28	243	0	8.7	26

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Lee Molette III (Tr)	65	3	0	0	3
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrese Boss (Tr)	36	0	0	0	5
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4