TCU at Iowa State Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -6.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Iowa State 27 - TCU: 14  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU is playing their 6th straight game
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -3.5   (SP+ ISU -1)

Projected Score: TCU: 25 - ISU: 29 (56)
TCU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TCU Travel: 675 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.344%33.547%3.1519340%2624.28.1741%24.645%38%4.3649.61.11.5
ISU.1239%31.137%2.5710742%2623.51.1140%22.939%41%3.2645.71.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1533.528.643.5%4.281.1214551932625.152%48%47%40%13%.3
ISU Defense1222.918.139.8%3.261.8 - - - - - 53%45%39%41%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1524.63041.3%4.361.5 - - - - - 49%51%45%38%16%.17
ISU Offense1231.134.139.2%3.511.8203691072623.341%58%37%42%15%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1530:252140%52%4.849.61.11.54.72630.6
Iowa State1232:0720.442%56%5.645.71.81.85.31.5027.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1552%47%37.7193.35.137.223.1572%8%1.07
ISU Defense1253%39% - - - - .022.8670%11%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1549%45% - - - - .182.9972%8%0.98
ISU Offense1241%37%32.8107.23.310-.022.5760%10%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1548%40%19.530.3261.78.713.5338.381.930%32%.455%2.4
ISU Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 7.241.431%23%.176%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1551%38% - - - - - - 16.21.832%27%.37%2.3
ISU Offense1258%42%26.139.9261.86.6101915.261.534%32%.315%1.9

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50   Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5   Iowa State: 8.6




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 29
TCU 25


Projected Total Points: 56
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Iowa State27TCU14Iowa StateTCU -6.5Iowa State52.5Under
202211/26TCU62Iowa State14TCUTCU -9.5TCU46.0Over
202111/26Iowa State48TCU14Iowa StateIowa State -16Iowa State61.5Over
202009/26TCU34Iowa State37Iowa StateIowa State -4.5TCU43.5Over
201910/05Iowa State49TCU24Iowa StateIowa State -3Iowa State45.0Over
201809/29TCU17Iowa State14TCUTCU -11Iowa State44.5Under
201710/28Iowa State14TCU7Iowa StateTCU -7Iowa State48.5Under
201609/17TCU41Iowa State20TCUTCU -23.5Iowa State60.5Over
201510/17Iowa State21TCU45TCUTCU -18TCU68.0Under
201412/06TCU55Iowa State3TCUTCU -33TCU0
201311/09Iowa State17TCU21TCUTCU -8Iowa State0
201210/06TCU23Iowa State37Iowa State
200512/31Iowa State24TCU27TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State675 Overs
TCU744 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 58 - 34 - 24 - 1
Road Teams5 - 83 - 81 - 42 - 4

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.50 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile






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TCU     Ratings Matchup     Iowa State
Power #44
#39
Off #32
#87
Def #97
#23
Talent #67
#32
SP+ #40
#34
SP+ Off #27
#70
SP+ Def #57
#18

Rematch from Week 6
TCU 6.5 (52.5)
Iowa State won vs TCU this year (27-14)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat TCU in 2023 (27-14)
TCU beat Iowa State in 2022 (62-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 52°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | ISU
Depth Chart: TCU | ISU
Rosters: TCU | ISU
(#39) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile






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TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris32250963%377431127.4
Savion Williams33100%22107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams5132266.335
Chandler Morris6024244.049
Trey Sanders (Tr)134603.512
Corey Wren102402.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech (Tr)621034916.752
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275
Blake Nowell9179119.946

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Joe Gillespie
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Randon Fontenette728307
Abraham Camara556016
Zach Marcheselli4710100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Brooks53310
Randon Fontenette728307
Damonic Williams365120
Johnny Hodges895120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Randon Fontenette728307
Abraham Camara556016

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylin Noel020%0000.0
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Sanders147106497.275
Cartevious Norton12952574.162
Jaylin Noel93804.212
Stevo Klotz222011.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Eli Sanders1513408.931
Stevo Klotz889111.128

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Blake Thompson603003
Joey Petersen466290
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jefferson Adam267500
J.R. Singleton325471
Joey Petersen466290
Malik Verdon754115
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115
Myles Norwood382005