TCU at Texas Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
TCU -2.5 (60.0)
TCU 52 - Texas Tech: 31  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ TTU -10)
Projected Score: TCU: 19 - TTU: 35 (54)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 268 miles
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas Tech vs Houston+2.563.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Texas Tech vs Stephen F. Austin-31.551.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 9/18 Texas Tech vs Florida International-20.554.0W 54 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 Texas Tech at Texas+9.063.0L 35 - 70ON
Sat 10/2 Texas Tech at West Virginia+7.555.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 Texas Tech vs TCU+2.560.0L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Texas Tech at Kansas-18.567.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 10/23 Texas Tech vs Kansas State+1.060.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 10/30 Texas Tech at Oklahoma+18.567.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Texas Tech vs Iowa State+13.055.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/20 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State+10.055.0L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/27 Texas Tech at Baylor+14.051.5L 24 - 27UY
Tue 12/28 Texas Tech vs Mississippi State+10.058.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1541%30.746%2.9521535%1932.91.1132%25.331%33%3.262.81.41.2
TTU.1543%39.446%2.8816440%2653.08.1944%11.345%43%4.2357.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1030.725.540.9%2.911.4194082151935.356%44%46%35%17%.15
TTU Defense1011.38.744.1%4.231 - - - - - 52%48%45%43%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1025.326.232.4%3.21.2 - - - - - 50%50%31%33%21%.11
TTU Offense1039.447.942.5%3.081.8224291642654.945%55%46%40%17%.15

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1030:0519.236%57%7.662.81.41.27.72.3329.1
Texas Tech1027:0421.537%55%6.657.41.815.81.7132.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1056%46%41215.15.323.192.9577%12%1.09
TTU Defense1052%45% - - - - .12.9871%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1050%31% - - - - -.012.3865%13%1.15
TTU Offense1045%46%33.7163.74.917.152.8869%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1044%35%16.327.2193.37.111.9105.111.631%29%.235%2
TTU Defense1048%43% - - - - - - 5.291.529%31%.316%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1050%33% - - - - - - 8.231.938%21%.188%2.3
TTU Offense1055%40%25.739.5264.96.710.31811.171.432%31%.238%1.8

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Texas Tech: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6   Texas Tech: 9.8




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #28
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 35
TCU 19

Projected Total Points: 54
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26TCU35Texas Tech34TCU -5.0Texas Tech66.0Over
202311/02Texas Tech35TCU28Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Over
202211/05TCU34Texas Tech24TCU -8.5TCU69.0Under
202110/09Texas Tech31TCU52TCU -2.5TCU60.0Over
202011/07TCU34Texas Tech18TCU -9.5TCU60.0Under
201911/16Texas Tech31TCU33TCU -3.5Texas Tech53.0Over
201810/11TCU14Texas Tech17TCU -7.5Texas Tech57.5Under
201711/18Texas Tech3TCU27TCU -6.5TCU53.5Under
201610/29TCU24Texas Tech27TCU -8.5Texas Tech87.0Under
201509/26Texas Tech52TCU55TCU -9.5Texas Tech83.5Over
201410/25TCU82Texas Tech27TCU -20TCU0
201309/12Texas Tech20TCU10TCU -6Texas Tech0
201210/20TCU53Texas Tech56
200609/16TCU12Texas Tech3
200409/18Texas Tech70TCU35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech675 Overs
TCU955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) TCU at (#) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #40
Perf GradeGrade #95 #74
OffenseOff #41 #56
DefenseDef #126 #91
Spec TeamsST #115 #86
TalentTal #35 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #91
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #58 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #38 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCatTTU OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #68 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatTTU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #30 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
TCU 2.5 (60.0)
TCU won at Texas Tech this year (52-31)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2024 (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)

  
TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TTU's OC Sonny Cumbie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Keith Patterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD