TCU at West Virginia Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Field at Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: TCU -9   (SP+ TCU -10)
Projected Score: TCU: 35 - WVU: 26 (60)
TCU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TCU Travel: 1081 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina+1.557.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-23
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-1.5
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+6.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+8
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+1.5
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+9
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+3.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado+2
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+10

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)29.244% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)31.941% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1333.528.647.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3
WVU Defense1331.931.344.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1324.63041.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
WVU Offense1329.227.642.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.78 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.78   West Virginia: 2.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.1   West Virginia: 1.0




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 2.225 #69
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 15.73 #57
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 17.28 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #57
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 35
West Virginia 26

Projected Total Points: 60
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30TCU21West Virginia24West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia52.0Under
202210/29West Virginia31TCU41TCUTCU -7TCU70.0Over
202110/23TCU17West Virginia29West VirginiaTCU -5West Virginia58.0Under
202011/14West Virginia24TCU6West VirginiaWest Virginia -3West Virginia44.0Under
201911/29TCU17West Virginia20West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia44.0Under
201811/10West Virginia47TCU10West VirginiaWest Virginia -13West Virginia55.5Over
201710/07TCU31West Virginia24TCUTCU -12.5West Virginia67.0Under
201610/22West Virginia34TCU10West VirginiaWest Virginia -5West Virginia65.0Under
201510/29TCU40West Virginia10TCUTCU -14.5TCU72.5Under
201411/01West Virginia30TCU31TCUTCU -4West Virginia0
201311/02TCU27West Virginia30West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia0
201211/03West Virginia38TCU39TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia792 Overs
TCU527 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 75 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams7 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.78 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.
TCU     Ratings Matchup     West Virginia
Power #30
#69
Off #21
#57
Def #41
#84
Talent #31
#43
SP+ #29
#57
SP+ Off #19
#45
SP+ Def #37
#72

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat TCU in 2023 (24-21)
TCU beat West Virginia in 2022 (41-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | WVU
Depth Chart: TCU | WVU
Rosters: TCU | WVU
(#69) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.225 #69
Offense Rating: 15.73 #57
Defense Rating: 17.28 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72
Talent Rating: 822.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


West Virginia Notes
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)
(4/7) QB Henderson big arm, accuracy issues.
(3/22) QB1? Marchiol or J. Henderson (A&M)
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/21) RB White a top B12 back, 2 FCS portal adds
(3/21) WR rebuild. 5 portals. Vaughn/Singleton exp'd
(3/21) Portal DE Robinson (UTSA) poss big find


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003

West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Nicco Marchiol375666%434527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White14984575.755
Nicco Marchiol4012023.019
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Rodney Gallagher165103.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)49804516.475
Oran Singleton Jr.64644210.144
Grayson Barnes (Tr)31338410.960
Rodney Gallagher26288311.133

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)10910322
Chase Wilson (Tr)973061
Darrian Lewis (Tr)723006
Jordan Scruggs (Tr)705002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmori Robinson (Tr)44181181
Fred Perry (Tr)10910322
Hammond Russell IV174330
Braden Siders (Tr)204200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)4110010
Devonte Nelson331007
Darrian Lewis (Tr)723006