West Virginia at TCU - 2021 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo   West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5 (58.0)
West Virginia 29 - TCU: 17  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WVU coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ WVU -2.5)

Projected Score: WVU: 23 - TCU: 33 (56)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WVU Travel: 1081 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 West Virginia at Maryland-2.556.0L 24 - 30UN
Sat 9/11 West Virginia vs Long Island University-50.056.0W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 West Virginia vs Virginia Tech-2.049.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 9/25 West Virginia at Oklahoma+17.556.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 10/2 West Virginia vs Texas Tech-7.555.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/9 West Virginia at Baylor+1.045.0L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 West Virginia at TCU+5.058.0W 29 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 West Virginia vs Iowa State+7.549.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/6 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State+3.548.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/13 West Virginia at Kansas State+6.047.5L 17 - 34ON
Sat 11/20 West Virginia vs Texas-2.556.0W 31 - 23UY
Sat 11/27 West Virginia at Kansas-15.555.5W 34 - 28ON
Tue 12/28 West Virginia vs Minnesota+5.044.5L 6 - 18UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU.1240%21.836%2.5113543%2783.06.0737%30.839%35%2.9474.11.21.3
TCU.1541%30.746%2.9521535%1932.91.1132%25.331%33%3.262.81.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1021.820.840.2%3.061.2224131352783.842%58%36%43%19%.12
TCU Defense1025.324.232.4%3.21.2 - - - - - 50%50%31%33%21%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1030.833.537.2%2.941.3 - - - - - 56%44%39%35%19%.07
TCU Offense1030.73640.9%2.911.4194082151935.356%44%46%35%17%.15

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1031:4921.941%55%8.274.11.21.36.22.1129.3
TCU1030:0519.236%57%7.662.81.41.27.72.3329.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1042%36%35.81353.815.012.5168%12%1.11
TCU Defense1050%31% - - - - -.012.3865%13%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1056%39% - - - - .062.4963%12%0.94
TCU Offense1056%46%41215.15.323.192.9577%12%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1058%43%25.340.1277.56.911164.21.435%34%.337%2
TCU Defense1050%33% - - - - - - 8.231.938%21%.188%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1044%35% - - - - - - 11.11.533%29%.327%2
TCU Offense1044%35%16.327.2193.37.111.9105.111.631%29%.235%2

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
West Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #71
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #76
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia:    TCU: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 1.8   TCU: -0.6




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
West Virginia 23


Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25West Virginia17TCU23TCU -16.5West Virginia55.5Under
202309/30TCU21West Virginia24TCU -14West Virginia52.0Under
202210/29West Virginia31TCU41TCU -7TCU70.0Over
202110/23TCU17West Virginia29TCU -5West Virginia58.0Under
202011/14West Virginia24TCU6West Virginia -3West Virginia44.0Under
201911/29TCU17West Virginia20TCU -14West Virginia44.0Under
201811/10West Virginia47TCU10West Virginia -13West Virginia55.5Over
201710/07TCU31West Virginia24TCU -12.5West Virginia67.0Under
201610/22West Virginia34TCU10West Virginia -5West Virginia65.0Under
201510/29TCU40West Virginia10TCU -14.5TCU72.5Under
201411/01West Virginia30TCU31TCU -4West Virginia0
201311/02TCU27West Virginia30TCU -14West Virginia0
201211/03West Virginia38TCU39
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU622 Overs
West Virginia7108 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 86 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#) WVU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #81
Perf GradeGrade #73 #95
OffenseOff #68 #41
DefenseDef #81 #126
Spec TeamsST #88 #115
TalentTal #56 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
West Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
West Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #102 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
West Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #82 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #32 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #58 #71
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #36
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #38 #74
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #99
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
TCU -5.0 (58.0)
West Virginia won at TCU this year (29-17)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat West Virginia last year (23-17)
West Virginia beat TCU in 2023 (24-21)

  
WVU's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD