TCU at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Utah UtesUtah logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Utah -3 (52.0) (-155)  Open: -7.5
TCU 13 - Utah: 7  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
TCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -3.5   (SP+ TCU -3)

Projected Score: TCU: 27 - UTAH: 24 (51)
UTAH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 974 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0UN
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)33.549% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)24.643% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
UTAH#112 (.11)40% (89)23.642% (83)3.09 (72)18339% (92)1663.29 (107)#38 (.14)36% (16)20.738% (30)35% (9)3.48 (45)41.211.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1233.528.647.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28
UTAH Defense1320.716.836.4%3.481.2 - - - - - 39%60%38%35%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1224.63043.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
UTAH Offense1323.62340.4%3.291193481831664.260%39%42%39%14%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Utah1334:0718.841%41%4.941.211.25.32.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)
UTAH Defense1339% (1)38% (30) - - - - .09 (37)2.93 (39)70% (49)11% (41)1.01 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
UTAH Offense1360% (11)42% (83)43.2182.54.219 (69).13 (82)3.09 (72)69% (100)8% (37)1 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)
UTAH Defense1360% (133)35% (9) - - - - - - 8 (100).18 (20)1.7 (99)38% (4)23% (4).2 (18)6% (77)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
UTAH Offense1339% (123)39% (92)14.525.2165.86.611.415 (96)11 (68).13 (117)1.5 (114)30% (37)28% (92).17 (113)5% (38)1.8 (121)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.40 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 12.40   Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.8   Utah: 7.7




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 27
Utah 24


Projected Total Points: 51
Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Utah7TCU13TCUUtah -3TCU52.0Under
201011/06Utah7TCU47TCU
200911/14TCU55Utah28TCU
200811/06Utah13TCU10Utah
200710/18TCU20Utah27Utah
200610/05Utah20TCU7Utah
200509/15TCU23Utah20TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah300 Overs
TCU411 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#21) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.40 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
TCU     Ratings Matchup     Utah
Power #21
#48
Off #24
#127
Def #53
#8
Talent #32
#59
SP+ #25
#40
SP+ Off #19
#96
SP+ Def #38
#16

Rematch from Week 8
Utah -3.0 (52.0)
TCU won at Utah this year (13-7)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Utah last year (13-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 49°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | UTAH
Depth Chart: TCU | UTAH
Rosters: TCU | UTAH
(#48) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals (Tr)101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook11946093.919
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister (Tr)39762519.584
Drake Dabney (Tr)19193010.244
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840
Jeremy Payne129908.321

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr (Tr)545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devean Deal (Tr)4610631
Cooper McDonald (Tr)255321
Zachary Chapman243310
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)389351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lamareon James (Tr)3400012
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)120004

Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Brandon Rose193653%157224.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Jaylon Glover126005.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Dijon Stanley7166223.779
Daidren Zipperer8122015.346
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Smith Snowden484008
Alaka'i Gilman (Tr)416111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Fano357341
Lander Barton725214
Dallas Vakalahi163200
John Henry Daley41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Lander Barton725214