TCU at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Utah -3 (52.0) (-155) Open: -7.5
TCU 13 - Utah: 7 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -3.5 (SP+ TCU -3)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - UTAH: 26 (55)
UTAH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 974 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Utah's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Utah vs Southern Utah	-37.5	55.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah vs Baylor	-14.5	52.5	W 23 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah at Utah State	-20.5	43.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Utah at Oklahoma State	-1.0	53.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah vs Arizona	-7.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Utah at Arizona State	-6.0	46.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/19	Utah vs TCU	-3.0	52.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Utah at Houston	-4.5	36.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah vs BYU	+3.5	40.5	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah at Colorado	+13.5	43.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Utah vs Iowa State	+6.5	42.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah at UCF	+9.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)	33.5	45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)	24.6	46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)	23.6	38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)	20.7	37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)		45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)		46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	13	33.5	28.6	47.1%	4.46	1.6	21	400	106	293	3.9	42%	58%	45%	49%	13%	.3
UTAH Defense	12	20.7	16.8	35.3%	3.13	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	34%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	13	24.6	30	41.5%	3.82	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	46%	36%	14%	.19
UTAH Offense	12	23.6	23	36.7%	3.4	1.8	17	330	130	199	3.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	19%	.08

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	13	26:11	21	44%	80%	5.2	49.7	1.6	1.1	4.5	1.8	1	31.7
Utah	12	32:06	16.6	33%	45%	5.4	46.3	1.8	1.5	6.4	1.9	4	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	13	42% (119)	45% (53)	27.6	106.4	3.9	26 (36)	.08 (95)	2.95 (85)	73% (70)	8% (36)	0.94 (85)
UTAH Defense	12	48% (41)	37% (10)	-	-	-	-	.04 (25)	2.53 (9)	64% (22)	12% (34)	1.07 (105)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	13	53% (95)	46% (102)	-	-	-	-	.22 (118)	3.26 (104)	89% (134)	9% (105)	1.02 (87)
UTAH Offense	12	49% (76)	38% (116)	33.6	130.4	3.9	7 (131)	(123)	2.73 (114)	66% (113)	12% (117)	0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	13	58% (19)	49% (9)	23.5	34.9	293.2	8.4	12.5	25 (31)	10 (63)	.47 (5)	1.6 (75)	31% (57)	33% (47)	.4 (39)	5% (38)	2.1 (55)
UTAH Defense	12	51% (92)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.09 (15)	1.6 (74)	37% (4)	25% (8)	.09 (1)	8% (4)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (40)	1.5 (57)	34% (42)	27% (19)	.19 (22)	6% (81)	1.8 (26)
UTAH Offense	12	51% (58)	35% (119)	16.6	29.8	199.4	6.7	12	20 (58)	17 (127)	.16 (106)	1.7 (23)	36% (127)	24% (127)	.2 (110)	7% (107)	2.2 (22)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.40 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 12.40 Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.8 Utah: 7.7

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 29
Utah 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 34
TCU 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
TCU 25
Utah 25

Total Points: 50

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Utah	7	TCU	13	Utah -3	TCU	52.0	Under
2010	11/06	Utah	7	TCU	47
2009	11/14	TCU	55	Utah	28
2008	11/06	Utah	13	TCU	10
2007	10/18	TCU	20	Utah	27
2006	10/05	Utah	20	TCU	7
2005	09/15	TCU	23	Utah	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	3	0	0 Overs
TCU	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 4	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#21) TCU at (#48) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	UTAH
Power RatePwr	#21	#48
SP+SP+	#25	#40
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#77
OffenseOff	#31	#99
DefenseDef	#55	#51
Spec TeamsST	#14	#31
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#25

TCU Notes(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
(7/30) Briles 2nd yr at OC, New DC Avalos (Boise HC)
TCU Injury Report

Utah Notes(12/11) Signed QB Dampier (New Mexico '24)
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs
(10/14) QB Rising out for season, could have 8th yr?
Utah Injury Report

TCU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#31	#51
SuccessSuc	#20	#4
ExplosiveExp	#45	#104
PPAPPA	#18	#7
PowerPwr	#24	#8
SP+SP+	#19	#16
Pts POPPO	#20	#15
HavocHav	#28	#12

TCU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#97	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#10
Run ExplRExp	#85	#105
PPAExp	#95	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#85	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#3
TackleTak	-	#129

TCU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#75	#74
PPAExp	#5	#15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#51	#84
F7 HavocF7	#36	#34
DB HavocDB	#38	#4

Utah on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	TCU Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#55
SuccessSuc	#125	#67
ExplosiveExp	#55	#52
PPAPPA	#120	#82
PowerPwr	#127	#53
SP+SP+	#96	#38
Pts POPPO	#111	#72
HavocHav	#120	#102

Utah Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#123	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#116	#102
Run ExplRExp	#111	#87
PPAExp	#123	#118
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	#104
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#87
TackleTak	-	#22

Utah Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#57
PPAExp	#106	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#124
F7 HavocF7	#117	#105
DB HavocDB	#107	#81

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 49°

Rematch from Week 8
Utah -3.0 (52.0)
TCU won at Utah this year (13-7)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Utah last year (13-7)

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals (Tr)	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech	62	1034	9	16.7	52
Eric McAlister (Tr)	39	762	5	19.5	84
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal (Tr)	46	10	6	3	1
Cooper McDonald (Tr)	25	5	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)	38	9	3	5	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James (Tr)	34	0	0	12
Abraham Camara	55	6	1	6
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)	12	0	0	4

UTAH's OC Mike Bajakian (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Isaac Wilson	127	225	56%	1510	10	11	6.7
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Mike Mitchell	47	158	1	3.4	18
Dijon Stanley	20	66	0	3.3	14
Brandon Rose	11	66	0	6.0	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Dijon Stanley	7	166	2	23.7	79

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Tao Johnson	70	2	0	0	4
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Logan Fano	35	7	3	4	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)	21	1	0	0	9
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5