TCU at Houston Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium - Houston, TX  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
HOU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -8.5   (SP+ TCU -10)
Projected Score: TCU: 28 - HOU: 19 (47)
TCU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TCU Travel: 238 miles
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#77)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina+1.557.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin-24
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice-15
Sat 9/13 Houston vs Colorado+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State-1
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech+9.5
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State+1
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona-5
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State+16.5
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia-3.5
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor+11.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1333.528.647.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3
HOU Defense1222.917.839.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1324.63041.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
HOU Offense121415.235.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.78 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.78   Houston: 3.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.1   Houston: 0.9




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.095 #67
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.61 #90
Houston's Defense Rating: 10.32 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 28
Houston 19

Projected Total Points: 47
Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/04TCU19Houston30HoustonTCU -16.5Houston52.0Under
202309/16Houston13TCU36TCUTCU -7.5TCU64.0Under
200712/28Houston13TCU20TCU
200410/23TCU34Houston27TCU
200310/25Houston55TCU62TCU
200210/05TCU34Houston17TCU
200109/29Houston17TCU34TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston110 Overs
TCU612 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 50 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams5 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.78 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.
TCU     Ratings Matchup     Houston
Power #30
#67
Off #21
#90
Def #41
#39
Talent #31
#61
SP+ #29
#58
SP+ Off #19
#91
SP+ Def #37
#36

Previous Matchups
Houston beat TCU last year (30-19)
TCU beat Houston in 2023 (36-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | HOU
Depth Chart: TCU | HOU
Rosters: TCU | HOU
(#67) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.095 #67
Offense Rating: 10.61 #90
Defense Rating: 10.32 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Houston Notes
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/15) OL awful LY. 5 portals, could improve to decent
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(5/13) RB Connors (Rice) also a big receiving threat
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
(3/21) RB bad LY. Connors (Rice) good add. Some depth
(3/21) WR bad LY. Broussard/Thomas portals help
(3/21) Def good LY, a lot back. 9 portal adds, 5 DBs


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003

Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Conner Weigman (Tr)6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors (Tr)15978094.971
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol (Tr)9483988.933
Amare Thomas (Tr)62670810.873
Harvey Broussard (Tr)31486315.750
Dean Connors (Tr)6147227.769

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Kentrell Webb541003
Wrook Brown (Tr)481006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Khalil Laufau (Tr)154301
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Brandon Mack395320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keany Parks (Tr)411007
Marc Stampley II (Tr)422207
Will James (Tr)352007