TCU at Oklahoma - 2021 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma Sooners  Oklahoma logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -12.5 (64.5)
Oklahoma 52 - TCU: 31  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
OKLA is playing their 7th straight game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ OKLA -17)
Projected Score: TCU: 22 - OKLA: 26 (48)
OKLA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TCU Travel: 173 miles
Sooners (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Lincoln Riley (48 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oklahoma vs Tulane-31.066.5W 40 - 35ON
Sat 9/11 Oklahoma vs Western Carolina-52.566.0W 76 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Oklahoma vs Nebraska-22.562.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/25 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-17.556.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Oklahoma at Kansas State-12.053.0W 37 - 31ON
Sat 10/9 Oklahoma vs Texas-4.065.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 10/16 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.564.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Oklahoma at Kansas-38.066.5W 35 - 23UN
Sat 10/30 Oklahoma vs Texas Tech-18.567.0W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Oklahoma at Baylor-4.063.0L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/20 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-3.059.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/27 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State+4.050.0L 33 - 37OY
Wed 12/29 Oklahoma vs Oregon-7.064.0W 47 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1541%30.746%2.9521535%1932.91.1132%25.331%33%3.262.81.41.2
OKLA.3149%26.248%2.9418050%3154.78.0836%15.536%35%3.1765.51.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1030.725.540.9%2.911.4194082151935.356%44%46%35%17%.15
OKLA Defense1115.51535.7%3.171.7 - - - - - 39%61%36%35%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1025.326.232.4%3.21.2 - - - - - 50%50%31%33%21%.11
OKLA Offense1126.226.449.5%4.781.3254951803154.750%50%48%50%18%.31

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1030:0519.236%57%7.662.81.41.27.72.3329.1
Oklahoma1132:1524.941%80%7.265.51.31.77.43.4131.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1056%46%41215.15.323.192.9577%12%1.09
OKLA Defense1139%36% - - - - .072.2367%12%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1050%31% - - - - -.012.3865%13%1.15
OKLA Offense1150%48%38.1179.74.727.142.9480%12%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1044%35%16.327.2193.37.111.9105.111.631%29%.235%2
OKLA Defense1161%35% - - - - - - 16.091.536%22%.19%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1050%33% - - - - - - 8.231.938%21%.188%2.3
OKLA Offense1150%50%22.632.93159.613.9308.491.728%35%.466%2.1

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Oklahoma: 10.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6   Oklahoma: 16.8




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 10.9 NR
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.8  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #3
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 26
TCU 22

Projected Total Points: 48
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/24Oklahoma69TCU45Oklahoma -12.5Oklahoma66.5Over
202210/01TCU55Oklahoma24Oklahoma -5TCU69.5Over
202110/16Oklahoma52TCU31Oklahoma -12.5Oklahoma64.5Over
202010/24TCU14Oklahoma33Oklahoma -7.0Oklahoma59.0Under
201911/23Oklahoma28TCU24Oklahoma -18.5TCU65.0Under
201810/20TCU27Oklahoma52Oklahoma -8.5Oklahoma61.0Over
201712/02Oklahoma41TCU17Oklahoma -7.5Oklahoma63.5Under
201711/11Oklahoma38TCU20Oklahoma -6Oklahoma63.5Under
201610/01TCU46Oklahoma52Oklahoma -3.5Oklahoma65.5Over
201511/21Oklahoma30TCU29Oklahoma -19TCU64.0Under
201410/04TCU37Oklahoma33Oklahoma -5TCU0
201310/05Oklahoma20TCU17Oklahoma -10TCU0
201212/01TCU17Oklahoma24
200809/27Oklahoma35TCU10
200509/03Oklahoma10TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma1275 Overs
TCU355 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams5 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#) TCU at (#) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUOKLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #13
Perf GradeGrade #95 #9
OffenseOff #41 #6
DefenseDef #126 #39
Spec TeamsST #115 #51
TalentTal #35 #6
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #58 #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #75
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #38 #70
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oklahoma on Offense
CategoryCatOKLA OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma Run Game
CategoryCat
OKLA OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #10 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
Oklahoma Pass Game
CategoryCatOKLA OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #4 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #9 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Oklahoma -12.5 (64.5)
Oklahoma won vs TCU this year (52-31)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat TCU in 2023 (69-45)

  
TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OKLA's OC Bill Bedenbaugh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD