West Virginia at TCU - 2026 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (64 - 34)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WVU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: TCU -13  (SP+ TCU -15)
Projected Score: WVU: 22 - TCU: 35 (56)
TCU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
WVU Travel: 1081 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-18
Sat 9/12 West Virginia vs UT Martin-21
Sat 9/19 West Virginia vs Virginia+8
Sat 9/26 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-8.5
Sat 10/3 West Virginia at Iowa State+9
Sat 10/10 West Virginia vs Arizona+8
Sat 10/17 West Virginia vs Cincinnati+3.5
Sat 10/24 West Virginia at TCU+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 West Virginia at Texas Tech+31.5
Sat 11/14 West Virginia vs Kansas+1.5
Sat 11/21 West Virginia vs Houston+6.5
Sat 11/28 West Virginia at Utah+21.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
TCU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 TCU vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Grambling-31.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Arkansas State-21.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at UCF-8
Sat 10/3 TCU vs BYU+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 TCU at Baylor-3.5
Sat 10/24 TCU vs West Virginia-13
Sat 10/31 TCU vs Kansas-9
Sat 11/7 TCU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas State-4.5
Sat 11/21 TCU vs Utah+6
Sat 11/28 TCU at Texas Tech+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#118 (.07)37% (121)21.839% (113)2.66 (118)16134% (130)1893.53 (86)#63 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (36)43% (80)3.9 (91)561.51.7
TCU#36 (.21)44% (48)30.743% (79)2.7 (113)13247% (24)2904.14 (34)#59 (.15)40% (53)25.338% (23)43% (86)3.49 (54)621.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1221.820.836.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07
TCU Defense1325.324.240.3%3.491.6 - - - - - 48%50%38%43%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1230.833.540.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
TCU Offense1330.73644.3%4.141.522422132290445%53%43%47%15%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
TCU1328:5122.247%64%6.8621.51.65.21.8130
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (113)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (118)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (101)
TCU Defense1348% (51)38% (23) - - - - .06 (44)2.84 (58)68% (48)9% (84)0.88 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1249% (60)39% (36) - - - - .02 (25)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (12)0.95 (64)
TCU Offense1345% (104)43% (79)33.3131.8420 (60).04 (109)2.7 (113)77% (35)9% (71)0.83 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (99)1.7 (24)30% (53)26% (116).21 (99)6% (55)2.1 (52)
TCU Defense1350% (85)43% (86) - - - - - - 14 (22).3 (92)1.7 (111)32% (66)32% (94).35 (96)6% (75)2.1 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (80) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (104)1.7 (125)34% (27)33% (112).42 (121)6% (69)2.1 (110)
TCU Offense1353% (34)47% (24)23.535.4290.18.212.330 (3)15 (108).41 (20)1.6 (35)33% (89)34% (23).45 (20)6% (72)2.1 (26)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 2.11  #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 10.34  #69
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 13.23  #40
2026 Talent Rating: 902.00  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
West Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.8  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.11   TCU: 10.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -6.8   TCU: 8.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 10.67  #32
TCU's Offense Rating: 13.74  #45
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.70  #30
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 16  #31
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 35
West Virginia 22

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25West Virginia17TCU23TCU -16.5West Virginia55.5Under
202309/30TCU21West Virginia24TCU -14West Virginia52.0Under
202210/29West Virginia31TCU41TCU -7TCU70.0Over
202110/23TCU17West Virginia29TCU -5West Virginia58.0Under
202011/14West Virginia24TCU6West Virginia -3West Virginia44.0Under
201911/29TCU17West Virginia20TCU -14West Virginia44.0Under
201811/10West Virginia47TCU10West Virginia -13West Virginia55.5Over
201710/07TCU31West Virginia24TCU -12.5West Virginia67.0Under
201610/22West Virginia34TCU10West Virginia -5West Virginia65.0Under
201510/29TCU40West Virginia10TCU -14.5TCU72.5Under
201411/01West Virginia30TCU31TCU -4West Virginia0
201311/02TCU27West Virginia30TCU -14West Virginia0
201211/03West Virginia38TCU39
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU622 Overs
West Virginia7108 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 86 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#56) WVU at (#32) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #56 #32
SP+SP+ #93 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #26 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #31
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #121 #53
ExplosiveExp #79 #92
PPAPPA #118 #59
PowerPwr #69 #30
SP+SP+ #102 #50
Pts POPPO #86 #54
HavocHav #80 #86
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #23
Run ExplRExp #101 #26
PPAExp #126 #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #118 #58
Stuff RateStuff #104 #95
TackleTak - NR
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #86
Pass ExplPExl #24 #111
PPAExp #99 #92
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #84
DB HavocDB #55 #75
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #48 #54
ExplosiveExp #46 #125
PPAPPA #36 #63
PowerPwr #45 #40
SP+SP+ #30 #91
Pts POPPO #34 #91
HavocHav #64 #26
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffWVU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #36
Run ExplRExp #121 #64
PPAExp #109 #25
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #113 #8
Stuff RateStuff #114 #18
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #80
Pass ExplPExl #35 #125
PPAExp #20 #104
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #71 #12
DB HavocDB #72 #69
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
TCU beat West Virginia last year (23-17)
West Virginia beat TCU in 2023 (24-21)

  
WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)2961666165.673
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)155813.927
Armoni Weaver129029.029
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Epps (Tr)46498510.848
John Neider (Tr)27422215.645
Cam Cook (Tr)3028609.554
Josh Sapp (Tr)11150013.632

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Kamari Wilson (Tr)787114
Fred Perry7810323
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry7810323
David Afogho (Tr)374361
Harper Holloman (Tr)396264
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison (Tr)522106
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
Harper Holloman (Tr)396264

TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)20433162%28292578.5
John Hoyet Chance010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne11062355.751
Jon Denman5017833.616
Jaden Craig (Tr)487831.626
Major Everhart5701.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer54730713.569
Jeremy Scott (Tr)24417417.474
Jeremy Payne2220729.444
Ed Small16186211.641

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson963003
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
Vernon Glover411006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koron Hayward (Tr)194321
Kylin Jackson265321
Ansel Din-Mbuh247220
Zachary Chapman283240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover411006
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014