Oklahoma State at TCU - 2022 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, October 15th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5 (69.5)
TCU 43 - Oklahoma State: 40 (Big 12)

Cowboys (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (149 - 69)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ TCU -13)
Projected Score: OKST: 19 - TCU: 35 (54)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
OKST Travel: 237 miles

Horned Frogs (13 - 2) (10 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Oklahoma State vs Central Michigan	-20.5	58.0	W 58 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	-12.0	58.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-54.5	64.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+2.5	56.0	W 36 - 25	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	-11.0	66.0	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oklahoma State at TCU	+5.0	69.5	L 40 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+6.5	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+2.5	57.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/5	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+3.0	59.5	L 16 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/12	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+2.5	47.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Oklahoma State at Oklahoma	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-5.5	59.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Tue 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	45.0	L 17 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

TCU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	TCU at Colorado	-13.5	59.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	TCU vs Tarleton State	-40.0	66.5	W 59 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	TCU at SMU	-2.5	72.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	TCU vs Oklahoma	+5.0	69.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	TCU at Kansas	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	69.5	W 43 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	TCU vs Kansas State	-3.5	54.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/29	TCU at West Virginia	-7.0	70.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	TCU vs Texas Tech	-8.5	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	TCU at Texas	+7.5	65.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	TCU at Baylor	-2.0	58.0	W 29 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	TCU vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	W 62 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	TCU vs Kansas State	-1.0	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/31	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Mon 1/9	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	.16	42%	14.2	41%	2.72	186	44%	232	3.87	.05	36%	33.3	34%	38%	3.05	55.8	1.4	1.5
TCU	.32	45%	30.7	45%	3.2	194	44%	237	3.4	.34	48%	25.3	50%	46%	4.72	61.4	1.3	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	14	14.2	10.2	42.4%	3.87	1.4	24	417	186	232	4.2	54%	46%	41%	44%	16%	.16
TCU Defense	12	25.3	24.2	48.1%	4.72	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	14	33.3	41.4	36%	3.05	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	34%	38%	23%	.05
TCU Offense	12	30.7	36	44.6%	3.4	1.3	21	431	194	237	4.9	57%	42%	45%	44%	19%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	14	30:52	23.6	43%	54%	6	55.8	1.4	1.5	8.4	4.1	4	31
TCU	12	29:28	21	46%	39%	7.1	61.4	1.3	1.1	4.1	1.3	2	27.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	14	54%	41%	44.3	185.5	4.2	27	.04	2.72	65%	11%	0.87
TCU Defense	12	55%	50%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.53	84%	9%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	14	44%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.35	47%	16%	0.93
TCU Offense	12	57%	45%	39.4	194.2	4.9	21	.24	3.2	63%	14%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	14	46%	44%	19.6	31.9	231.9	7.3	11.9	23	13	.32	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	2
TCU Defense	12	44%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	27%	38%	.45	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.13	1.5	35%	25%	.12	6%	1.9
TCU Offense	12	42%	44%	16.7	25.8	236.5	9.2	14.2	19	6	.46	1.9	33%	38%	.56	5%	2.1

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #31
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #22
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: TCU: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 11.3 TCU: 24.3

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2022 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 35
Oklahoma State 19

Projected Total Points: 54

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	TCU	38	Oklahoma State	13	TCU -10.5	TCU	68.5	Under
2022	10/15	TCU	43	Oklahoma State	40	TCU -5	Oklahoma State	69.5	Over
2021	11/13	Oklahoma State	63	TCU	17	Oklahoma State -11	Oklahoma State	53.5	Over
2020	12/05	TCU	29	Oklahoma State	22	Oklahoma State -2.5	TCU	52.5	Under
2019	11/02	Oklahoma State	34	TCU	27	TCU -1	Oklahoma State	58.5	Over
2018	11/24	TCU	31	Oklahoma State	24	Oklahoma State -6	TCU	52.5	Over
2017	09/23	Oklahoma State	31	TCU	44	Oklahoma State -10.5	TCU	68.0	Over
2016	11/19	TCU	6	Oklahoma State	31	TCU -4.5	Oklahoma State	68.5	Under
2015	11/07	Oklahoma State	49	TCU	29	TCU -5	Oklahoma State	76.0	Over
2014	10/18	TCU	42	Oklahoma State	9	TCU -10	TCU	0
2013	10/19	Oklahoma State	24	TCU	10	Oklahoma State -7	Oklahoma State	0
2012	10/27	Oklahoma State	36	TCU	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	6	5	6 Overs
Oklahoma State	6	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 2	8 - 3	4 - 3	4 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 10	3 - 8	0 - 4	3 - 4

(#) OKST at (#) TCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKST	TCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#46
OffenseOff	#116	#27
DefenseDef	#56	#74
Spec TeamsST	#5	#105
TalentTal	#39	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Injury Report

TCU Injury Report

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#28

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#89	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#56
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#30	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#123

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#63
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
TCU -5.0 (69.5)
TCU won vs Oklahoma State this year (43-40)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (38-13)

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TCU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD