TCU at Arizona State Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Friday, September 26th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -6   (SP+ ASU -1)
Projected Score: TCU: 26 - ASU: 32 (57)
ASU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TCU Travel: 844 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina+1.557.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-38
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-11
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-22
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor-3
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah-2
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech-5
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-16.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-17.5
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-8
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1333.528.647.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3
ASU Defense1422.622.342.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1324.63041.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
ASU Offense1432.933.849.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.78 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.78   Arizona State: 17.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.1   Arizona State: 12.2




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.22 #16
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 24.57 #13
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.33 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 32
TCU 26

Projected Total Points: 57
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State000 Overs
TCU000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.78 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.
TCU     Ratings Matchup     Arizona State
Power #30
#16
Off #21
#13
Def #41
#27
Talent #31
#37
SP+ #29
#22
SP+ Off #19
#26
SP+ Def #37
#27

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | ASU
Depth Chart: TCU | ASU
Rosters: TCU | ASU
(#16) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.22 #16
Offense Rating: 24.57 #13
Defense Rating: 7.33 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arizona State Notes
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt21635062%28852468.2
Kanyon Floyd22100%470023.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Udoh (Tr)1791117106.272
Sam Leavitt11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
Raleek Brown94204.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Jalen Moss (Tr)49582411.949
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Kyson Brown13189114.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser984124
Xavion Alford850015
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Jordan Crook574002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Xavion Alford850015