TCU at Texas Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU is playing their 7th straight game
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -21  (SP+ TTU -19)
Projected Score: TCU: 17 - TTU: 38 (54)
TTU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
TCU Travel: 268 miles
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 TCU vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Grambling-31.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Arkansas State-21.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at UCF-8
Sat 10/3 TCU vs BYU+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 TCU at Baylor-3.5
Sat 10/24 TCU vs West Virginia-13
Sat 10/31 TCU vs Kansas-9
Sat 11/7 TCU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas State-4.5
Sat 11/21 TCU vs Utah+6
Sat 11/28 TCU at Texas Tech+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-50
Sat 9/12 Texas Tech at Oregon State-39.5
Sat 9/19 Texas Tech vs Houston-22.5
Sat 9/26 Texas Tech vs Sam Houston-51.5
Sat 10/3 Texas Tech at Colorado-32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-25.5
Sat 10/24 Texas Tech at Cincinnati-20.5
Sat 10/31 Texas Tech vs Arizona-21
Sat 11/7 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-31.5
Sat 11/14 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-32.5
Sat 11/21 Texas Tech at Baylor-22
Sat 11/28 Texas Tech vs TCU-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#36 (.21)44% (48)30.743% (79)2.7 (113)13247% (24)2904.14 (34)#59 (.15)40% (53)25.338% (23)43% (86)3.49 (54)621.51.6
TTU#28 (.24)43% (61)39.443% (72)2.87 (80)18443% (51)2784 (41)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.329% (1)31% (3)2.41 (2)55.71.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1330.725.544.3%4.141.522422132290445%53%43%47%15%.21
TTU Defense1411.38.730.1%2.412.3 - - - - - 43%56%29%31%23%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1325.326.240.3%3.491.6 - - - - - 48%50%38%43%15%.15
TTU Offense1439.447.942.8%41.3234621842784.746%52%43%43%15%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1328:5122.247%64%6.8621.51.65.21.8130
Texas Tech1430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.9236
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1345% (104)43% (79)33.3131.8420 (60).04 (109)2.7 (113)77% (35)9% (71)0.83 (121)
TTU Defense1443% (5)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1348% (51)38% (23) - - - - .06 (44)2.84 (58)68% (48)9% (84)0.88 (26)
TTU Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1353% (34)47% (24)23.535.4290.18.212.330 (3)15 (108).41 (20)1.6 (35)33% (89)34% (23).45 (20)6% (72)2.1 (26)
TTU Defense1456% (132)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1350% (85)43% (86) - - - - - - 14 (22).3 (92)1.7 (111)32% (66)32% (94).35 (96)6% (75)2.1 (102)
TTU Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8.04  #32
TCU's Offense Rating: 13.74  #45
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.70  #30
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 16%  #31
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 8.04   Texas Tech: 29.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 8.3   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 29.225  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70  #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15  #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 38
TCU 17

Projected Total Points: 54
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26TCU35Texas Tech34TCU -5.0Texas Tech66.0Over
202311/02Texas Tech35TCU28Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Over
202211/05TCU34Texas Tech24TCU -8.5TCU69.0Under
202110/09Texas Tech31TCU52TCU -2.5TCU60.0Over
202011/07TCU34Texas Tech18TCU -9.5TCU60.0Under
201911/16Texas Tech31TCU33TCU -3.5Texas Tech53.0Over
201810/11TCU14Texas Tech17TCU -7.5Texas Tech57.5Under
201711/18Texas Tech3TCU27TCU -6.5TCU53.5Under
201610/29TCU24Texas Tech27TCU -8.5Texas Tech87.0Under
201509/26Texas Tech52TCU55TCU -9.5Texas Tech83.5Over
201410/25TCU82Texas Tech27TCU -20TCU0
201309/12Texas Tech20TCU10TCU -6Texas Tech0
201210/20TCU53Texas Tech56
200609/16TCU12Texas Tech3
200409/18Texas Tech70TCU35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech675 Overs
TCU955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#32) TCU at (#6) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #32 #6
SP+SP+ #37 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #32 #19
Blue ChipsBC% #31 #26
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #48 #1
ExplosiveExp #46 #19
PPAPPA #36 #1
PowerPwr #45 #4
SP+SP+ #30 #3
Pts POPPO #34 #2
HavocHav #64 #1
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #1
Run ExplRExp #121 #17
PPAExp #109 #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #113 #1
Stuff RateStuff #114 #13
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #3
Pass ExplPExl #35 #9
PPAExp #20 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #71 #4
DB HavocDB #72 #10
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #61 #53
ExplosiveExp #21 #92
PPAPPA #28 #59
PowerPwr #14 #30
SP+SP+ #7 #50
Pts POPPO #41 #54
HavocHav #61 #86
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #23
Run ExplRExp #21 #26
PPAExp #41 #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #80 #58
Stuff RateStuff #59 #95
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #86
Pass ExplPExl #53 #111
PPAExp #38 #92
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #84
DB HavocDB #86 #75
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2024 (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)

  
TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)20433162%28292578.5
John Hoyet Chance010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne11062355.751
Jon Denman5017833.616
Jaden Craig (Tr)487831.626
Major Everhart5701.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer54730713.569
Jeremy Scott (Tr)24417417.474
Jeremy Payne2220729.444
Ed Small16186211.641

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson963003
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
Vernon Glover411006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koron Hayward (Tr)194321
Kylin Jackson265321
Ansel Din-Mbuh247220
Zachary Chapman283240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover411006
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)20633562%27862658.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10058095.841
Will Hammond4329957.064
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)471119923.887
Kenny Johnson (Tr)47658514.042
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
John Curry734124
Austin Romaine (Tr)667172
Brenden Jordan592001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick (Tr)57128124
Trey White (Tr)47117121
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
Anthony Holmes Jr.4010574
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
Brice Pollock474015
Amier Boyd-Matthews262005