West Virginia at TCU - 2023 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo   West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -14 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 24 - TCU: 21  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
WVU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: TCU -3.5  (SP+ TCU -2)
Projected Score: WVU: 25 - TCU: 29 (54)
TCU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WVU Travel: 1081 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU.2143%21.845%3.0817242%2274.2.2144%30.845%43%3.8531.51.3
TCU.344%30.747%3.1519340%2624.28.1741%25.345%38%4.3649.61.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1221.820.843.3%4.21.5233981722274.648%51%45%42%15%.21
TCU Defense1525.324.241.3%4.361.5 - - - - - 49%51%45%38%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1230.833.544.3%3.81.3 - - - - - 48%52%45%43%15%.21
TCU Offense1530.73643.5%4.281.1214551932625.152%48%47%40%13%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1231:192341%69%6.4531.51.35.72.2226.9
TCU1530:252140%52%4.849.61.11.54.72630.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1248%45%37.2171.54.624.23.0870%8%1.01
TCU Defense1549%45% - - - - .182.9972%8%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1248%45% - - - - .133.0776%10%0.99
TCU Offense1552%47%37.7193.35.137.223.1572%8%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1251%42%21.335.5226.76.410.72012.241.530%34%.327%1.8
TCU Defense1551%38% - - - - - - 16.21.832%27%.37%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 4.31.630%32%.364%2.1
TCU Offense1548%40%19.530.3261.78.713.5338.381.930%32%.455%2.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47  #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21  #88
2023 Talent Rating: 666.23  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 3.47   TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.4   TCU: 7.5




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8  #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76  #97
2023 Talent Rating: 768.25  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 31  #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5  #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
West Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 54
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25West Virginia17TCU23TCU -16.5West Virginia55.5Under
202309/30TCU21West Virginia24TCU -14West Virginia52.0Under
202210/29West Virginia31TCU41TCU -7TCU70.0Over
202110/23TCU17West Virginia29TCU -5West Virginia58.0Under
202011/14West Virginia24TCU6West Virginia -3West Virginia44.0Under
201911/29TCU17West Virginia20TCU -14West Virginia44.0Under
201811/10West Virginia47TCU10West Virginia -13West Virginia55.5Over
201710/07TCU31West Virginia24TCU -12.5West Virginia67.0Under
201610/22West Virginia34TCU10West Virginia -5West Virginia65.0Under
201510/29TCU40West Virginia10TCU -14.5TCU72.5Under
201411/01West Virginia30TCU31TCU -4West Virginia0
201311/02TCU27West Virginia30TCU -14West Virginia0
201211/03West Virginia38TCU39
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU622 Overs
West Virginia7108 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 86 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#45) WVU at (#44) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #45 #44
SP+SP+ #44 #40
Perf GradeGrade #46 #51
OffenseOff #31 #38
DefenseDef #85 #73
Spec TeamsST #127 #61
TalentTal #50 #19
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #24
West Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #73
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #32 #97
SP+SP+ #38 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
West Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #6 #42
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #75
West Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #28 #95
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #119
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #32 #88
SP+SP+ #27 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #41 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #44 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #56 #85
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
TCU -14.0 (52.0)
West Virginia won at TCU this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat West Virginia last year (23-17)
West Virginia beat TCU in 2023 (24-21)

  
WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover18629962%22101597.4
Chandler Morris13220265%15281257.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emani Bailey223120985.474
Chandler Morris4524935.532
Trey Sanders (Tr)4817663.718
Savion Williams116205.614
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams41573414.042
John Paul Richardson46536311.759
Jared Wiley47520811.181
Jaylon Robinson (Tr)32397112.429

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamoi Hodge807372
Namdi Obiazor756432
Shadrach Banks579120
Nook Bradford530005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor756432
Paul Oyewale215310
Jamoi Hodge807372
Caleb Fox254200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Newton290005
Nook Bradford530005
Mark Perry522004