West Virginia at TCU - 2023 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -14 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 24 - TCU: 21  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (29 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
WVU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: TCU -3.5   (SP+ TCU -2)

Projected Score: WVU: 27 - TCU: 30 (57)
TCU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WVU Travel: 1081 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#35 (.27)45% (37)31.547% (29)3.24 (42)22943% (60)2064.04 (54)#78 (.19)42% (61)26.244% (76)40% (47)4.16 (106)46.411.2
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)31.349% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)27.843% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1331.528.845.1%4.041224352292065.362%38%47%43%14%.27
TCU Defense1227.821.343.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1326.236.341.5%4.161.2 - - - - - 47%52%44%40%19%.19
TCU Offense1231.335.747.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1332:3022.240%53%5.146.411.25.62131.2
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1362% (6)47% (29)43.5228.95.332 (10).26 (15)3.24 (42)67% (108)9% (41)1.13 (16)
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1347% (31)44% (76) - - - - .16 (86)3.08 (63)76% (91)11% (49)1.02 (83)
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1338% (127)43% (60)13.725.5205.78.11518 (81)7 (21).32 (55)1.7 (38)31% (51)36% (20).47 (25)5% (47)2 (75)
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1352% (109)40% (47) - - - - - - 11 (53).26 (56)1.6 (82)32% (57)30% (71).36 (89)8% (10)2.1 (73)
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 3.47   TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.4   TCU: 7.5




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 30
West Virginia 27


Total Points: 57

TCU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30TCU21West Virginia24West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia52.0Under
202210/29West Virginia31TCU41TCUTCU -7TCU70.0Over
202110/23TCU17West Virginia29West VirginiaTCU -5West Virginia58.0Under
202011/14West Virginia24TCU6West VirginiaWest Virginia -3West Virginia44.0Under
201911/29TCU17West Virginia20West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia44.0Under
201811/10West Virginia47TCU10West VirginiaWest Virginia -13West Virginia55.5Over
201710/07TCU31West Virginia24TCUTCU -12.5West Virginia67.0Under
201610/22West Virginia34TCU10West VirginiaWest Virginia -5West Virginia65.0Under
201510/29TCU40West Virginia10TCUTCU -14.5TCU72.5Under
201411/01West Virginia30TCU31TCUTCU -4West Virginia0
201311/02TCU27West Virginia30West VirginiaTCU -14West Virginia0
201211/03West Virginia38TCU39TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU522 Overs
West Virginia797 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 75 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams7 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#45) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 3.47 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


West Virginia has won 3 straight
West Virginia has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Secondary is very good (#45)
West Virginia has a great TO Margin (#125)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTCUWVU
OverallOver#41#38
OffenseOff#35#28
DefenseDef#58#65
Special TeamsST#50#103
PassingPass#34#22
RushingRush#28#6
Run BlockRBLK#81#48
Pass BlockPBLK#49#8
Route RunningWR Rt#20#77
TacklingTkl#65#60
Run DefenseR Def#37#53
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#67
Coverage DefCov#77#80

Rematch from Week 5
TCU -14.0 (52.0)
West Virginia won at TCU this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat TCU in 2023 (24-21)
TCU beat West Virginia in 2022 (41-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | TCU
Depth Chart: WVU | TCU
Rosters: WVU | TCU
(#44) TCU Info
Power Rating: 8 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60


TCU has won 3 straight
TCU has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

TCU Highlights
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU has a top Offensive Line (#35)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#39)


TCU Deficiencies
TCU throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)


  
West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover18629962%22101597.4
Chandler Morris13220265%15281257.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emani Bailey223120985.474
Chandler Morris4524935.532
Trey Sanders (Tr)4817663.718
Savion Williams116205.614
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams41573414.042
John Paul Richardson46536311.759
Jared Wiley47520811.181
Jaylon Robinson (Tr)32397112.429

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Joe Gillespie
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamoi Hodge807372
Namdi Obiazor756432
Shadrach Banks579120
Nook Bradford530005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor756432
Paul Oyewale215310
Jamoi Hodge807372
Caleb Fox254200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Newton290005
Nook Bradford530005
Mark Perry522004