TCU at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma logo
Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -12.5 (66.5) (-425)  Open: -6.5
Oklahoma 69 - TCU: 45  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.7 MPH
OKLA is playing their 6th straight game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -14.5   (SP+ OKLA -9)

Projected Score: TCU: 22 - OKLA: 37 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TCU Travel: 173 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Colorado-20.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 TCU vs Nicholls-41.559.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 TCU at Houston-7.564.0W 36 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 TCU vs SMU-7.063.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 TCU vs West Virginia-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 TCU at Iowa State-6.552.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 TCU vs BYU-5.052.5W 44 - 11OY
Sat 10/21 TCU at Kansas State+5.560.0L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 TCU at Texas Tech+2.559.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 TCU vs Texas+13.056.0L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/18 TCU vs Baylor-13.062.0W 42 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 TCU at Oklahoma+12.566.5L 45 - 69ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma vs Arkansas State-36.057.5W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma vs SMU-16.568.5W 28 - 11UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma at Tulsa-28.058.5W 66 - 17OY
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma at Cincinnati-13.058.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-19.548.5W 50 - 20OY
Sat 10/7 Oklahoma vs Texas+4.062.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma vs UCF-17.067.5W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma at Kansas-7.066.5L 33 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State-6.061.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-13.559.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma at BYU-24.558.5W 31 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.566.5W 69 - 45OY
Thu 12/28 Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.344%33.547%3.1519340%2624.28.1741%24.645%38%4.3649.61.11.5
OKLA.2747%2450%3.3822045%2553.95.2344%21.544%44%4.0650.21.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1533.528.643.5%4.281.1214551932625.152%48%47%40%13%.3
OKLA Defense1321.515.943.5%4.061.9 - - - - - 47%52%44%44%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1524.63041.3%4.361.5 - - - - - 49%51%45%38%16%.17
OKLA Offense132429.747.1%3.951.2244752202554.953%46%50%45%14%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1530:252140%52%4.849.61.11.54.72630.6
Oklahoma1326:1923.841%41%5.750.21.21.97.82.2027.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1552%47%37.7193.35.137.223.1572%8%1.07
OKLA Defense1347%44% - - - - .183.1268%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1549%45% - - - - .182.9972%8%0.98
OKLA Offense1353%50%44.6219.94.928.263.3876%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1548%40%19.530.3261.78.713.5338.381.930%32%.455%2.4
OKLA Defense1352%44% - - - - - - 17.31.632%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1551%38% - - - - - - 16.21.832%27%.37%2.3
OKLA Offense1346%45%19.331.3254.68.113.2278.311.630%31%.315%2

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50   Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5   Oklahoma: 16.4




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 37
TCU 22


Projected Total Points: 52
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/24Oklahoma69TCU45OklahomaOklahoma -12.5Oklahoma66.5Over
202210/01TCU55Oklahoma24TCUOklahoma -5TCU69.5Over
202110/16Oklahoma52TCU31OklahomaOklahoma -12.5Oklahoma64.5Over
202010/24TCU14Oklahoma33OklahomaOklahoma -7.0Oklahoma59.0Under
201911/23Oklahoma28TCU24OklahomaOklahoma -18.5TCU65.0Under
201810/20TCU27Oklahoma52OklahomaOklahoma -8.5Oklahoma61.0Over
201712/02Oklahoma41TCU17OklahomaOklahoma -7.5Oklahoma63.5Under
201711/11Oklahoma38TCU20OklahomaOklahoma -6Oklahoma63.5Under
201610/01TCU46Oklahoma52OklahomaOklahoma -3.5Oklahoma65.5Over
201511/21Oklahoma30TCU29OklahomaOklahoma -19TCU64.0Under
201410/04TCU37Oklahoma33TCUOklahoma -5TCU0
201310/05Oklahoma20TCU17OklahomaOklahoma -10TCU0
201212/01TCU17Oklahoma24Oklahoma
200809/27Oklahoma35TCU10Oklahoma
200509/03Oklahoma10TCU17TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma1275 Overs
TCU355 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams5 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.50 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile






,
,







TCU     Ratings Matchup     Oklahoma
Power #44
#7
Off #32
#8
Def #97
#19
Talent #67
#13
SP+ #40
#13
SP+ Off #27
#7
SP+ Def #57
#33

Rematch from Week 13
Oklahoma -12.5 (66.5)
Oklahoma won vs TCU this year (69-45)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat TCU in 2023 (69-45)
TCU beat Oklahoma in 2022 (55-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TCU | OKLA
Depth Chart: TCU | OKLA
Rosters: TCU | OKLA
(#7) Oklahoma Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Team Profile






,
,









  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris32250963%377431127.4
Savion Williams33100%22107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Savion Williams5132266.335
Chandler Morris6024244.049
Trey Sanders (Tr)134603.512
Corey Wren102402.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech (Tr)621034916.752
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275
Blake Nowell9179119.946

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Joe Gillespie
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Randon Fontenette728307
Abraham Camara556016
Zach Marcheselli4710100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Brooks53310
Randon Fontenette728307
Damonic Williams365120
Johnny Hodges895120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Randon Fontenette728307
Abraham Camara556016

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel32644773%38573068.6
General Booty295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker190864104.555
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Marcus Major7835234.540
Dillon Gabriel7514972.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LV Bunkley-Shelton30322010.734
Daylan Smothers19263213.872
Marcus Major2014417.225
Gavin Freeman64507.523

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman1108130
Billy Bowman553013
Shane Whitter492023
D.J. Graham423002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Downs299322
Trace Ford (Tr)224211
Danny Stutsman1108130
Reggie Grimes21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Bowman553013
Shane Whitter492023
D.J. Graham423002