TCU at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview

TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma Sooners(#8)

Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma -12.5 (66.5) (-425) Open: -6.5
Oklahoma 69 - TCU: 45 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
OKLA is playing their 6th straight game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -14.5 (SP+ OKLA -9)
Projected Score: TCU: 25 - OKLA: 40 (65)
OKLA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TCU Travel: 173 miles

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (52 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#25 (.28)	47% (16)	31.3	49% (18)	3.35 (23)	155	47% (20)	312	3.91 (69)	#96 (.23)	44% (89)	27.8	43% (70)	45% (112)	3.91 (78)	53.6	1.6	1
OKLA	#9 (.34)	50% (8)	41.7	48% (22)	3.11 (67)	182	52% (6)	325	4.56 (18)	#27 (.12)	39% (32)	23.5	39% (31)	39% (36)	3.36 (28)	58.2	1.5	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)		45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)		46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	12	31.3	25.2	47.4%	3.91	1.6	25	467	155	312	4.6	42%	57%	49%	47%	13%	.28
OKLA Defense	13	23.5	20.8	38.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	39%	39%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	12	27.8	37	43.6%	3.91	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	45%	13%	.23
OKLA Offense	13	41.7	51.7	50.1%	4.56	1.5	25	507	182	325	4.6	49%	51%	48%	52%	13%	.34

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	12	27:21	25	46%	50%	6.2	53.6	1.6	1	5	1.8	2	29.9
Oklahoma	13	29:03	25.5	49%	68%	6.8	58.2	1.5	2	6.4	1.4	5	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	12	42% (119)	49% (18)	33.8	154.5	4.6	19 (69)	.22 (29)	3.35 (23)	79% (26)	7% (6)	0.96 (93)
OKLA Defense	13	45% (15)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.05 (22)	2.65 (11)	47% (1)	10% (59)	1.06 (98)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	12	51% (76)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.16 (81)	3.16 (82)	78% (100)	8% (117)	1 (72)
OKLA Offense	13	49% (73)	48% (22)	40.1	182.2	4.6	32 (10)	.16 (62)	3.11 (67)	85% (3)	8% (27)	0.95 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	12	57% (16)	47% (20)	26.6	41.9	312.2	7.5	11.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.4 (27)	1.6 (63)	31% (54)	42% (4)	.61 (6)	7% (94)	2 (73)
OKLA Defense	13	54% (120)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	20 (2)	.2 (26)	1.7 (114)	36% (13)	31% (86)	.33 (75)	7% (41)	2.3 (124)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	12	49% (59)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.35 (106)	1.6 (86)	31% (95)	35% (122)	.37 (98)	5% (119)	2 (34)
OKLA Offense	13	51% (54)	52% (6)	23.8	34.8	324.8	9.3	13.6	34 (9)	9 (40)	.55 (6)	1.6 (47)	29% (27)	38% (12)	.46 (27)	5% (34)	2.1 (39)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 3.50 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 3.50 Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 7.5 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

TCU Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 40
TCU 25

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 41
TCU 22

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma 40
TCU 25

Total Points: 65

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/24	Oklahoma	69	TCU	45	Oklahoma -12.5	Oklahoma	66.5	Over
2022	10/01	TCU	55	Oklahoma	24	Oklahoma -5	TCU	69.5	Over
2021	10/16	Oklahoma	52	TCU	31	Oklahoma -12.5	Oklahoma	64.5	Over
2020	10/24	TCU	14	Oklahoma	33	Oklahoma -7.0	Oklahoma	59.0	Under
2019	11/23	Oklahoma	28	TCU	24	Oklahoma -18.5	TCU	65.0	Under
2018	10/20	TCU	27	Oklahoma	52	Oklahoma -8.5	Oklahoma	61.0	Over
2017	12/02	Oklahoma	41	TCU	17	Oklahoma -7.5	Oklahoma	63.5	Under
2017	11/11	Oklahoma	38	TCU	20	Oklahoma -6	Oklahoma	63.5	Under
2016	10/01	TCU	46	Oklahoma	52	Oklahoma -3.5	Oklahoma	65.5	Over
2015	11/21	Oklahoma	30	TCU	29	Oklahoma -19	TCU	64.0	Under
2014	10/04	TCU	37	Oklahoma	33	Oklahoma -5	TCU	0
2013	10/05	Oklahoma	20	TCU	17	Oklahoma -10	TCU	0
2012	12/01	TCU	17	Oklahoma	24
2008	09/27	Oklahoma	35	TCU	10
2005	09/03	Oklahoma	10	TCU	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	12	7	5 Overs
TCU	3	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 5	6 - 6	4 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 10	6 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 4

(#44) TCU at (#7) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	OKLA
Power RatePwr	#44	#7
SP+SP+	#40	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#51	#25
OffenseOff	#38	#20
DefenseDef	#73	#40
Spec TeamsST	#61	#21
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#24	#5

TCU Injury Report

Oklahoma Injury Report

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#38	#40
SuccessSuc	#16	#32
ExplosiveExp	#51	#124
PPAPPA	#25	#27
PowerPwr	#32	#19
SP+SP+	#27	#33
Pts POPPO	#69	#28
HavocHav	#19	#46

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#41	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#31
Run ExplRExp	#93	#98
PPAExp	#29	#22
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#1
TackleTak	-	#67

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#63	#114
PPAExp	#27	#26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#56	#58
F7 HavocF7	#6	#59
DB HavocDB	#94	#41

Oklahoma on Offense


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TCU Def
Perf GradePerf	#20	#73
SuccessSuc	#8	#89
ExplosiveExp	#55	#89
PPAPPA	#9	#96
PowerPwr	#8	#97
SP+SP+	#7	#57
Pts POPPO	#18	#78
HavocHav	#18	#123

Oklahoma Run Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#44	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#70
Run ExplRExp	#95	#72
PPAExp	#62	#81
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#82
Stuff RateStuff	#90	#80
TackleTak	-	#75

Oklahoma Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	#6	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#86
PPAExp	#6	#106
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#119
F7 HavocF7	#27	#117
DB HavocDB	#34	#119

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Oklahoma -12.5 (66.5)
Oklahoma won vs TCU this year (69-45)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat TCU in 2023 (69-45)
TCU beat Oklahoma in 2022 (55-24)

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	186	299	62%	2210	15	9	7.4
Chandler Morris	132	202	65%	1528	12	5	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emani Bailey	223	1209	8	5.4	74
Chandler Morris	45	249	3	5.5	32
Trey Sanders (Tr)	48	176	6	3.7	18
Savion Williams	11	62	0	5.6	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	41	573	4	14.0	42
John Paul Richardson	46	536	3	11.7	59
Jared Wiley	47	520	8	11.1	81
Jaylon Robinson (Tr)	32	397	1	12.4	29

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamoi Hodge	80	7	3	7	2
Namdi Obiazor	75	6	4	3	2
Shadrach Banks	57	9	1	2	0
Nook Bradford	53	0	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Namdi Obiazor	75	6	4	3	2
Paul Oyewale	21	5	3	1	0
Jamoi Hodge	80	7	3	7	2
Caleb Fox	25	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Josh Newton	29	0	5
Nook Bradford	53	0	5
Mark Perry	52	2	4

OKLA's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	266	384	69%	3660	30	6	9.5
Jackson Arnold	44	69	64%	563	4	3	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Sawchuk	120	744	9	6.2	64
Tawee Walker	102	513	7	5.0	30
Dillon Gabriel	93	373	12	4.0	44
Marcus Major	78	308	1	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Drake Stoops	84	962	10	11.5	60
Nic Anderson	38	798	10	21.0	63
Jalil Farooq	45	694	2	15.4	49
Andrel Anthony Jr.	27	429	1	15.9	55

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Todd Bates (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3
Billy Bowman	60	3	0	0	3
Jaren Kanak	58	6	2	4	0
Kip Lewis	57	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	26	7	5	6	0
Marcus Stripling	6	3	3	1	0
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Woodi Washington	42	3	0	1	7
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Peyton Bowen	32	1	1	1	4