Iowa State at TCU - 2022 Matchup Preview

Iowa State Cyclones at TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (4:00 PM EST)
TCU -9.5 (46.0)
TCU 62 - Iowa State: 14 (Big 12)

Cyclones (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (42 - 32)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TCU is playing their 10th straight game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ TCU -19)
Projected Score: ISU: 25 - TCU: 27 (52)
TCU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ISU Travel: 675 miles

Horned Frogs (13 - 2) (10 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sonny Dykes (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-33.5	54.5	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Iowa State at Iowa	+3.5	39.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Iowa State vs Ohio	-20.0	48.0	W 43 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Iowa State vs Baylor	-2.5	45.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Iowa State at Kansas	-3.5	59.0	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/8	Iowa State vs Kansas State	+1.0	45.0	L 9 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Iowa State at Texas	+15.5	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Iowa State vs Oklahoma	+1.5	58.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/5	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-6.5	49.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Iowa State at Oklahoma State	-2.5	47.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/19	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	-3.5	47.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/26	Iowa State at TCU	+9.5	46.0	L 14 - 62	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

TCU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	TCU at Colorado	-13.5	59.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	TCU vs Tarleton State	-40.0	66.5	W 59 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	TCU at SMU	-2.5	72.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	TCU vs Oklahoma	+5.0	69.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	TCU at Kansas	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	69.5	W 43 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	TCU vs Kansas State	-3.5	54.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/29	TCU at West Virginia	-7.0	70.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/5	TCU vs Texas Tech	-8.5	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	TCU at Texas	+7.5	65.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	TCU at Baylor	-2.0	58.0	W 29 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	TCU vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	W 62 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	TCU vs Kansas State	-1.0	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/31	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45	O	Y
Mon 1/9	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.24	44%	27.4	40%	2.97	161	47%	264	4.1	.18	41%	20.2	41%	40%	3.74	38.6	1.1	1.4
TCU	.32	45%	30.7	45%	3.2	194	44%	237	3.4	.34	48%	25.3	50%	46%	4.72	61.4	1.3	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	27.4	22.2	43.8%	4.1	1.1	22	425	161	264	5.1	44%	56%	40%	47%	15%	.24
TCU Defense	12	25.3	24.2	48.1%	4.72	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	20.2	21.6	40.7%	3.74	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	19%	.18
TCU Offense	12	30.7	36	44.6%	3.4	1.3	21	431	194	237	4.9	57%	42%	45%	44%	19%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	30:54	21.5	36%	65%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	6.5	2.5	1	28
TCU	12	29:28	21	46%	39%	7.1	61.4	1.3	1.1	4.1	1.3	2	27.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.6	160.7	5.1	25	.13	2.97	63%	10%	1.11
TCU Defense	12	55%	50%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.53	84%	9%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	69%	14%	0.98
TCU Offense	12	57%	45%	39.4	194.2	4.9	21	.24	3.2	63%	14%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	56%	47%	24.1	34.3	263.8	7.7	11	22	9	.34	1.4	31%	29%	.29	5%	2
TCU Defense	12	44%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.42	1.8	27%	38%	.45	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.6	30%	31%	.48	6%	2.3
TCU Offense	12	42%	44%	16.7	25.8	236.5	9.2	14.2	19	6	.46	1.9	33%	38%	.56	5%	2.1

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.3 #53
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #108
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6 #7

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: TCU: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 5.3 TCU: 24.3

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2022 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #6
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 27
Iowa State 25

Projected Total Points: 52

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	TCU	17	Iowa State	20	TCU -7.5	Iowa State	58.5	Under
2023	10/07	Iowa State	27	TCU	14	TCU -6.5	Iowa State	52.5	Under
2022	11/26	TCU	62	Iowa State	14	TCU -9.5	TCU	46.0	Over
2021	11/26	Iowa State	48	TCU	14	Iowa State -16	Iowa State	61.5	Over
2020	09/26	TCU	34	Iowa State	37	Iowa State -4.5	TCU	43.5	Over
2019	10/05	Iowa State	49	TCU	24	Iowa State -3	Iowa State	45.0	Over
2018	09/29	TCU	17	Iowa State	14	TCU -11	Iowa State	44.5	Under
2017	10/28	Iowa State	14	TCU	7	TCU -7	Iowa State	48.5	Under
2016	09/17	TCU	41	Iowa State	20	TCU -23.5	Iowa State	60.5	Over
2015	10/17	Iowa State	21	TCU	45	TCU -18	TCU	68.0	Under
2014	12/06	TCU	55	Iowa State	3	TCU -33	TCU	0
2013	11/09	Iowa State	17	TCU	21	TCU -8	Iowa State	0
2012	10/06	TCU	23	Iowa State	37
2005	12/31	Iowa State	24	TCU	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	7	4	5 Overs
Iowa State	7	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 8	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#) ISU at (#) TCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	TCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#72	#46
OffenseOff	#73	#27
DefenseDef	#46	#74
Spec TeamsST	#78	#105
TalentTal	#65	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa State Injury Report

TCU Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#73	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#129	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#63	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#28

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

TCU on Offense


CategoryCat	TCU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

TCU Run Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#30	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

TCU Pass Game


CategoryCat	TCU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ISU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
TCU -9.5 (46.0)
TCU won vs Iowa State this year (62-14)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat TCU last year (20-17)
Iowa State beat TCU in 2023 (27-14)

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TCU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD