Louisiana at TCU - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, December 28th 2024 (2:15 PM EST)
TCU -9.5 (61.0) (-325) Open: 0.0
TCU 34 - Louisiana: 3 (Isleta New Mexico Bowl)

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: TCU -9.5 (SP+ TCU -6)
Projected Score: ULL: 25 - TCU: 34 (59)
TCU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ULL Travel: 911 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ULL Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	26	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	29.2	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8
TCU	#25 (.28)	47% (16)	30.7	49% (18)	3.35 (23)	155	47% (20)	312	3.91 (69)	#96 (.23)	44% (89)	25.3	43% (70)	45% (112)	3.91 (78)	53.6	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22
TCU Defense	12	25.3	24.2	43.6%	3.91	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	45%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18
TCU Offense	12	30.7	36	47.4%	3.91	1.6	25	467	155	312	4.6	42%	57%	49%	47%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3
TCU	12	27:21	25	46%	50%	6.2	53.6	1.6	1	5	1.8	2	29.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)
TCU Defense	12	51% (76)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.16 (81)	3.16 (82)	78% (100)	8% (117)	1 (72)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)
TCU Offense	12	42% (119)	49% (18)	33.8	154.5	4.6	19 (69)	.22 (29)	3.35 (23)	79% (26)	7% (6)	0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)
TCU Defense	12	49% (59)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.35 (106)	1.6 (86)	31% (95)	35% (122)	.37 (98)	5% (119)	2 (34)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)
TCU Offense	12	57% (16)	47% (20)	26.6	41.9	312.2	7.5	11.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.4 (27)	1.6 (63)	31% (54)	42% (4)	.61 (6)	7% (94)	2 (73)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -0.52 TCU: 11.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 4.8 TCU: 10.8

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.6 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 34
Louisiana 25

Projected Total Points: 59

TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/28	TCU	34	Louisiana	3	TCU -9.5	TCU	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	1	1	0 Overs
Louisiana	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Louisiana Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mexico Bowl	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34
2023	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34
2022	Independence Bowl	Louisiana vs Houston	+5.5	56.5	L 16 - 23
2021	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21
2020	Responder Bowl	Louisiana vs UTSA	-14.0	54.5	W 31 - 24
2019	Lendingtree Bowl	Louisiana vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	55.5	W 27 - 17
2018	Cure Bowl	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41

TCU Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mexico Bowl	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3
2022	CFP Nat'l Title	TCU vs Georgia	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 65
2022	CFP Semifinal	TCU vs Michigan	+8.0	56.0	W 51 - 45
2018	It Bowl	TCU vs California	+1.5	38.5	W 10 - 7

(#67) ULL at (#21) TCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	TCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#21
SP+SP+	#53	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#32
OffenseOff	#14	#31
DefenseDef	#87	#55
Spec TeamsST	#131	#14
TalentTal	#85	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#38

Louisiana Notes(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report

TCU Notes(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
(7/30) Briles 2nd yr at OC, New DC Avalos (Boise HC)
TCU Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#55
SuccessSuc	#35	#89
ExplosiveExp	#92	#89
PPAPPA	#48	#96
PowerPwr	#11	#53
SP+SP+	#38	#38
Pts POPPO	#42	#78
HavocHav	#82	#123

Louisiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#60	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#70
Run ExplRExp	#45	#72
PPAExp	#61	#81
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#82
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#80
TackleTak	-	#22

Louisiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#86
PPAExp	#49	#106
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#124
F7 HavocF7	#99	#117
DB HavocDB	#30	#119

TCU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#87
SuccessSuc	#16	#110
ExplosiveExp	#51	#9
PPAPPA	#25	#71
PowerPwr	#24	#103
SP+SP+	#19	#78
Pts POPPO	#69	#117
HavocHav	#19	#84

TCU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#97	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#112
Run ExplRExp	#93	#15
PPAExp	#29	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#126
TackleTak	-	#126

TCU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#63	#63
PPAExp	#27	#63
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	#119
F7 HavocF7	#6	#86
DB HavocDB	#94	#74

Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
TCU -9.5 (61.0)
TCU won vs Louisiana this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Louisiana in 2024 (34-3)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Chandler Fields	63	87	72%	897	5	1	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Justin Agu	36	2	0	0	4

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals (Tr)	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech	62	1034	9	16.7	52
Eric McAlister (Tr)	39	762	5	19.5	84
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal (Tr)	46	10	6	3	1
Cooper McDonald (Tr)	25	5	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)	38	9	3	5	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James (Tr)	34	0	0	12
Abraham Camara	55	6	1	6
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)	12	0	0	4