Colorado at TCU Game Matchup

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
TCU -20.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado 45 - TCU: 42

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: TCU -11.5 (SP+ TCU -13)
Projected Score: COLO: 23 - TCU: 35 (57)
TCU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
COLO Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs behind

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	32.9	32.2	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01
TCU Defense	15	24.6	23.3	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	23.1	18.4	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41
TCU Offense	15	33.5	36.7	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60 TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4 TCU: 7.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 35
Colorado 23

Projected Total Points: 57

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	TCU	42	Colorado	45	Colorado	TCU -20.5	Colorado	59.5	Over
2022	09/02	Colorado	13	TCU	38	TCU	TCU -13.5	TCU	59.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	1	1	1 Overs
Colorado	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Colorado Ratings Matchup TCU

Power #73

#44

Off #50

#32

Def #121

#97

Talent #40

#67

SP+ #83

#40

SP+ Off #45

#27

SP+ Def #116

#57

Rematch from Week 1
TCU -20.5 (59.5)
Colorado won at TCU this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat TCU in 2023 (45-42)
TCU beat Colorado in 2022 (38-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: COLO | TCU
Depth Chart: COLO | TCU
Rosters: COLO | TCU

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Dylan Edwards	74	546	5	7.4	65
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter (Tr)	96	1258	15	13.1	58
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	37	441	1	11.9	69
Anthony Hankerson	27	151	0	5.6	20
Michael Harrison	18	150	0	8.3	18

View Colorado's Full Roster

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	64	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
D'Vion Harris (Tr)	53	8	4	2	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	35	1	0	0	11
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Savion Williams	3	3	100%	22	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Chandler Morris	60	242	4	4.0	49
Trey Sanders (Tr)	13	46	0	3.5	12
Corey Wren	10	24	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech (Tr)	62	1034	9	16.7	52
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75
Blake Nowell	9	179	1	19.9	46

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Brooks	5	3	3	1	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Damonic Williams	36	5	1	2	0
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	0	9
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6